<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?>
<rss version="2.0" xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/" xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/" xmlns:atom="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom">
  <channel>
    <title>The DTC Times</title>
    <description>Your destination for the best in direct to consumer news, trends, and events.</description>
    
    <link>https://the.dtctimes.com/</link>
    <atom:link href="https://rss.beehiiv.com/feeds/FyPk6ySH9p.xml" rel="self"/>
    
    <lastBuildDate>Mon, 15 Jun 2026 03:44:41 +0000</lastBuildDate>
    <pubDate>Wed, 27 May 2026 23:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
    <atom:published>2026-05-27T23:00:00Z</atom:published>
    <atom:updated>2026-06-15T03:44:41Z</atom:updated>
    
      <category>Business</category>
      <category>Marketing</category>
      <category>Fashion</category>
    <copyright>Copyright 2026, The DTC Times</copyright>
    
    <image>
      <url>https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/publication/logo/29628af0-8cdc-4fd2-abcc-ef0ce6e23b2b/shutterstock_image_-_2023-08-31T003700.340.png</url>
      <title>The DTC Times</title>
      <link>https://the.dtctimes.com/</link>
    </image>
    
    <docs>https://www.rssboard.org/rss-specification</docs>
    <generator>beehiiv</generator>
    <language>en-us</language>
    <webMaster>support@beehiiv.com (Beehiiv Support)</webMaster>

      <item>
  <title>You&#39;re Invited: The Repeat Customer Playbook</title>
  <description>FREE webinar June 10 - learn how to get non-subscribers coming back sooner</description>
      <enclosure url="https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/0f2ac844-f481-401b-927d-ec3831d29a17/untitleddesign.png" length="16097" type="image/png"/>
  <link>https://the.dtctimes.com/p/you-re-invited-the-repeat-customer-playbook</link>
  <guid isPermaLink="true">https://the.dtctimes.com/p/you-re-invited-the-repeat-customer-playbook</guid>
  <pubDate>Wed, 27 May 2026 23:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
  <atom:published>2026-05-27T23:00:00Z</atom:published>
    <dc:creator>The DTC Times</dc:creator>
  <content:encoded><![CDATA[
    <div class='beehiiv'><style>
  .bh__table, .bh__table_header, .bh__table_cell { border: 1px solid #C0C0C0; }
  .bh__table_cell { padding: 5px; background-color: #FFFFFF; }
  .bh__table_cell p { color: #2D2D2D; font-family: 'Helvetica',Arial,sans-serif !important; overflow-wrap: break-word; }
  .bh__table_header { padding: 5px; background-color:#F1F1F1; }
  .bh__table_header p { color: #2A2A2A; font-family:'Trebuchet MS','Lucida Grande',Tahoma,sans-serif !important; overflow-wrap: break-word; }
</style><div class='beehiiv__body'><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Hey there,</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Want to hear a brutal truth?</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Most DTC brands think their subscription program is doing the heavy lifting on repeat revenue. The data says otherwise.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The best subscription programs in the world - even the ones running like clockwork - are still leaving most of their repeat revenue on the table. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">One-time buyers who never subscribed. Lapsed customers who came back months later on their own. Casual repeat purchasers who just never committed to a cadence. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Until recently, there was no tool built specifically for those buyers.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">There is now…</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p><div class="section" style="background-color:transparent;border-color:#000000;border-radius:3px;border-style:solid;border-width:3px;margin:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;padding:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;"><h1 class="heading" style="text-align:left;">The Repeat Customer Playbook: Get Non-Subscribers Coming Back Sooner</h1><div class="image"><a class="image__link" href="https://luma.com/tdc2yhvl?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=you-re-invited-the-repeat-customer-playbook" rel="noopener" target="_blank"><img alt="" class="image__image" style="" src="https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/3123a35f-4221-461c-9eb8-8b9ee0a4e73b/1080x1080.png?t=1779901560"/></a></div><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">You’re invited to a <a class="link" href="https://luma.com/tdc2yhvl?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=you-re-invited-the-repeat-customer-playbook" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">FREE live webinar</a> on June 10 called “The Repeat Customer Playbook: Get Non-Subscribers Coming Back Sooner”, where we&#39;re pulling back the curtain on the AI reorder strategy that is quietly becoming one of the most powerful retention tools in the Shopify ecosystem right now.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">We’ll be joined by:</p><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Ronak Shah</b>, CEO & Co-Founder of <b>Obvi</b> ($100M+ health & wellness brand)</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Jay Myers</b>, Co-Founder of <b>Bold Commerce</b> (powering subscriptions on Shopify since 2014)</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Paul Chambers</b>, Co-Founder & CEO of <b>SubSummit</b> (North America&#39;s largest D2C subscription conference)</p></li></ul><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">You&#39;ll learn:</p><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Why some customers will never subscribe</b>: and the specific reason even the best-run subscription programs will never convert them</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>The shift from scheduled to predicted commerce</b>: and why Paul Chambers (SubSummit) believes this is the most important change in DTC retention since subscriptions themselves</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>How Obvi is using AI reorder nudges alongside its subscription program</b>: and the specific moments in the customer lifecycle where reorder predictions are outperforming subscription flows</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>The BUILT Bar result that surprised everyone</b>: how their reorder revenue grew 4x faster than their subscription revenue in 60 days, without cannibalizing a single subscriber</p></li></ul><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">While other brands keep pouring budget into acquisition and hoping their subscription program handles the rest, you&#39;ll walk away with a practical framework for capturing the repeat revenue your current stack was never built to reach - all on a commission-only basis with zero disruption to what you&#39;ve already built.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">🗓️ <b>When:</b> Wednesday, June 10, 1:30PM EST<br>🔗 <b>Save your spot (limited attendance):</b> <a class="link" href="https://luma.com/tdc2yhvl?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=you-re-invited-the-repeat-customer-playbook" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">https://luma.com/tdc2yhvl</a></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Register for free before it fills up!</p></div><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p><div class="image"><a class="image__link" href="https://form.typeform.com/to/oqhfvBEH?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=you-re-invited-the-repeat-customer-playbook" rel="noopener" target="_blank"><img alt="" class="image__image" style="" src="https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/7106608b-2cbb-4303-bca9-7a5f4e3c10ad/NJ_RAMS_Banner.jpg?t=1779907920"/></a></div></div><div class='beehiiv__footer'><br class='beehiiv__footer__break'><hr class='beehiiv__footer__line'><a target="_blank" class="beehiiv__footer_link" style="text-align: center;" href="https://www.beehiiv.com/?utm_campaign=8788b0df-1d07-425a-84b4-038a2463f032&utm_medium=post_rss&utm_source=the_dtc_times">Powered by beehiiv</a></div></div>
  ]]></content:encoded>
</item>

      <item>
  <title>The Last DTC Page Without a Benchmark Just Got One</title>
  <description>Why the only network running post-purchase at scale just shipped a peer-grouped benchmark for your vertical, free, in 60 seconds.</description>
      <enclosure url="https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/0f2ac844-f481-401b-927d-ec3831d29a17/untitleddesign.png" length="16097" type="image/png"/>
  <link>https://the.dtctimes.com/p/the-last-dtc-page-without-a-benchmark-just-got-one</link>
  <guid isPermaLink="true">https://the.dtctimes.com/p/the-last-dtc-page-without-a-benchmark-just-got-one</guid>
  <pubDate>Sun, 24 May 2026 23:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
  <atom:published>2026-05-24T23:00:00Z</atom:published>
    <dc:creator>The DTC Times</dc:creator>
  <content:encoded><![CDATA[
    <div class='beehiiv'><style>
  .bh__table, .bh__table_header, .bh__table_cell { border: 1px solid #C0C0C0; }
  .bh__table_cell { padding: 5px; background-color: #FFFFFF; }
  .bh__table_cell p { color: #2D2D2D; font-family: 'Helvetica',Arial,sans-serif !important; overflow-wrap: break-word; }
  .bh__table_header { padding: 5px; background-color:#F1F1F1; }
  .bh__table_header p { color: #2A2A2A; font-family:'Trebuchet MS','Lucida Grande',Tahoma,sans-serif !important; overflow-wrap: break-word; }
</style><div class='beehiiv__body'><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Every DTC operator can name their CAC, AOV, and CVR down to the decimal. Almost none can name where their post-purchase setup ranks against the top quartile of their vertical. The page every paying customer finishes on has had no peer-grouped number to test against, which is why post-purchase has stayed the cleanest profit layer nobody could quantify.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The reason the gap persists is not that operators do not see it. It is that no one had the data to publish a real benchmark. Most &quot;DTC averages&quot; floating in agency decks are tiny samples, recycled 2023 reads, or vertical mash-ups too broad to act on. So operators have been running post-purchase on instinct, and the per-order opportunity left on the table has been compounding quietly.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">A new tool has finally closed that gap. Aftersell just shipped Post-Purchase Benchmarks 2026, the first peer-grouped, vertical-specific benchmark for the post-purchase page. It was trained on 40,000+ active Shopify merchants and $380M+ in post-purchase GMV, and it runs in 60 seconds. Three inputs in. Full benchmark out.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Today:</b></p><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Macro: </b>The unmeasured profit layer in DTC</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Trends: </b>What &quot;benchmark&quot; means with 40,000 stores of receipts</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Tactics: </b>The 60-second store audit playbook</p></li></ul><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Let&#39;s dive in 👇</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p><div class="section" style="background-color:transparent;border-color:#000000;border-radius:3px;border-style:solid;border-width:3px;margin:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;padding:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;"><h2 class="heading" style="text-align:left;">The First Real Post-Purchase Benchmark, Built by the Only Team With the Data</h2><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>If you have ever wondered whether your post-purchase setup is leaving real money on the table, you can stop guessing in 60 seconds.</b></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Most DTC operators run their post-purchase page on instinct. They picked an offer type, set a few rules, and have been running it ever since. The setup is not the problem. The problem is that the page has had no peer-comparable number to test against. So there has been no honest read on whether the result is top quartile, median, or quietly leaking margin every order.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">That gap is what Post-Purchase Benchmarks 2026 was built to close. The tool was trained on 40,000+ active Shopify merchants and $380M+ in post-purchase GMV, so the comparison is not &quot;DTC average.&quot; It is your category, your peer set, and your real benchmark. Rokt Aftersell is the only network with the post-purchase footprint to publish a number at this scale, which is why this tool exists and why no other vendor can ship the same thing.</p><div class="image"><img alt="" class="image__image" style="" src="https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/0c3f8b09-85b0-4078-b3d5-67110b5ed321/Aftersell_PPU_Benchmarks.gif?t=1779383793"/></div><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">What you get when you run your store through it:</p><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Three inputs, full benchmark output:</b> Store details, vertical, and current post-purchase setup go in. Conversion rate, AOV lift opportunity, revenue potential per order, and the top-performing offer types in your vertical come out.</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>2026-dated, not recycled 2023 stats:</b> The data is pulled from active Shopify merchants right now, with $380M+ in post-purchase GMV behind the cuts. No leftover pandemic-era reads dressed up as fresh 2026 numbers.</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Personalized to your vertical, not &quot;DTC average&quot;:</b> A $42-AOV supplements brand and a $180-AOV apparel brand should not share a benchmark. The output is peer-grouped to your category, so the gap is the real gap.</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Shopify Partner verified, Rokt-backed:</b> Aftersell runs the post-purchase footprint that produced the data. No surveyed self-reporting, no extrapolated panel. Real merchant performance, in the open.</p></li></ul><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><a class="link" href="https://www.aftersell.com/post-purchase-benchmarks?utm_campaign=40960888-SMB%20Aftersell%20%7C%20Chew%20On%20This&utm_source=newsletter&utm_medium=DTC_Times" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Run your free benchmark →</a></p></div><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p><div class="section" style="background-color:transparent;border-color:#C0C0C0;border-radius:3px;border-style:solid;border-width:3px;margin:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;padding:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;"><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><i><b>Macro Environment</b></i></p><h1 class="heading" style="text-align:left;" id="the-great-dtc-reset-chaos-opportuni">📉 The Page Every Customer Finishes On Has Had No Benchmark</h1><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The DTC operator class has benchmarked every other page in the funnel to death. There is a number for paid CAC, repeat purchase rate, email open rate by vertical, SMS opt-in at checkout, and time on PDP. The page every paying customer hits last has had no peer-comparable number, which is why post-purchase has stayed the cleanest profit layer nobody could quantify.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>A Number for Every Page Except the One That Closes</b></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Operators have a benchmark for everything except the page every customer actually finishes on. CAC benchmark. AOV benchmark. CVR benchmark. Ad CPM benchmark. The page that comes after the order has had no peer-grouped read at all, so most teams have been running their post-purchase setup on instinct.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Without a benchmark, there is no honest test against what the top quartile in your vertical is producing per order. There is no number to point at in a quarterly review. There is no input for next quarter&#39;s roadmap. Just a setup that has been running since whenever it was first turned on.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>CAC Up, Margins Tight, the Math Has Shifted</b></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Operating without a post-purchase benchmark stopped being acceptable in 2026. When paid acquisition gets harder and margin compresses, every page that touches the order has to defend its line on the P&L. The post-purchase page touches every order. It has been defending itself with anecdotes.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The page is also the highest-attention surface in the funnel. Every buyer sees it, payment is already authorized, and the conversion is booked. So the per-order opportunity is the cleanest profit dollar in DTC, layered on top of orders already won. The cost of running it without a number is not a single big miss. It is a few cents per order that compound across a year of orders into the kind of margin gap that shows up in the P&L too late to do anything about it.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>A Decade of Operator Habit Built Around No Benchmark</b></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The reason this gap has persisted is partly cultural. DTC operators trained on Shopify-era best practices learned to optimize the cart, the checkout, the PDP, and the email flow because those pages had numbers. Post-purchase did not, so it became the page nobody had to defend.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">That cultural habit costs more in 2026 than it did in 2022. The top quartile of every vertical is now running peer-grouped reads against post-purchase performance. The brands that do not are quietly underwriting the gap.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">🧠 <b>Takeaway:</b> Post-purchase is the highest-leverage page in your funnel that has never been benchmarked against your peers, and the cost of that gap has been compounding the entire time.</p></div><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p><div class="section" style="background-color:transparent;border-color:#C0C0C0;border-radius:3px;border-style:solid;border-width:3px;margin:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;padding:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;"><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><i><b>Trends</b></i></p><h1 class="heading" style="text-align:left;" id="scrappy-growth-whats-actually-worki">📊 What &quot;Benchmark&quot; Means When You Have 40,000 Stores&#39; Worth of Receipts</h1><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Most &quot;DTC benchmarks&quot; in the wild fall apart on inspection. The sample is too small, the data is too old, or the vertical mix is too broad to be useful for any specific brand. Three things have changed in 2026 that finally make a post-purchase benchmark trustworthy enough to base a roadmap decision on.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>&quot;DTC Average&quot; Is the Wrong Comparison</b></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">A supplements brand averaging $42 AOV with high repeat purchase economics and an apparel brand averaging $180 AOV with one-and-done buyers do not share a benchmark. They never have. Vertical-specific peer comparison is the only honest read on whether your post-purchase setup is in the top quartile, the middle, or leaking margin every order.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">A beauty brand with high-replenishment SKUs needs a different read than a furniture brand with quarterly purchase cycles. The offer types that win in supplements (subscription nudges, sample upsells) are not the offer types that win in apparel (size cross-sells, bundle adds). A real benchmark cuts on vertical first, scale second. Anything that averages across categories washes out the signal that matters.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Scale Changes Who Gets to Publish a Benchmark</b></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">40,000+ active Shopify merchants and $380M+ in post-purchase GMV is the data floor that makes the number reliable. Anything smaller is a vendor&#39;s pitch deck with a confidence interval too wide to act on.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The reason Aftersell can publish at this scale is that the network is already running the post-purchase footprint that produced the data. This is not a survey. It is not a panel. It is real merchant transactions, segmented by vertical, behind a tool that runs the cut for you in 60 seconds. Until 2026, no one in the category had that combination of footprint, recency, and depth.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>This Is Part One of a Larger Picture</b></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The June 2026 AI High-Trust Benchmark Report covers Cart, Checkout, Post-Purchase, and Thank You Page performance end to end. The tool live today is the post-purchase chapter, available right now ahead of the full report drop. So the read you pull this quarter is not a one-off. It is the first cut of an ongoing benchmark series the team can use to reset the bar across the entire purchase flow.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The framing matters because the full report is going to do for Cart, Checkout, and Thank You Page what the live tool is doing for post-purchase right now. Brands that get used to running peer-grouped benchmarks this quarter will be the ones already ahead when the rest of the funnel data drops in June.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">🧠 <b>Takeaway:</b> The era of generic &quot;DTC average&quot; benchmarks is closing. Vertical, peer-grouped, 2026-dated data is the new bar for any number a team is willing to base a roadmap decision on.</p></div><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p><div class="section" style="background-color:transparent;border-color:#C0C0C0;border-radius:3px;border-style:solid;border-width:3px;margin:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;padding:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;"><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><i><b>Tactics</b></i></p><h1 class="heading" style="text-align:left;" id="trend-watch-commerce-is-moving-insi">🛠️ The 60-Second Post-Purchase Audit Playbook</h1><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The benchmark is only useful if you act on the gap it surfaces. The playbook is three steps, takes about five minutes start to finish, and produces a specific input for next quarter&#39;s roadmap.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Step 1: Run Your Store Through the Three Inputs</b></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Store details, vertical, and current post-purchase setup. Sixty seconds. No demo call to schedule, no gated form to read your own number. The output is your benchmark: conversion rate, AOV lift opportunity, revenue potential per order, and the top-performing offer types in your vertical right now.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Operator note: do this before the quarterly planning meeting, not after. The benchmark is most useful when it shapes the roadmap conversation instead of getting cited as evidence after a decision is already made.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Step 2: Read the Gap, Not Just the Number</b></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Pull two reads off the output. First, where you sit against the top quartile in your vertical. Second, the per-order revenue opportunity between your current setup and what the top quartile is producing. The benchmark only earns its keep if you sit with that gap honestly instead of explaining it away.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The single most common mistake operators make on benchmark reads is anchoring on being above median and skipping the top-quartile comparison. Median is the floor of not falling behind. Top quartile is the ceiling worth chasing. The dollars between the two are the actual roadmap opportunity.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Step 3: Match the Read to the Action</b></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">If your store performs at or above the top quartile, hold the line and recheck against the June 2026 full report when it drops. The job becomes monitoring rather than rebuilding.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">If your store is below the median, the benchmark is also the conversion path. A free Aftersell trial or a demo is the natural next step. The gap from your output report becomes the first thing the team prioritizes in next quarter&#39;s roadmap. The offer-type recommendations in your vertical give the team a starting hypothesis on what to test first.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Before you lock next quarter&#39;s roadmap, run your store through the benchmark. Five minutes, and you will know exactly where the highest-impact lift lives.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><a class="link" href="https://www.aftersell.com/post-purchase-benchmarks?utm_campaign=40960888-SMB%20Aftersell%20%7C%20Chew%20On%20This&utm_source=newsletter&utm_medium=DTC_Times" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Run your free benchmark →</a></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">🧠 <b>Takeaway:</b> The benchmark is only worth running if you act on the gap. Five minutes of inputs produces a specific, vertical-grouped read your team can take into the next planning cycle.</p></div><h1 class="heading" style="text-align:left;" id="quick-hits">🔗 Quick Hits</h1><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The 2026-dated angle matters. Most post-purchase numbers circulating in agency decks are recycled 2023 reads. The active Shopify merchant data behind this one is current.</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Vertical-specific output is the headline value. The point of the benchmark is not &quot;DTC average.&quot; It is your category compared to the top quartile of your peer set.</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The June 2026 AI High-Trust Benchmark Report is coming. It covers Cart, Checkout, Post-Purchase, and Thank You Page performance end to end. The live tool is the post-purchase chapter shipped early.</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Before locking next quarter&#39;s roadmap, run your store through the benchmark. Five minutes is a cheap audit for a category-grouped read.</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><a class="link" href="https://www.aftersell.com/post-purchase-benchmarks?utm_campaign=40960888-SMB%20Aftersell%20%7C%20Chew%20On%20This&utm_source=newsletter&utm_medium=DTC_Times" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Run your free benchmark →</a></p></li></ul><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p></div><div class='beehiiv__footer'><br class='beehiiv__footer__break'><hr class='beehiiv__footer__line'><a target="_blank" class="beehiiv__footer_link" style="text-align: center;" href="https://www.beehiiv.com/?utm_campaign=e88fb299-2d5d-4453-8167-591de3df47a8&utm_medium=post_rss&utm_source=the_dtc_times">Powered by beehiiv</a></div></div>
  ]]></content:encoded>
</item>

      <item>
  <title>Your 3PL Should Operate Like an Owner, Not a Vendor</title>
  <description>Why the founder-led fulfillment model is pulling DTC brands away from enterprise 3PLs, and the 30-day offer built to make the escape painless.</description>
      <enclosure url="https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/0f2ac844-f481-401b-927d-ec3831d29a17/untitleddesign.png" length="16097" type="image/png"/>
  <link>https://the.dtctimes.com/p/your-3pl-should-operate-like-an-owner-not-a-vendor</link>
  <guid isPermaLink="true">https://the.dtctimes.com/p/your-3pl-should-operate-like-an-owner-not-a-vendor</guid>
  <pubDate>Wed, 20 May 2026 23:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
  <atom:published>2026-05-20T23:00:00Z</atom:published>
    <dc:creator>The DTC Times</dc:creator>
  <content:encoded><![CDATA[
    <div class='beehiiv'><style>
  .bh__table, .bh__table_header, .bh__table_cell { border: 1px solid #C0C0C0; }
  .bh__table_cell { padding: 5px; background-color: #FFFFFF; }
  .bh__table_cell p { color: #2D2D2D; font-family: 'Helvetica',Arial,sans-serif !important; overflow-wrap: break-word; }
  .bh__table_header { padding: 5px; background-color:#F1F1F1; }
  .bh__table_header p { color: #2A2A2A; font-family:'Trebuchet MS','Lucida Grande',Tahoma,sans-serif !important; overflow-wrap: break-word; }
</style><div class='beehiiv__body'><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Every DTC operator can name their CAC down to the dollar. Almost none can name their all-in fulfillment cost per order with the same precision. That is the gap a bad 3PL lives inside. Opaque invoices, inventory that never matches the system, sloppy pick and pack, peak-season fragility, ghosted account managers. Stacked across a quarter, they add up to a multi-point margin tax most brands have stopped auditing.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The reason this tax persists is not that operators do not see it. It is that switching 3PLs feels worse than tolerating one. Inventory migration, SKU re-mapping, new shipping integrations, new carrier rates.. Most teams quietly decide it is cheaper to keep absorbing the leak than to fix it. That math is wrong, and it is getting more wrong every quarter.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">A new model is changing the math. Founder-led 3PLs run by former ecommerce operators are pulling brands away from enterprise vendors by treating fulfillment like a partnership instead of a ticket queue. Flat Fee Shipping is one of them, and they are waiving fulfillment fees for 30 days while capacity lasts to prove the model out under your actual operating conditions.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Today:</b></p><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Macro: </b>The hidden tax of a bad 3PL relationship</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Trends:</b> Why founder-led 3PLs are pulling brands away from enterprise vendors</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Tactics: </b>The 30-day playbook to audit and switch your 3PL without losing peak</p></li></ul><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Let&#39;s dive in 👇</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p><div class="section" style="background-color:transparent;border-color:#000000;border-radius:3px;border-style:solid;border-width:3px;margin:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;padding:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;"><h1 class="heading" style="text-align:left;">A Fulfillment Partner That Operates Like an Owner</h1><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>If fulfillment has been on your problem list for more than a quarter, you are paying a tax most operators have stopped questioning.</b></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Built by former ecommerce founders who got tired of vendor-grade fulfillment, <a class="link" href="https://flatfeeshipping.com/offer?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=your-3pl-should-operate-like-an-owner-not-a-vendor" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Flat Fee Shipping</a> operates from a simple thesis. The three things that actually matter are order accuracy, an experience that reflects a partnership, and responsiveness that borders on unreasonable. Everything else is line-item math. The framing on their site puts it plainly: built to treat your brand and customers as if they were our own.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The model has two structural advantages. First, fulfillment splits across two locations, which compresses shipping cost and transit time for any brand shipping nationally. Second, pricing, invoicing, and fees that don’t have surprises - what&#39;s agreed to is exactly what you get, with no surprise line items, no creeping rate hikes, and none of the typical 3PL nonsense. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">To prove it, Flat Fee is opening a <a class="link" href="https://flatfeeshipping.com/offer?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=your-3pl-should-operate-like-an-owner-not-a-vendor" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">30-day offer</a> while capacity lasts. They waive pick and pack fees for the first month and ensure zero order fulfillment interruptions during the migration from your current 3PL, and waive receiving on your initial inventory transfer. The point of the offer is to remove every excuse a brand has to keep tolerating a partner that is bleeding the P&L.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">What you get in the 30-day free trial:</p><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Zero pick and pack fees for 30 days:</b> Flat Fee absorbs the line item that drives the largest share of most monthly 3PL bills.</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Free white-glove migration from your current 3PL:</b> Inventory transfer, system handoff, and SKU re-mapping are handled on Flat Fee&#39;s side, not yours.</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>No receiving fees on your initial inventory transfer:</b> The fee 3PLs normally charge to set your inventory up the first time.</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Pricing, invoicing, and fees that don’t change: </b>What&#39;s on the agreement is what shows up on the invoice - with no surprises ever.</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Split fulfillment across two locations:</b> Two-warehouse coverage reduces shipping cost and transit time for nationally shipping brands without pricing it like a feature reserved for brands at scale.</p></li></ul><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Flat Fee is only accepting a handful of brands before June 30, don’t miss out on the chance to finally change your 3PL paradigm. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><a class="link" href="https://flatfeeshipping.com/offer?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=your-3pl-should-operate-like-an-owner-not-a-vendor" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Claim My Free 30 Days →</a></p></div><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p><div class="section" style="background-color:transparent;border-color:#C0C0C0;border-radius:3px;border-style:solid;border-width:3px;margin:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;padding:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;"><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><i><b>Macro Environment</b></i></p><h1 class="heading" style="text-align:left;" id="the-great-dtc-reset-chaos-opportuni">📉 The Bad-3PL Tax Most Brands Quietly Pay</h1><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Fulfillment is one of the largest non-CAC line items on a DTC P&L. It is also one of the least audited. The default assumption is that 3PL cost is what it is, and the operator&#39;s job is to manage shipping volume into the relationship rather than the relationship itself. The brands compounding margin reject that assumption.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Surprise fees and opaque invoices</b></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The first pattern is the line items that were never quoted. Surcharges. &quot;Nickel and diming&quot; billing codes. Invoices that reconcile back to the contract only after a multi-hour audit. None of them are catastrophic on their own. Stacked across a quarter, they are the difference between the fulfillment cost you priced into your unit economics and the one you actually pay. The damage is real but invisible until someone pulls 90 days of invoices and tags every line.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Inventory variance and pick-and-pack errors</b></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The second pattern shows up in the warehouse, not the invoice. Perpetual discrepancies between what the system says is on the shelf and what is actually there. Stockouts on SKUs the dashboard says are healthy. Wrong items shipping. Missed cut-offs. Returned orders sitting in limbo while customers, in the landing page&#39;s words, &quot;rage-review you&quot; on Trustpilot and Reddit. Every one of those events compounds into a support ticket, a refund, a chargeback, and a customer who does not come back.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Peak-season fragility and the ghosted account manager</b></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The third pattern is the one that hides until the worst possible week. A 3PL whose systems buckle under Black Friday surges. Custom packaging requests that get refused. An account manager who stops returning calls during the exact ten days your business is most exposed. Operational responsiveness is the moat nobody prices in until it fails, and by then the cost is not a fee. It is a quarter.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">🧠 <b>Takeaway:</b> Fulfillment cost and reliability is not &quot;what it is.&quot; It is a margin lever most operators have never properly audited, and the audit is usually a one-week project.</p></div><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p><div class="section" style="background-color:transparent;border-color:#C0C0C0;border-radius:3px;border-style:solid;border-width:3px;margin:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;padding:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;"><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><i><b>Trends</b></i></p><h1 class="heading" style="text-align:left;" id="scrappy-growth-whats-actually-worki">📊 The Shift From 3PL Vendor to 3PL Partner</h1><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The 3PL category is bifurcating. On one end, enterprise vendors running brands as tickets in a queue. On the other, a new wave of founder-led operators who treat brand growth as their own P&L. The gap between the two models is widening, and the brands that have already switched are pulling away on client retention & experience.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Founder-led 3PLs are winning the operator class</b></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Former ecommerce founders building 3PLs have a structural empathy advantage. They have lived the cost of a wrong-pick rate above 1%. They have personally fielded the 11 PM email about a missing Black Friday order. The framing on Flat Fee&#39;s site captures it: built to treat your brand and customers as if they were our own. That is not marketing copy. It is the operating assumption that shows up in how the warehouse runs on a Tuesday afternoon across every single team member.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Locked-in pricing is the new standard</b></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">For most 3PLs, surprise fees have historically been a quiet profit center. The 3PL wins the deal with &quot;storage waived&quot; and &quot;flat per-order pricing,&quot; then three months in, a storage fee appears on the invoice. Then a new accessorial. Then a minimum. Then a “month end shipping adjustment”. None of it was in the original agreement, but all of it is now being charged. That model is getting harder to defend. Brands are putting the original agreement next to last month&#39;s invoice, and the gap between the two is the test of vendor honesty. Scaling with predictable costs is <i>the</i><i> </i>standard. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>&quot;We&#39;ll make it happen&quot; is replacing &quot;submit a ticket&quot;</b></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">White-glove care used to feel like a feature reserved for brands at scale. Below a certain revenue threshold, 3PLs treated fulfillment as a transaction — your tickets sat in a queue, your launches got &quot;we&#39;ll see what we can do,&quot; and your emergencies were someone else&#39;s Monday problem. That ceiling is collapsing. Brands are realizing that the difference between a 3PL and a real fulfillment partner shows up on the worst day, not the easiest one. The brands that get a &quot;we&#39;ll make it happen&quot; instead of a &quot;submit a ticket&quot; are the ones that keep their reputation intact and their growth on track.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">🧠 <b>Takeaway:</b> The 3PL category is splitting. Brands choosing the partner-operator model are pulling away on margin and on customer experience.</p></div><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p><div class="section" style="background-color:transparent;border-color:#C0C0C0;border-radius:3px;border-style:solid;border-width:3px;margin:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;padding:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;"><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><i><b>Tactics</b></i></p><h1 class="heading" style="text-align:left;" id="trend-watch-commerce-is-moving-insi">🛠️ The 30-Day Switch Playbook</h1><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Most brands do not switch 3PLs because the friction of the switch feels worse than the leak of staying. That math is almost always wrong, and the way to prove it is a controlled test rather than a full-cutover bet. Here is the playbook.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Week 1: Audit your current 3PL invoices</b></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Pull 90 days of 3PL invoices and lay them next to your original agreement. Tag every line item, fee, or charge that wasn&#39;t part of what you signed up for. Then check the rates themselves — has the per-order crept up? Are there ‘month end adjustments’? Has a storage fee appeared that was supposed to be waived? Are there accessorials or minimums that weren&#39;t in the original deal? The gap between the agreement and the invoice is your answer. Most operators are not prepared for what that audit returns.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Week 2: Compare on the four numbers that matter</b></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Pick four metrics and score your current 3PL on each. Order accuracy rate. On-time ship rate. Average response time from the account manager. All-in cost per order including hidden fees and fees not tied to each order. Score the alternative on the same four numbers. A real comparison takes a one-page spreadsheet, not a sales deck.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Week 3 to 4: Pull the trigger and escape the bad-3PL cycle</b></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Use the 30-day offer to experience what it&#39;s like to finally have a partner who takes your biggest headache - fulfillment - and turns it into your growth unlock. You&#39;ve audited the invoices. You&#39;ve seen the gap between what was agreed to and what&#39;s actually being charged. You cannot afford to let your current 3PL hold your brand&#39;s growth hostage for another month. Flat Fee removes the migration headaches and anxiety and ensures zero order interruptions while you switch, which is exactly why the offer exists in this shape.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Month 2 and beyond: Get back to growing your brand</b></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">With predictable shipping costs locked in and a partner who treats every order like their own, fulfillment stops being the thing you worry about and goes back to being the thing that quietly works. No more checking the invoice for surprise fees. No more wondering if the orders you spent so much to generate are going to ship on time, ship complete, or ship at all. You focus on the next launch, the next channel, the next growth lever — and trust that the orders behind it are being handled. That&#39;s the model. Flat Fee Shipping becomes the foundation under your growth instead of your old 3PL being the ceiling on it.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>The 30-day offer exists for exactly this moment — and Flat Fee is only taking on new brands while they still have capacity.</b></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><a class="link" href="https://flatfeeshipping.com/offer?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=your-3pl-should-operate-like-an-owner-not-a-vendor" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Claim My Free 30 Days →</a></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">🧠 <b>Takeaway:</b> Staying with a bad 3PL is costing you exponentially more in future growth than you can imagine. The 30-day fulfillment fee waiver isn&#39;t a discount - it&#39;s a gift designed to show you how different the next chapter of your brand can look.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The real cost of a bad 3PL isn&#39;t the surprise fees on your invoice - it&#39;s the growth you&#39;re quietly leaving on the table every month you stay. 30 days of waived fulfillment fees is the gift designed to show you what the other side actually looks like. Escape the matrix. </p></div><h1 class="heading" style="text-align:left;" id="quick-hits">🔗 Quick Hits</h1><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The five pain patterns of a broken 3PL: opaque invoices, inventory drift, pick-and-pack errors, peak-season fragility, and ghosted account managers. If three or more apply, your brand’s growth will forever be limited..</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The 30-day fulfillment fee waiver is the scarcity lever, not the pitch. Flat Fee knows that once you experience what it&#39;s like to work with them, you&#39;ll have a lifetime partner - the waiver just gets you in the door. OR The 30-day waiver is the scarcity lever, not the pitch. Flat Fee is confident that once you see how they operate, you&#39;ll have a fulfillment partner for life - they just need the chance to prove it.</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><a class="link" href="https://flatfeeshipping.com/offer?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=your-3pl-should-operate-like-an-owner-not-a-vendor" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Claim My Free 30 Days →</a></p></li></ul><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p></div><div class='beehiiv__footer'><br class='beehiiv__footer__break'><hr class='beehiiv__footer__line'><a target="_blank" class="beehiiv__footer_link" style="text-align: center;" href="https://www.beehiiv.com/?utm_campaign=52d4d257-cbf9-45dc-8d6c-91956ba4ad89&utm_medium=post_rss&utm_source=the_dtc_times">Powered by beehiiv</a></div></div>
  ]]></content:encoded>
</item>

      <item>
  <title>Your Checkout Is Leaking Half Your Marketing List</title>
  <description>Why the brands compounding repeat revenue are not buying smarter ads. They are fixing the consent layer that fails on half of every checkout.</description>
      <enclosure url="https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/0f2ac844-f481-401b-927d-ec3831d29a17/untitleddesign.png" length="16097" type="image/png"/>
  <link>https://the.dtctimes.com/p/your-checkout-is-leaking-half-your-marketing-list</link>
  <guid isPermaLink="true">https://the.dtctimes.com/p/your-checkout-is-leaking-half-your-marketing-list</guid>
  <pubDate>Sun, 17 May 2026 23:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
  <atom:published>2026-05-17T23:00:00Z</atom:published>
    <dc:creator>The DTC Times</dc:creator>
  <content:encoded><![CDATA[
    <div class='beehiiv'><style>
  .bh__table, .bh__table_header, .bh__table_cell { border: 1px solid #C0C0C0; }
  .bh__table_cell { padding: 5px; background-color: #FFFFFF; }
  .bh__table_cell p { color: #2D2D2D; font-family: 'Helvetica',Arial,sans-serif !important; overflow-wrap: break-word; }
  .bh__table_header { padding: 5px; background-color:#F1F1F1; }
  .bh__table_header p { color: #2A2A2A; font-family:'Trebuchet MS','Lucida Grande',Tahoma,sans-serif !important; overflow-wrap: break-word; }
</style><div class='beehiiv__body'><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Most DTC brands are losing half of their paying customers to broken consent collection. Not because the shopper had a bad experience. Not because the product missed. The customer paid, got the order, and then quietly disappeared from every retention channel the brand pays to staff.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The math on this is brutal. Marketing subscribers deliver 2.4X more repeat revenue than non-subscribers. Paid acquisition is not getting cheaper. So every customer who walks out of checkout without opting in is a profitability problem, not a marketing problem. At a $5M brand, that gap is six figures of unrecovered LTV every year. At $27M, it is millions.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The brands compounding the largest repeat revenue gains in this market are not running smarter ads. They are fixing the moment that breaks on every checkout. Today, that fix has a name and 600+ brands worth of receipts behind it.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Today’s edition:</b></p><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Macro</b> 👉 The consent collection margin crisis</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Trends</b> 👉 AI consent optimization and the death of &quot;Reply Y&quot;</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Tactics</b> 👉 The checkout consent playbook</p></li></ul><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Let&#39;s dive in 👇</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p><div class="section" style="background-color:transparent;border-color:#000000;border-radius:3px;border-style:solid;border-width:3px;margin:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;padding:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;"><h2 class="heading" style="text-align:left;">How 600+ Brands Turned the Checkout Page Into a Compounding Margin Lever</h2><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>If you run a Shopify brand and you are not actively optimizing the consent layer at checkout, you are leaving a six- or seven-figure marketing list on the table every year.</b></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><a class="link" href="https://www.dataships.io/ab-test?utm_source=dtc-times&utm_medium=sponsored-content&utm_campaign=cot-q2" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Dataships </a>is an AI consent optimization platform built specifically to fix the moment Shopify gets wrong. The engine is trained on 45M+ consent decisions across regions, channels, and customer types. Most brands sit around 60% email opt-in at checkout and under 1% SMS opt-in. Dataships brands clear 90%+ email and 6-12% SMS, with built-in A/B testing that measures real incrementality against your current setup before you commit a dollar. Because consent sits at the foundation of every retention campaign you already run, every incremental subscriber compounds into email LTV, SMS LTV, and direct mail performance for years after capture.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The receipts across the portfolio:</p><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Cornbread Hemp:</b> $743K in repeat purchase revenue from 25,498 net-new subscribers. Email consent at checkout went from 78% to 94.46%, with a 34% repurchase rate on Dataships-attributed subscribers.</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Denver Modern:</b> $2M+ in repeat purchases. SMS opt-in jumped from 0.36% to 12% (a 33.3X lift). $264 in incremental CLV per email subscriber.</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Benchmade:</b> $124K incremental monthly LTV from email and $22K incremental monthly LTV from SMS. SMS opt-in tripled from 4.23% to 12% after switching to one-tap verification.</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>IQBAR:</b> 17X SMS opt-in lift (0.36% to 6%). 19,128 net-new subscribers. 491% ROI within 12 months.</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Ancestral Supplements:</b> 8X SMS opt-in lift, $300K+ in incremental LTV in 5 months, 92% email consent rate at checkout.</p></li></ul><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">What you get with <a class="link" href="https://www.dataships.io/ab-test?utm_source=dtc-times&utm_medium=sponsored-content&utm_campaign=cot-q2" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Dataships</a>:</p><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>AI optimization engine:</b> processes location, purchase history, consent status, and legal requirements per shopper, learning across 45M+ decisions in real time.</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>One-tap SMS opt-in:</b> kills the &quot;Reply Y&quot; double opt-in that bleeds 99% of would-be SMS subscribers. The verification code drops into the checkout page, not the shopper&#39;s inbox.</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Compliance on autopilot:</b> TCPA, GDPR, CCPA, and state-by-state SMS rules update automatically as laws change. Audit logs, suppression management, and DNC validation are built in.</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Built-in A/B testing with an ROI guarantee:</b> every brand sees exactly how Dataships performs against the current setup before committing to anything.</p></li></ul><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">DTC Times readers get a free A/B test plus 3 months free on the SMS opt-in product when they sign up by June 30. Just mention DTC Times when you fill out the form.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><a class="link" href="https://www.dataships.io/ab-test?utm_source=dtc-times&utm_medium=sponsored-content&utm_campaign=cot-q2" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Click here to schedule your free A/B test.</a></p></div><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p><div class="section" style="background-color:transparent;border-color:#C0C0C0;border-radius:3px;border-style:solid;border-width:3px;margin:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;padding:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;"><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><i><b>Macro Environment</b></i></p><h1 class="heading" style="text-align:left;" id="the-great-dtc-reset-chaos-opportuni">📉<b> Why Your Checkout Is the Highest-Leverage Page You Are Ignoring</b></h1><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The pattern across the DTC operator class right now is consistent. Paid acquisition is getting more expensive. Margins are compressing. Retention is the only lever that scales without buying more inventory. Everyone has accepted that. Almost nobody has audited the moment where retention either starts or quietly dies: the checkout consent layer.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>The 50% Tax Most Brands Are Paying</b></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The default Shopify consent flow loses around half of your customers before they enter your retention list. Some of those customers never get an email. Some of them never get a text. All of them cost full CAC to acquire. None of them flow into the retention campaigns the team built and the agency invoices for.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">That is the tax. Half of paying customers acquired at full price, then removed from every owned channel that compounds. At a $5M brand, that is six figures of recoverable LTV every year. At $27M, like Denver Modern, the recovered number lands at $2M+ in repeat purchases off a single consent fix. At $100M+, like Benchmade, the math compounds to $124K incremental email LTV and $22K incremental SMS LTV every single month.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>The 2.4X Repeat Revenue Multiplier</b></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Across the Dataships portfolio, marketing subscribers deliver 2.4X more repeat revenue than non-subscribers. That is the lifetime gap between a customer you can email and one you cannot. Per subscriber, the dollars are specific. Denver Modern measured $264 in incremental CLV per email subscriber. Cornbread Hemp measured $118 per contact. Benchmade measured $51 per email subscriber and $54 per SMS subscriber. These are not theoretical multipliers. They are the recurring per-shopper lift brands now bank against in their 12-month revenue forecasts.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">🧠 <b>Takeaway:</b> Consent collection is not a compliance task. It is the highest-leverage retention lever in the DTC stack, and most operators are still treating it like a checkbox.</p></div><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p><div class="section" style="background-color:transparent;border-color:#C0C0C0;border-radius:3px;border-style:solid;border-width:3px;margin:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;padding:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;"><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><i><b>Trends</b></i></p><h1 class="heading" style="text-align:left;" id="scrappy-growth-whats-actually-worki">📊<b> The Standard Checkout Was Built for 2016, Not 2026</b></h1><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Three things have changed since the average Shopify brand last looked hard at their checkout flow. Each one quietly widens the gap between operators who fix the consent layer and operators who do not.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>The &quot;Reply Y&quot; Flow Is Structurally Broken</b></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">When you ask a customer to finish checkout and then go back to their text messages to reply &quot;Y&quot; before they are subscribed, almost nobody completes step two. The shopper put in the phone number, paid, and moved on with their day. As Benchmade&#39;s Adam Hutton put it: &quot;People are very focused on checking out. So they put in their phone number, and once they finish checking out, they simply move on with their day. Having to go back and do another step on their phone is something that creates a lot of drop-off.&quot;</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The result is industry-standard SMS opt-in rates under 1%. Benchmade was sitting at 4.23%, which was already above average, and the team called it a massive missed opportunity. After moving to one-tap verification at checkout, opt-in tripled to 12%. IQBAR ran the same play and jumped from 0.36% to 6%, doubling a year&#39;s worth of SMS opt-ins in two weeks.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Compliance Is Fragmenting Faster Than Brands Can Staff For It</b></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">TCPA is tightening. State-by-state SMS rules are expanding. GDPR is not standing still in the EU, UK GDPR is diverging on its own track, Quebec&#39;s Law 25 is forcing record-keeping at the consent level, and California&#39;s privacy stack keeps moving. For brands selling across multiple regions, manual compliance is a losing game. As Denver Modern&#39;s Lauren Costanza said: &quot;We needed a compliant list of healthy leads that were actually interested in what we had to offer, but knew compliance is different state by state and the rules are always changing.&quot;</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">A rules engine that updates automatically as laws change has stopped being a nice-to-have. It is the only viable way to scale.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>AI Is Now Optimizing the Consent Layer Itself</b></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Consent collection used to be a static checkbox with one piece of text. The state-of-the-art now is a system that processes location, purchase history, consent status, channel, and current legal requirements per shopper, then optimizes the opt-in flow in real time. Dataships&#39; engine has 45M+ decisions feeding back into the model. Manual rule-writing cannot match that. The teams using AI-optimized consent flows are pulling ahead the same way teams using AI-driven attribution pulled ahead two years ago.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Some Categories Cannot Use SMS at All</b></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">This last one quietly matters. Telecom carriers restrict CBD and THC messaging, so brands like Cornbread Hemp cannot run SMS as a retention channel at all. Email becomes the only owned channel that drives education, repurchase, and LTV. That is why Cornbread Hemp&#39;s lift from 78% to 94.46% email consent translated into $743K of repeat revenue tied directly to subscribers who would not exist otherwise. In categories where one channel is structurally off-limits, the remaining channel&#39;s capture rate is doubly important.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">🧠 <b>Takeaway:</b> The standard Shopify checkout is leaving a structural margin advantage on the table for whoever fixes the consent layer first. The cost of waiting compounds every month.</p></div><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p><div class="section" style="background-color:transparent;border-color:#C0C0C0;border-radius:3px;border-style:solid;border-width:3px;margin:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;padding:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;"><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><i><b>Tactics</b></i></p><h1 class="heading" style="text-align:left;" id="trend-watch-commerce-is-moving-insi"><b>🛠️ The Consent Optimization Playbook</b></h1><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Consent recovery is not a one-time project. The brands compounding the largest gains treat it like a revenue operation with a clear process and quarterly accountability. Here is the playbook.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Week 1: Audit Your Current Opt-In Rates</b></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Pull your current email and SMS opt-in rates at checkout. Benchmarks for what good looks like: 90%+ email opt-in, 6-12% US SMS opt-in. If you are below those numbers, you are leaving measurable money on the table. Most teams are surprised by what the actual number is. The default Shopify checkbox with auto-check on typically lands around 60% email, and SMS sits under 1%.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Operator note: Adam at Benchmade audited the stack as his first move when he took over digital growth. That audit is how he found the consent gap.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Week 2: A/B Test Against Your Current Setup</b></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Do not take any vendor&#39;s word. The same play Benchmade used to validate Dataships works for any consent platform: run a 50/50 split against your current flow for two to three weeks, then measure incremental opt-ins and revenue. If a platform cannot show real lift in a controlled test, the math is not real.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Week 3-4: Fix the SMS Friction First</b></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The &quot;Reply Y&quot; flow is the single highest-impact change. Replace it with one-tap verification at checkout, where the code drops into the page rather than the customer&#39;s inbox. This is the gap between 0.36% and 6%+ SMS opt-in, and it is the difference between SMS being a vanity channel and a $22K to $31K incremental monthly revenue line. Most brands underestimate this fix because they assume SMS opt-in is naturally low. It is not. It is broken.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Month 2: Move Compliance Off Your Team&#39;s Plate</b></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">TCPA enforcement is tightening, state-by-state SMS rules are expanding, EU and UK email laws keep moving, and CBD/THC brands face their own carrier-side restrictions. Staffing for this manually does not scale past a couple of regions. The right move is a system that handles the rules engine, the consent records, the suppression lists, and the audit logs automatically, so the operator&#39;s job becomes strategy, not compliance maintenance.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Month 3 and Beyond: Hold the System Accountable to Numbers</b></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The Dataships portfolio is full of brands running a quarterly check-in: net-new subscribers, CLV uplift per subscriber, and projected 12-month revenue forecast against actual. Ancestral Supplements is tracking against a $1.1M LTV forecast. Denver Modern is tracking against $31.5K in incremental monthly revenue. Benchmade is tracking against $146K combined monthly LTV. That is how the operator&#39;s job stops being &quot;did we improve opt-in&quot; and starts being &quot;how much margin did the consent layer ship to the bottom line this quarter.&quot;</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">DTC Times readers get a free A/B test plus 3 months free on the SMS opt-in product when they sign up by June 30. Just mention DTC Times on the form.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><a class="link" href="https://www.dataships.io/ab-test?utm_source=dtc-times&utm_medium=sponsored-content&utm_campaign=cot-q2" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Click here to schedule your free A/B test.</a></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">🧠 <b>Takeaway:</b> Consent optimization compounds. Every incremental subscriber captured at checkout flows into every retention campaign you already run. The earlier the fix lands, the longer it compounds.</p></div><h1 class="heading" style="text-align:left;" id="quick-hits">🔗 Quick Hits</h1><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The<a class="link" href="https://www.dataships.io/2025-consent-benchmark?utm_source=dtc-times&utm_medium=sponsored-content&utm_campaign=cot-q2" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow"> 2025 Consent Benchmark report</a> breaks down checkout consent rates across 15M sessions, by region and channel: useful as a baseline before you change anything in your own checkout</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Benchmade&#39;s full story is documented across two case studies: the<a class="link" href="https://www.dataships.io/case-studies/how-benchmade-completed-a-full-funnel-audience-building-machine-with-dataships?utm_source=dtc-times&utm_medium=sponsored-content&utm_campaign=cot-q2" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow"> email opt-in turnaround</a> (60% to 97%) and the<a class="link" href="https://www.dataships.io/case-studies/how-benchmade-tripled-sms-opt-ins-and-unlocked-22k-in-monthly-revenue-with-dataships?utm_source=dtc-times&utm_medium=sponsored-content&utm_campaign=cot-q2" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow"> SMS opt-in triple</a> (4.23% to 12%), worth reading in sequence if you run a higher-AOV brand</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">TCPA enforcement on SMS keeps tightening, and state-by-state consent rules keep multiplying: brands trying to keep up with this manually are losing time they could spend on growth</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">IQBAR&#39;s<a class="link" href="https://www.dataships.io/case-studies/how-iqbar-transformed-checkout-into-a-repeat-purchase-powerhouse?utm_source=dtc-times&utm_medium=sponsored-content&utm_campaign=cot-q2" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow"> checkout-to-retention build</a> is the cleanest example of a consent fix plugging into a full retention stack (Klaviyo plus direct mail), with 491% ROI inside 12 months</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">If you sell on Shopify and have never A/B tested your default consent flow, the math says you should: <a class="link" href="https://www.dataships.io/ab-test?utm_source=dtc-times&utm_medium=sponsored-content&utm_campaign=cot-q2" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Click here to schedule your free A/B test.</a></p></li></ul><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p></div><div class='beehiiv__footer'><br class='beehiiv__footer__break'><hr class='beehiiv__footer__line'><a target="_blank" class="beehiiv__footer_link" style="text-align: center;" href="https://www.beehiiv.com/?utm_campaign=1b0cfb5a-b948-4adf-b5f2-2d5714850109&utm_medium=post_rss&utm_source=the_dtc_times">Powered by beehiiv</a></div></div>
  ]]></content:encoded>
</item>

      <item>
  <title>YOU&#39;RE INVITED: Live Andromeda Audit &amp; Case Study</title>
  <description>Why Your DTC Brand Isn&#39;t Scaling on Andromeda and How to Fix It</description>
      <enclosure url="https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/0f2ac844-f481-401b-927d-ec3831d29a17/untitleddesign.png" length="16097" type="image/png"/>
  <link>https://the.dtctimes.com/p/you-re-invited-live-andromeda-audit-case-study</link>
  <guid isPermaLink="true">https://the.dtctimes.com/p/you-re-invited-live-andromeda-audit-case-study</guid>
  <pubDate>Wed, 13 May 2026 23:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
  <atom:published>2026-05-13T23:00:00Z</atom:published>
    <dc:creator>The DTC Times</dc:creator>
  <content:encoded><![CDATA[
    <div class='beehiiv'><style>
  .bh__table, .bh__table_header, .bh__table_cell { border: 1px solid #C0C0C0; }
  .bh__table_cell { padding: 5px; background-color: #FFFFFF; }
  .bh__table_cell p { color: #2D2D2D; font-family: 'Helvetica',Arial,sans-serif !important; overflow-wrap: break-word; }
  .bh__table_header { padding: 5px; background-color:#F1F1F1; }
  .bh__table_header p { color: #2A2A2A; font-family:'Trebuchet MS','Lucida Grande',Tahoma,sans-serif !important; overflow-wrap: break-word; }
</style><div class='beehiiv__body'><div class="section" style="background-color:transparent;border-color:#000000;border-radius:3px;border-style:solid;border-width:3px;margin:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;padding:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;"><h1 class="heading" style="text-align:left;">Special Webinar: Why Your DTC Brand Isn&#39;t Scaling on Andromeda and How to Fix It</h1><div class="image"><a class="image__link" href="https://luma.com/zyioo6c6?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=you-re-invited-live-andromeda-audit-case-study" rel="noopener" target="_blank"><img alt="" class="image__image" style="" src="https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/f67dc9f4-081b-4aa3-924e-46229b4aa011/1080x1080_V2.png?t=1778690715"/></a></div><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">If your DTC brand isn&#39;t scaling on Andromeda the way you know it should be, it&#39;s not a budget problem.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">It&#39;s not a product problem either.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">While most brands are still running the same tired playbook, the smartest operators are already three steps ahead on Andromeda and pulling further away every single day.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">After scaling 200+ DTC brands across every major digital channel, the team at Digicom keeps seeing the same handful of Andromeda mistakes over and over again. Mistakes that are quietly draining budget, killing momentum, and keeping good brands from reaching their real potential.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">That&#39;s why Chew on This is going live with Ash Melwani, CMO of Obvi and the man behind $100M+ in managed ad spend, alongside the founding team of Digicom, a 2025 Inc. 5000-listed e-commerce growth agency, to do something nobody else is willing to do - audit a real DTC brand on Andromeda LIVE, in real time, with nothing held back.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Here’s what you can expect:</p><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The complete Andromeda framework the top DTC brands are using to scale profitably right now</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">​A live brand audit breaking down exactly how experts approach and optimize on Andromeda in real time</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">​A detailed case study of a real DTC brand showing the strategy, execution, and results</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">​The biggest Andromeda opportunities most brands are missing and how to capitalize on them immediately</p></li></ul><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">🗓️ <b>When:</b> Thursday, May 21, 1:00 PM EST<br>🔗 <b>Save your spot (limited to 500 seats):</b> <a class="link" href="https://luma.com/zyioo6c6?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=you-re-invited-live-andromeda-audit-case-study" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Why Your DTC Brand Isn&#39;t Scaling on Andromeda and How to Fix It</a></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">​You&#39;ll walk away with a complete masterclass in Andromeda growth, real examples you can learn from, and a proven playbook you can put to work immediately.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Don’t miss out.</b></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">(And if you’re interested in <i>your </i>brand being audited live for FREE, send an email to alex@chewonthis.io)</p></div><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p></div><div class='beehiiv__footer'><br class='beehiiv__footer__break'><hr class='beehiiv__footer__line'><a target="_blank" class="beehiiv__footer_link" style="text-align: center;" href="https://www.beehiiv.com/?utm_campaign=c216d37c-392d-4f20-b41d-3e79c753b3e5&utm_medium=post_rss&utm_source=the_dtc_times">Powered by beehiiv</a></div></div>
  ]]></content:encoded>
</item>

      <item>
  <title>The Guide to Scaling Support with AI - Without Losing the Human Touch</title>
  <description>Register for a FREE webinar on May 7 with kim.cc and the former Head of CX at Glossier</description>
      <enclosure url="https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/0f2ac844-f481-401b-927d-ec3831d29a17/untitleddesign.png" length="16097" type="image/png"/>
  <link>https://the.dtctimes.com/p/the-guide-to-scaling-support-with-ai-without-losing-the-human-touch</link>
  <guid isPermaLink="true">https://the.dtctimes.com/p/the-guide-to-scaling-support-with-ai-without-losing-the-human-touch</guid>
  <pubDate>Wed, 29 Apr 2026 23:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
  <atom:published>2026-04-29T23:00:00Z</atom:published>
    <dc:creator>The DTC Times</dc:creator>
  <content:encoded><![CDATA[
    <div class='beehiiv'><style>
  .bh__table, .bh__table_header, .bh__table_cell { border: 1px solid #C0C0C0; }
  .bh__table_cell { padding: 5px; background-color: #FFFFFF; }
  .bh__table_cell p { color: #2D2D2D; font-family: 'Helvetica',Arial,sans-serif !important; overflow-wrap: break-word; }
  .bh__table_header { padding: 5px; background-color:#F1F1F1; }
  .bh__table_header p { color: #2A2A2A; font-family:'Trebuchet MS','Lucida Grande',Tahoma,sans-serif !important; overflow-wrap: break-word; }
</style><div class='beehiiv__body'><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">A lot of brands think they&#39;ve &quot;won&quot; at customer support the moment they set up an AI chatbot.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">But here&#39;s what they&#39;re not telling you: most of those brands are quietly bleeding retention, killing loyalty, and losing customers they already paid to acquire - all because automation alone isn&#39;t enough.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The real winners? They don&#39;t <b>replace </b>their support teams with AI. They <b>supercharge </b>them with it. And there&#39;s a very specific way to get that balance right.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">While your competitors are over-automating and watching their repeat purchase rates drop, smart operators are turning customer support into one of their most powerful growth levers.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">On <b>Thursday, May 7 from 1:30PM to 2:30PM EST, </b>Chew on This is hosting a FREE live webinar bringing together some of the sharpest minds in DTC and CX to hand you the exact frameworks the best brands are using to scale support without sacrificing the human connection that drives real lifetime value.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Joining Live on Zoom:</b></p><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><span style="font-family:inherit;font-size:16px;"><b>Ronak Shah</b></span><span style="font-size:16px;">, CEO & Co-Founder of Obvi, a $100M health and wellness brand</span></p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><span style="font-family:inherit;font-size:16px;"><b>Sachin Jaiswal, </b></span><span style="font-family:inherit;font-size:16px;">Co-Founder of </span><span style="font-family:inherit;font-size:16px;"><a class="link" href="https://kim.cc?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=the-guide-to-scaling-support-with-ai-without-losing-the-human-touch" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">kim.cc</a></span><span style="font-family:inherit;font-size:16px;">, a platform powering personalized customer support for over 200+ DTC brands</span></p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Cati Brunell-Brutman, </b>former Head of CX at Glossier</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Margaret Nyamumbo</b><span style="color:rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family:-apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Apple Color Emoji", Inter, Roboto, "Segoe UI", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, "Noto Sans", sans-serif;font-size:medium;">, </span>Founder of Kahawa 1893 Coffee, who has successfully implemented human-first support org-wide</p></li></ul><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><a class="link" href="https://luma.com/xuh8cn4h?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=the-guide-to-scaling-support-with-ai-without-losing-the-human-touch" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Register here for free →</a></p><div class="image"><a class="image__link" href="https://luma.com/xuh8cn4h?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=the-guide-to-scaling-support-with-ai-without-losing-the-human-touch" rel="noopener" target="_blank"><img alt="" class="image__image" style="border-radius:0px 0px 0px 0px;border-style:solid;border-width:0px 0px 0px 0px;box-sizing:border-box;border-color:#E5E7EB;" src="https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/36da437b-871d-4e0b-9e63-5f221345c3eb/1x1_copy.jpeg?t=1777411564"/></a></div><h2 class="heading" style="text-align:left;" id="the-guide-to-scaling-support-with-a">The Guide to Scaling Support with AI Without Losing the Human Touch</h2><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>You’ll learn:</b></p><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Where AI support breaks down - and how it impacts retention and customer trust</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Why the best DTC brands still invest in support agents supercharged by AI</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">How to balance automation with human interaction for a better customer experience</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Real-world examples of brands using human support to drive loyalty and repeat revenue</p></li></ul><h2 class="heading" style="text-align:left;" id="why-this-one-is-worth-your-time"><span style="font-family:inherit;font-size:24px;"><b>Why this one is worth your time</b></span></h2><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">While your competitors keep automating everything and losing customers they can&#39;t afford to lose, you&#39;ll walk away with a clear, practical playbook you can put to work immediately.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Collectively, these speakers have:</b></p><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Scaled multiple DTC brands to 7, 8, and 9 figures</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">​Supported customer experiences across millions of interactions globally</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">​Helped brands improve retention, loyalty, and lifetime value through smarter support strategies</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">​Built and implemented support systems used by tens of millions of businesses</p></li></ul><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"> And now they’re sharing <b>exactly </b>what works.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><a class="link" href="https://luma.com/xuh8cn4h?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=the-guide-to-scaling-support-with-ai-without-losing-the-human-touch" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Register for free and save your spot →</a></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p></div><div class='beehiiv__footer'><br class='beehiiv__footer__break'><hr class='beehiiv__footer__line'><a target="_blank" class="beehiiv__footer_link" style="text-align: center;" href="https://www.beehiiv.com/?utm_campaign=ec022047-6e2b-4e83-8677-b09531869c44&utm_medium=post_rss&utm_source=the_dtc_times">Powered by beehiiv</a></div></div>
  ]]></content:encoded>
</item>

      <item>
  <title>The Secret Andromeda Playbook: How Top DTC Brands Are Scaling Faster in 2026</title>
  <description>Best Practices Are Fine. Seeing the Andromeda Playbook Live Is Better.</description>
      <enclosure url="https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/0f2ac844-f481-401b-927d-ec3831d29a17/untitleddesign.png" length="16097" type="image/png"/>
  <link>https://the.dtctimes.com/p/the-secret-andromeda-playbook-how-top-dtc-brands-are-scaling-faster-in-2026</link>
  <guid isPermaLink="true">https://the.dtctimes.com/p/the-secret-andromeda-playbook-how-top-dtc-brands-are-scaling-faster-in-2026</guid>
  <pubDate>Sun, 22 Mar 2026 23:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
  <atom:published>2026-03-22T23:00:00Z</atom:published>
    <dc:creator>The DTC Times</dc:creator>
  <content:encoded><![CDATA[
    <div class='beehiiv'><style>
  .bh__table, .bh__table_header, .bh__table_cell { border: 1px solid #C0C0C0; }
  .bh__table_cell { padding: 5px; background-color: #FFFFFF; }
  .bh__table_cell p { color: #2D2D2D; font-family: 'Helvetica',Arial,sans-serif !important; overflow-wrap: break-word; }
  .bh__table_header { padding: 5px; background-color:#F1F1F1; }
  .bh__table_header p { color: #2A2A2A; font-family:'Trebuchet MS','Lucida Grande',Tahoma,sans-serif !important; overflow-wrap: break-word; }
</style><div class='beehiiv__body'><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Most brands are still treating Andromeda like another place to push spend and hope the platform figures it out. The teams getting the most out of it have a real playbook behind the scenes: better structure, better optimization, and better decisions about where the leverage actually is.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">On <b>Thursday, March 26 from 1:00 PM to 2:00 PM EST</b>, there is a live webinar breaking down exactly what is working right now with:</p><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Ashvin Melwani</b>, CMO & Co-Founder of Obvi, a $100M health and wellness brand, with 10+ years of e-commerce experience and $100M+ in paid ads managed</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>The founding team of Digicom</b>, a 2025 Inc. 5000-listed e-commerce growth agency that has partnered with and scaled 200+ DTC brands across every major digital channel</p></li></ul><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">👉<a class="link" href="https://luma.com/xf4gqs9n?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=the-secret-andromeda-playbook-how-top-dtc-brands-are-scaling-faster-in-2026" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow"> Register here for free</a></p><div class="image"><a class="image__link" href="https://luma.com/xf4gqs9n?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=the-secret-andromeda-playbook-how-top-dtc-brands-are-scaling-faster-in-2026" rel="noopener" target="_blank"><img alt="" class="image__image" style="" src="https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/767258e0-9521-4fc8-b1bf-27094d14c217/1x1.JPEG?t=1774043531"/></a></div><h2 class="heading" style="text-align:left;" id="what-youll-learn"><b>What You&#39;ll Learn</b></h2><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The Andromeda strategies top DTC brands are using to scale faster in 2026</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">How to structure and optimize your brand for stronger performance</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">A live brand audit showing how these ideas play out in the real world</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The biggest opportunities most brands are still overlooking</p></li></ul><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Between Obvi and Digicom, these operators have managed <b>$200M+ in profitable ad spend</b>, scaled <b>dozens of 8 and 9-figure brands</b>, and helped <b>200+ DTC brands</b> unlock sustainable growth across every major digital channel.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">If you are a founder, operator, or media buyer who wants a proven, repeatable playbook instead of another vague growth conversation, this will be worth the hour.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><a class="link" href="https://luma.com/xf4gqs9n?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=the-secret-andromeda-playbook-how-top-dtc-brands-are-scaling-faster-in-2026" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Save your spot here →</a></p></div><div class='beehiiv__footer'><br class='beehiiv__footer__break'><hr class='beehiiv__footer__line'><a target="_blank" class="beehiiv__footer_link" style="text-align: center;" href="https://www.beehiiv.com/?utm_campaign=683b9982-5495-4a54-840d-4ab031e02681&utm_medium=post_rss&utm_source=the_dtc_times">Powered by beehiiv</a></div></div>
  ]]></content:encoded>
</item>

      <item>
  <title>The Retail Tax Nobody Budgeted For</title>
  <description>Why DTC brands expanding into wholesale are hemorrhaging margin on chargebacks they never saw coming — and the operators turning deduction recovery into a profit center</description>
      <enclosure url="https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/0f2ac844-f481-401b-927d-ec3831d29a17/untitleddesign.png" length="16097" type="image/png"/>
  <link>https://the.dtctimes.com/p/the-retail-tax-nobody-budgeted-for</link>
  <guid isPermaLink="true">https://the.dtctimes.com/p/the-retail-tax-nobody-budgeted-for</guid>
  <pubDate>Wed, 18 Mar 2026 23:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
  <atom:published>2026-03-18T23:00:00Z</atom:published>
    <dc:creator>The DTC Times</dc:creator>
  <content:encoded><![CDATA[
    <div class='beehiiv'><style>
  .bh__table, .bh__table_header, .bh__table_cell { border: 1px solid #C0C0C0; }
  .bh__table_cell { padding: 5px; background-color: #FFFFFF; }
  .bh__table_cell p { color: #2D2D2D; font-family: 'Helvetica',Arial,sans-serif !important; overflow-wrap: break-word; }
  .bh__table_header { padding: 5px; background-color:#F1F1F1; }
  .bh__table_header p { color: #2A2A2A; font-family:'Trebuchet MS','Lucida Grande',Tahoma,sans-serif !important; overflow-wrap: break-word; }
</style><div class='beehiiv__body'><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Every DTC brand celebrates its first Target PO. Almost none budget for the five-figure chargeback bill 90 days later.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The omnichannel playbook says diversify into wholesale. What it leaves out is the Byzantine deduction system waiting on the other side. Retailers routinely claw back 3-7% of wholesale revenue through chargebacks, shortages, and compliance fines. The burden of proof is on you. The dispute windows are tight. And most brands do not even know it is happening until the quarterly P&L looks wrong.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The brands scaling profitably through retail are not the ones with the best buyer relationships or the cleanest supply chains. They are the ones who treat deduction recovery as a core financial operation — not an accounts payable afterthought.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Today:</b></p><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Macro: </b>The wholesale chargeback crisis</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Trends:</b> AI-powered compliance and retailer consolidation</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Tactics:</b> The deduction recovery playbook</p></li></ul><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Let&#39;s dive in 👇</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p><div class="section" style="background-color:transparent;border-color:#000000;border-radius:3px;border-style:solid;border-width:3px;margin:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;padding:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;"><h1 class="heading" style="text-align:left;"><b>The Deduction Recovery System Built by Someone Who Lived It</b></h1><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Here is the uncomfortable math. A DTC brand doing $5M in wholesale revenue will lose $150K-$350K annually to retailer deductions. That is not shrinkage. That is not COGS. That is money already earned and invoiced, clawed back through a system designed to favor the retailer.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Maysam built RetailPath after seeing this problem at scale in retail operations. The existing AP tools were not designed for the adversarial complexity of retail chargebacks — the unique portals, the shifting compliance guides, the dispute deadlines that expire before most brands even review the deduction.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">RetailPath automates the entire deduction recovery workflow: ingesting deductions across every retail partner, running AI-powered &quot;Document X-ray&quot; analysis against BOLs, shipping docs, and compliance records, then filing systematic disputes through each retailer&#39;s portal before windows close.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The results from brands that have deployed it:</p><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Ritual</b>: recovered <b>$120k+</b> in Target deductions and unpaid invoices — in less than <b>90 days</b> from onboarding</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Barebells</b> (protein bars): recovered <b>$150k+</b> in invalid deductions that would have been written off</p></li></ul><div class="image"><a class="image__link" href="https://meetings-na2.hubspot.com/maysam/30-min-via-chew-on-this?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=the-retail-tax-nobody-budgeted-for" rel="noopener" target="_blank"><img alt="" class="image__image" style="" src="https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/ccd2c895-7524-485c-9c20-e701783ccbb7/image__16___1_.png?t=1773854055"/></a></div><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Here is the margin math that makes this click. Recovering $120K in deductions is not the same as generating $120K in new revenue. New DTC revenue at a 20-30% margin means you need $400-600K in incremental sales to produce the same bottom-line impact. Recovered deductions have no CAC, no COGS, no fulfillment cost. Every dollar goes straight to the bottom line.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">RetailPath is running an 86% win rate on disputed deductions. That is not achievable manually — it requires AI-powered document matching at speed and scale that no AP team can replicate.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">If you sell through wholesale and you are not actively auditing your deductions, it is worth 30 minutes to find out what you are leaving on the table.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><a class="link" href="https://meetings-na2.hubspot.com/maysam/30-min-via-chew-on-this?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=the-retail-tax-nobody-budgeted-for" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Book 30 Minutes with Maysam →</a></p></div><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p><div class="section" style="background-color:transparent;border-color:#C0C0C0;border-radius:3px;border-style:solid;border-width:3px;margin:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;padding:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;"><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><i><b>Macro Environment</b></i></p><h1 class="heading" style="text-align:left;" id="the-great-dtc-reset-chaos-opportuni">📉 The Wholesale Chargeback Crisis</h1><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The wholesale expansion story is the consensus playbook for DTC brands that have hit a ceiling on paid acquisition. Target, Walmart, Ulta, CVS — the retail partnerships are coming faster than ever. What nobody talks about is the margin erosion hiding inside every one of those relationships.</p><h2 class="heading" style="text-align:left;">The Omnichannel Margin Trap</h2><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">DTC brands are expanding into wholesale at record pace. The economics look compelling on the surface: larger order volumes, lower per-unit acquisition costs, brand credibility from shelf presence. But 3-7% of wholesale revenue is being lost to deductions before it ever hits the P&L.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">At $5M in wholesale revenue, that is $150-350K annually — gone. Not from bad product-market fit. Not from poor sell-through. From chargebacks, shortages, and compliance fines that most brands never even review, let alone dispute.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The deduction categories are deceptively mundane: an ASN that did not match the PO exactly, a pallet that was half an inch too tall, a label placement that deviated from the compliance guide, a shortage the retailer claims but your shipping records contradict. Individually, each deduction is $200-$5,000. Collectively, they are a margin killer.</p><h2 class="heading" style="text-align:left;">Why the Problem Compounds With Scale</h2><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Here is where the math gets ugly. Each new retail partner does not just add revenue — it adds an entirely unique compliance guide, a separate vendor portal, distinct dispute processes, and different deadline windows ranging from 30 to 90 days.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Going from 2 retail partners to 6 does not triple your deduction exposure. It increases it 5-8x. The complexity is nonlinear because each retailer&#39;s system is different enough that you cannot standardize your response.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Enterprise CPG companies — the Procter & Gambles and Unilevers — have 50-person deduction recovery teams. They recover millions annually because they staff for it. Emerging DTC brands expanding into wholesale have zero dedicated recovery headcount. The result is predictable: a huge percentage of disputable deductions go unchallenged.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">🧠 <b>Takeaway:</b> Wholesale expansion is margin exposure. Budget for deduction management as a line item, not an afterthought. If you are not actively auditing deductions, assume you are losing 3-7% of wholesale revenue to recoverable chargebacks.</p></div><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p><div class="section" style="background-color:transparent;border-color:#C0C0C0;border-radius:3px;border-style:solid;border-width:3px;margin:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;padding:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;"><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><i><b>Trends</b></i></p><h1 class="heading" style="text-align:left;" id="scrappy-growth-whats-actually-worki">📊 The Compliance Arms Race</h1><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The deduction environment is not static. It is getting harder, faster, and more automated — on the retailer side. Brands that do not match that pace will see their deduction losses accelerate.</p><h2 class="heading" style="text-align:left;">Retailer Compliance Is Tightening</h2><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Walmart&#39;s OTIF (On-Time In-Full) requirements have gotten stricter year over year. Target&#39;s compliance penalty structure has expanded. Kroger&#39;s vendor expectations have increased post-merger activity. The pattern is consistent: retailers are investing in automated compliance checking, and the bar keeps rising.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">This means deduction volume increases even when your fulfillment quality stays constant. What passed compliance two years ago generates fines today. And because the compliance guides update frequently — sometimes without clear communication to vendors — brands get hit with violations they did not know were possible.</p><h2 class="heading" style="text-align:left;">AI Changes Both Sides</h2><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Retailers are deploying AI to issue deductions faster and more systematically. Automated receiving systems flag discrepancies instantly. AI-powered compliance scanners catch violations that human auditors missed. The velocity of deductions is increasing.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Brands need AI on their side to keep pace. RetailPath&#39;s 86% win rate on disputes is not achievable with manual processes — it requires AI-powered document matching that can analyze shipping records, cross-reference compliance requirements, and generate dispute evidence at machine speed.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">This is the same pattern we see across DTC operations. The measurement space saw it with tools like Lifesight replacing broken attribution. The deduction space is following the same arc: early adopters of AI-powered tooling get a structural margin advantage that compounds over time.</p><h2 class="heading" style="text-align:left;">Consolidation Means Fewer Partners With More Power</h2><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Retail consolidation — Kroger-Albertsons, Capri Holdings restructuring, continued private-label expansion — means fewer but larger retail partners for most brands. Each remaining partner represents a bigger share of wholesale revenue.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The implication for deductions: higher volume per relationship, higher stakes per dispute, and less leverage in negotiations. A deduction dispute with a partner that represents 40% of your wholesale revenue carries different weight than one with a partner at 10%.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The operators who survive this environment run their wholesale operations with the same financial rigor they apply to DTC media spend. Every dollar is tracked, every deduction is reviewed, and recovery is automated.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">🧠 <b>Takeaway:</b> The compliance environment is getting harder. AI is accelerating both sides — retailers issuing deductions faster, and brands that invest in automated recovery gaining structural margin advantage. The window to build this capability is now, before the next round of compliance tightening.</p></div><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p><div class="section" style="background-color:transparent;border-color:#C0C0C0;border-radius:3px;border-style:solid;border-width:3px;margin:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;padding:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;"><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><i><b>Tactics</b></i></p><h1 class="heading" style="text-align:left;" id="trend-watch-commerce-is-moving-insi"><b>🛠️</b> The Deduction Recovery Playbook</h1><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Deduction recovery is not a one-time cleanup project. The brands recovering six figures annually treat it as an ongoing revenue operation with defined processes, clear ownership, and systematic execution.</p><h2 class="heading" style="text-align:left;">Week 1-2: The Deduction Audit</h2><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Start by pulling 6 months of deductions from every retail partner. Categorize each one by type — chargeback, shortage, compliance fine, unpaid invoice. Calculate your deduction rate per retailer as a percentage of wholesale revenue.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Most brands are shocked by the aggregate number. Individual deductions look manageable. Six months of history reveals a systemic problem.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Flag every deduction that is still within the dispute window. Prioritize by dollar value and likelihood of successful dispute. Chargebacks with clear shipping documentation contradicting the claim are your highest-probability wins.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Operator tip: Start with your highest-volume retailer, not your newest one. That is where the largest dollar amount of recoverable deductions lives.</p><h2 class="heading" style="text-align:left;">Week 3-4: Build the Dispute Machine</h2><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Match each flagged deduction against your shipping documentation — BOLs, ASNs, proof of delivery, compliance certificates. Identify the easy wins: deductions where your documentation clearly contradicts the retailer&#39;s claim.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Submit disputes in batches rather than one-off. Batch submissions are more efficient to prepare and easier to track through resolution.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Track outcomes meticulously. Your win rate tells you whether your process is working.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Operator tip: A 60-70% win rate on disputed deductions is typical for well-documented manual disputes. Below 50% signals documentation gaps in your shipping process. Above 80% usually means you are only disputing the most obvious cases and leaving money on the table by not contesting the borderline ones.</p><h2 class="heading" style="text-align:left;">Month 2-3: Automate or Outsource</h2><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Manual deduction management does not scale past 3-4 retail partners. The portal complexity, document matching, and deadline tracking overwhelm any reasonable headcount allocation.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">This is the inflection point. Brands that automate their deduction recovery see a 3-5x increase in recovered dollars — not because there are more invalid deductions, but because automation catches deductions that manual review misses entirely.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">RetailPath&#39;s AI Document X-ray is the unlock here. It automatically matches deductions against your shipping documentation, identifies discrepancies, and generates dispute packages — across every retail partner simultaneously.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">If your wholesale revenue exceeds $2M, the ROI on automated deduction recovery is typically positive within the first quarter. The recovered dollars dwarf the cost of the tooling.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><a class="link" href="https://meetings-na2.hubspot.com/maysam/30-min-via-chew-on-this?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=the-retail-tax-nobody-budgeted-for" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Book 30 Minutes with Maysam →</a></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">🧠 <b>Takeaway:</b> Deduction recovery is an ongoing revenue operation, not a cleanup project. The playbook is straightforward: audit, dispute, automate. The brands that systematize this recover 3-5x more than those doing it ad hoc.</p></div><h1 class="heading" style="text-align:left;" id="quick-hits">🔗 Quick Hits</h1><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><a class="link" href="https://ziplinelogistics.com/blog/walmart-otif-98-percent/?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=the-retail-tax-nobody-budgeted-for" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Walmart OTIF requirements are tightening again for 2026</a> — brands not hitting 98%+ in-full and on-time will see increased chargeback volume</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><a class="link" href="https://digiday.com/marketing/target-getting-dtc-brands-sell-stores/?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=the-retail-tax-nobody-budgeted-for" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Target is onboarding digital-native brands at record numbers</a>, but the compliance learning curve is catching newcomers off guard with five-figure deduction bills in Q1</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The <a class="link" href="https://www.ftc.gov/news-events/news/press-releases/2024/12/statement-ftc-victory-securing-halt-kroger-albertsons-grocery-merger?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=the-retail-tax-nobody-budgeted-for" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">collapsed Kroger-Albertsons merger</a> leaves both chains competing independently — brands selling into both should audit deduction patterns as each retailer sharpens its own compliance playbook</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><a class="link" href="https://www.deloitte.com/us/en/insights/industry/consumer-products/consumer-products-industry-outlook.html?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=the-retail-tax-nobody-budgeted-for" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">CPG margins continue compressing</a>, making deduction recovery one of the few remaining levers for margin improvement without top-line growth</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">If you sell through wholesale and are not actively auditing your deductions, it is worth 30 minutes to find out what you are leaving on the table: <a class="link" href="https://meetings-na2.hubspot.com/maysam/30-min-via-chew-on-this?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=the-retail-tax-nobody-budgeted-for" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Book 30 Minutes with Maysam →</a></p></li></ul><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p></div><div class='beehiiv__footer'><br class='beehiiv__footer__break'><hr class='beehiiv__footer__line'><a target="_blank" class="beehiiv__footer_link" style="text-align: center;" href="https://www.beehiiv.com/?utm_campaign=47aa1a9d-1dc9-47a5-954e-247a6d1501cc&utm_medium=post_rss&utm_source=the_dtc_times">Powered by beehiiv</a></div></div>
  ]]></content:encoded>
</item>

      <item>
  <title>Why Marketing Consent Is Your Next Revenue Lever</title>
  <description>Your default Shopify consent settings are quietly nuking your LTV:CAC ratios. This is how to reclaim your retention engine.</description>
      <enclosure url="https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/0f2ac844-f481-401b-927d-ec3831d29a17/untitleddesign.png" length="16097" type="image/png"/>
  <link>https://the.dtctimes.com/p/why-marketing-consent-is-your-next-revenue-lever</link>
  <guid isPermaLink="true">https://the.dtctimes.com/p/why-marketing-consent-is-your-next-revenue-lever</guid>
  <pubDate>Wed, 11 Mar 2026 23:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
  <atom:published>2026-03-11T23:00:00Z</atom:published>
    <dc:creator>The DTC Times</dc:creator>
  <content:encoded><![CDATA[
    <div class='beehiiv'><style>
  .bh__table, .bh__table_header, .bh__table_cell { border: 1px solid #C0C0C0; }
  .bh__table_cell { padding: 5px; background-color: #FFFFFF; }
  .bh__table_cell p { color: #2D2D2D; font-family: 'Helvetica',Arial,sans-serif !important; overflow-wrap: break-word; }
  .bh__table_header { padding: 5px; background-color:#F1F1F1; }
  .bh__table_header p { color: #2A2A2A; font-family:'Trebuchet MS','Lucida Grande',Tahoma,sans-serif !important; overflow-wrap: break-word; }
</style><div class='beehiiv__body'><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">While brands obsess over CPCs and ROAS, their checkout is quietly leaking the very revenue that makes those metrics sustainable. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">And it’s not because of a traffic problem or a creative problem. It’s because they have a <b>consent infrastructure problem</b>.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Across global e-commerce, only <b>39% of customers</b> opt into marketing at checkout. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">That means the majority of buyers they’ve already paid to acquire will never receive an email, SMS, or retention offer. That means brands are essentially paying full price to rent a customer once, rather than owning the relationship.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The industry is currently split into two camps: those who rely on one-size-fits-all default settings that cap growth, and high-performing global brands that treat consent as vital infrastructure. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The latter group understands that a subscribed customer is worth <b>2.4X higher lifetime value</b> on average across common DTC verticals. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Using a safe everywhere setup means leaving <b>~$65,000 per month</b> in unrealized LTV on the table. To recover this, you need to make intentional decisions about your marketing consent setup.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Today, we’re breaking down:</p><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Macro:</b> One-size-fits-all is a seven-figure error</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Trends:</b> The great retention divide</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Tactics:</b> Closing the consent-driven revenue gap</p></li></ul><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Let&#39;s dive in 👇</p><div class="section" style="background-color:transparent;border-color:#C0C0C0;border-radius:3px;border-style:solid;border-width:3px;margin:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;padding:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;"><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><i><b>Macro Environment</b></i></p><h1 class="heading" style="text-align:left;" id="the-great-dtc-reset-chaos-opportuni">📉 One-Size-Fits-All is a Seven-Figure Error</h1><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The one-size-fits-all approach to global e-commerce is dead. It’s time checkouts everywhere also realized this.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Most Shopify Plus brands are currently inheriting a consent strategy rather than choosing one, defaulting to overly conservative setups that prioritize compliance certainty at the absolute expense of growth.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">And this is a consent infrastructure problem. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">When you rely on Shopify defaults, you are essentially letting a generic checkbox determine how much of your future revenue you’ll ever be able to capture.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">This creates a massive regional performance rift that highlights the cost of being safe:</p><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>US & Canada:</b> Brands see ~61% opt-in rates, driven by pre-ticked boxes and CAN-SPAM rules.</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>UK & Europe:</b> Opt-in rates crater to a dismal 9% due to unticked boxes and overly cautious GDPR interpretations.</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Global stores:</b> Most brands fall into a safe everywhere trap, averaging only 13% opt-in globally.</p></li></ul><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">By applying the strictest regional standards to every customer regardless of their actual location, brands are capping their own retention engine when local laws allow for more flexibility. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">In an era of soaring acquisition costs, using one consent setup worldwide guarantees that a majority of customers you’ve already paid for will never enter your CRM ecosystem. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Every customer who doesn&#39;t opt in is a first-order buyer with demonstrated intent whose potential repeat-purchase revenue you will never realize.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">🧠<b> Takeaway:</b> Default consent settings are a structural friction point that causes global brands to materially under-monetize their highest-intent customers, while still potentially violating compliance rules they aren&#39;t even aware of.</p></div><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p><div class="section" style="background-color:transparent;border-color:#000000;border-radius:3px;border-style:solid;border-width:3px;margin:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;padding:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;"><h1 class="heading" style="text-align:left;">The Full Consent Playbook</h1><div class="image"><a class="image__link" href="https://resource.chewonthis.io/how-to-turn-marketing-consent-into-your-next-big-revenue-driver/?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=why-marketing-consent-is-your-next-revenue-lever" rel="noopener" target="_blank"><img alt="" class="image__image" style="" src="https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/e78f83d4-159b-4f16-9bff-ed9418cbb0f9/eBook_How_to_Turn_Marketing_Consent_Into_Your_Next_Big_Revenue_Driver__1_.png?t=1773257398"/></a></div><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Most brands reading this already know what we’re talking about. They can sense the leak but don&#39;t know how big it is or where exactly it&#39;s coming from.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Dataships put together this full resource guide that breaks down exactly how global ecommerce brands are turning checkout consent into a measurable revenue driver, region by region, customer by customer. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">It covers the compliance landscape across the US, UK, and EU, how to calculate your own consent gap in three steps, and what optimized infrastructure looks like in practice.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The brands running this playbook are seeing <b>email opt-in rates jump from 12% to 82%</b>, and unlocking <b>six figures in incremental monthly LTV</b> without spending another dollar on acquisition. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">If you want to understand what that looks like for your specific numbers, this guide is the place to start.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><a class="link" href="https://resource.chewonthis.io/how-to-turn-marketing-consent-into-your-next-big-revenue-driver/?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=why-marketing-consent-is-your-next-revenue-lever" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Download the free guide here</a>.</p></div><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p><div class="section" style="background-color:transparent;border-color:#C0C0C0;border-radius:3px;border-style:solid;border-width:3px;margin:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;padding:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;"><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><i><b>Trends</b></i></p><h1 class="heading" style="text-align:left;" id="scrappy-growth-whats-actually-worki">📊 The Great Retention Divide</h1><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The data is clear: marketing consent is one of the highest-leverage growth variables in your business. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">We are seeing a widening separation between subscribed customers and those who purchase but never opt in. The economic delta between them is staggering. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Whether a customer opts into marketing at checkout fundamentally changes their economic value to your business.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Across every major DTC vertical, subscribed customers are worth an average of <b>2.4X higher lifetime value</b>. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">When you look at the raw numbers, the CLV gap becomes impossible to ignore:</p><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Consumable & Wellness:</b> Subscribed customers hit a <b>$127 CLV</b> vs. <b>$49</b> for non-subscribed = <b>+$77 lift</b>.</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Apparel:</b> Subscribed buyers reach an <b>$89 CLV</b> compared to just <b>$38</b> for those who don&#39;t opt-in.</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Home & Living:</b> The lift is <b>+$69</b>, moving from a $53 to a <b>$123 CLV</b>.</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Active/Recreation/Hobby:</b> Subscribed customers drive <b>$109 CLV</b> vs. <b>$56</b> for non-subscribed.</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>High Value/Specialty:</b> Even in high-ticket categories, the lift is <b>+$33</b> per customer.</p></li></ul><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The trend we’re tracking is that this is a <b>compounding effect</b>. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Every month that a brand operates with low consent rates, they are effectively locking itself out of its own retention ecosystem. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">These customers never enter your email or SMS flows. They never receive replenishment reminders, educational content, or cross-sell offers.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The result? The only way to reach them again is paid acquisition. This creates a widening gap between what your acquisition spend could return and what it actually does. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">For a typical Shopify Plus brand, this gap represents roughly <b>$65,000 per month</b> in unrealized lifetime value (or <b>$780,000 a year</b>), all because of a single structural friction point at checkout.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">🧠<b> Takeaway:</b> In a high-CAC environment, your consent rate is your retention ceiling. Start capturing consent, and every interaction becomes an investment that grows your audience into a self-sustaining, long-term asset.</p></div><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p><div class="section" style="background-color:transparent;border-color:#C0C0C0;border-radius:3px;border-style:solid;border-width:3px;margin:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;padding:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;"><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><i><b>Tactics</b></i></p><h1 class="heading" style="text-align:left;"><span style="color:rgb(42, 42, 42);">🛠️</span><b> </b>Closing the Consent-Driven Revenue Gap</h1><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Stop treating consent as a binary yes/no checkbox and start treating it as dynamic infrastructure. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">High-performing global brands have moved away from static, default settings in favor of a context-aware approach that adapts in real-time.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Here is how to optimize your consent collection without increasing legal exposure:</p><ol start="1"><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Deploy regional logic:</b> Laws vary by geography, and your checkout should too. In the <b>US and Canada</b>, you can leverage implied consent or pre-ticked boxes to reach ~90% opt-in rates. In the <b>UK and Ireland</b>, move from friction-heavy explicit opt-in to soft opt-in for existing customers, which can boost rates from 9% to ~74% while staying compliant with GDPR and ePrivacy frameworks.<br></p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Personalize based on context:</b> Treat a first-time buyer differently from a marketable repeat customer. If a customer is <b>already subscribed</b> to email, remove the widget entirely to keep the checkout clean and prevent accidental opt-outs. If they are a <b>high-value repeat purchaser</b>, use that moment to strategically introduce SMS collection rather than asking for email again.</p></li></ol><h2 class="heading" style="text-align:left;">Calculate Your Specific Consent Gap </h2><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Follow this three-step audit to find your missing revenue:</p><ol start="1"><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Identify your MCR:</b> Export your Shopify customer list, filter for source = checkout, and divide those who accepted marketing by total orders. If you are below 40%, you are hitting the default ceiling.</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Find your CLV delta:</b> Use Shopify&#39;s Cohort Analysis to compare the 12-month repurchase rate of subscribed tags vs. not subscribed.</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Quantify the loss:</b> Multiply the number of non-opt-in customers from the last quarter by your CLV delta to see the aggregate lifetime value you are failing to capture.</p></li></ol><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Enforce suppression and audit trails:</b> Ensure your infrastructure maintains audit-ready logs tied to time, location, and legal basis to protect against GDPR penalties that can reach 4% of global revenue. <br><br>Centralize suppression management so that an unsubscribe on one channel is honored across all.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">🧠<b> Takeaway:</b> Dynamic consent turns compliance into a growth lever, expanding your addressable audience without sacrificing legal standing.</p></div><h1 class="heading" style="text-align:left;" id="quick-hits">🔗 Quick Hits</h1><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Learn how to move beyond restrictive platform defaults, deploy region-specific logic to capture 2.4x higher lifetime value, and audit your own consent gap while maintaining ironclad global compliance. <a class="link" href="https://resource.chewonthis.io/how-to-turn-marketing-consent-into-your-next-big-revenue-driver/?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=why-marketing-consent-is-your-next-revenue-lever" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Download the full Dataships marketing consent guide here</a>.</p></li></ul><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p></div><div class='beehiiv__footer'><br class='beehiiv__footer__break'><hr class='beehiiv__footer__line'><a target="_blank" class="beehiiv__footer_link" style="text-align: center;" href="https://www.beehiiv.com/?utm_campaign=2e0d146d-dd69-4d46-a6b2-02af89044bb7&utm_medium=post_rss&utm_source=the_dtc_times">Powered by beehiiv</a></div></div>
  ]]></content:encoded>
</item>

      <item>
  <title>The Measurement Stack Is Broken. Here Is What Replaces It.</title>
  <description>How top DTC operators are building causal measurement systems that actually reflect reality</description>
      <enclosure url="https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/0f2ac844-f481-401b-927d-ec3831d29a17/untitleddesign.png" length="16097" type="image/png"/>
  <link>https://the.dtctimes.com/p/the-measurement-stack-is-broken-here-is-what-replaces-it</link>
  <guid isPermaLink="true">https://the.dtctimes.com/p/the-measurement-stack-is-broken-here-is-what-replaces-it</guid>
  <pubDate>Sun, 08 Mar 2026 23:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
  <atom:published>2026-03-08T23:00:00Z</atom:published>
    <dc:creator>The DTC Times</dc:creator>
  <content:encoded><![CDATA[
    <div class='beehiiv'><style>
  .bh__table, .bh__table_header, .bh__table_cell { border: 1px solid #C0C0C0; }
  .bh__table_cell { padding: 5px; background-color: #FFFFFF; }
  .bh__table_cell p { color: #2D2D2D; font-family: 'Helvetica',Arial,sans-serif !important; overflow-wrap: break-word; }
  .bh__table_header { padding: 5px; background-color:#F1F1F1; }
  .bh__table_header p { color: #2A2A2A; font-family:'Trebuchet MS','Lucida Grande',Tahoma,sans-serif !important; overflow-wrap: break-word; }
</style><div class='beehiiv__body'><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">For the last two years, every ad platform has been quietly rebuilding its attribution model behind the scenes. Not to give you better data. To give itself more credit.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The result is an industry where platform-reported conversions routinely exceed actual revenue by 2x to 5x. Most operators know the numbers feel off. Few have done anything about it.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">But a growing cohort of DTC brands has stopped trying to fix attribution and started replacing it entirely. They are deploying causal measurement systems that isolate what actually drives revenue, and the efficiency gains are making everyone else&#39;s media mix look negligent.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">This issue breaks down what changed, who moved first, and how to build a migration plan that does not require blowing up your current stack.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Today’s Edition:</b></p><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Macro: </b>The measurement gap and why it is unfixable</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Tactics: </b>A 90-day roadmap from attribution to causal measurement</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Trends: </b>The competitive arms race around measurement infrastructure</p></li></ul><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Let&#39;s dive in 👇</p><div class="section" style="background-color:transparent;border-color:#000000;border-radius:3px;border-style:solid;border-width:3px;margin:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;padding:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;"><h1 class="heading" style="text-align:left;"><b>Your Guide to Modern Measurement</b></h1><div class="image"><a class="image__link" href="https://resource.chewonthis.io/your-guide-to-modern-measurement/?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=the-measurement-stack-is-broken-here-is-what-replaces-it" rel="noopener" target="_blank"><img alt="" class="image__image" style="" src="https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/2808410e-6024-45a7-a9e9-4d21e8cd20cb/EBook_The_Guide_to_Modern_Measurement_V1.png?t=1772823043"/></a></div><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Here is the core problem. Every major ad platform uses its own attribution model. Each model is designed to maximize credit for that platform. When you run ads across Meta, Google, and TikTok simultaneously, each platform reports conversions independently with no deduplication layer.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The aggregate of platform-reported conversions routinely exceeds actual revenue by 2x to 5x. This is not a bug. It is a feature of how self-reported attribution works.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">This means every budget decision you make using platform dashboards is based on inflated inputs. The downstream effect is systematic misallocation at scale.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">We found a resource from <a class="link" href="https://resource.chewonthis.io/your-guide-to-modern-measurement/?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=the-measurement-stack-is-broken-here-is-what-replaces-it" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow"><b>Lifesight</b></a><a class="link" href="https://resource.chewonthis.io/your-guide-to-modern-measurement/?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=the-measurement-stack-is-broken-here-is-what-replaces-it" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow"> </a>that maps this problem more precisely than anything else in circulation. It is called <i>Your Guide to Modern Measurement: The Causal Revolution</i>, and it provides the technical framework for replacing broken attribution with causal measurement infrastructure.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The performance data from brands that have made this transition:</p><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">An omnichannel retailer saw a <b>28% ROI uplift</b> after switching to causal measurement</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Seidensticker</b> achieved <b>11.5% higher revenue</b> with <b>11.7% lower ad spend</b> — more output from less input</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">A real estate brand cut <b>CPL by 45%</b> while generating <b>14% more leads</b></p></li></ul><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">What the guide covers:</p><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The ROAS Paradox — why record-high platform ROAS coexists with stagnating revenue</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">How channels develop a &quot;vampire effect,&quot; consuming credit without creating new demand</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Why no single method (attribution, experiments, or MMM alone) works at scale — and how to integrate all three</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Lifesight&#39;s Causal Attribution model — incrementality-adjusted attribution that bridges strategy and daily execution</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Real case studies with measurable ROI improvements across retail, fashion, and real estate</p></li></ul><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">If you are managing a media budget above six figures monthly and still using platform-reported ROAS as your primary allocation signal, this is the most important 15 minutes you will spend this week.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><a class="link" href="https://resource.chewonthis.io/your-guide-to-modern-measurement/?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=the-measurement-stack-is-broken-here-is-what-replaces-it" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Get Your Free Guide to Modern Measurement →</a></p></div><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p><div class="section" style="background-color:transparent;border-color:#C0C0C0;border-radius:3px;border-style:solid;border-width:3px;margin:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;padding:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;"><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><i><b>Macro Environment</b></i></p><h1 class="heading" style="text-align:left;" id="the-great-dtc-reset-chaos-opportuni">📉 The Measurement Gap No One is Fixing</h1><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The measurement problem is not a DTC problem. It is an industry-wide infrastructure failure. But DTC brands feel it most acutely because they operate on thinner margins with less room for misallocated spend.</p><h2 class="heading" style="text-align:left;"><b>The scale of the gap</b></h2><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">After iOS 14.5, roughly 75-85% of iOS users opted out of cross-app tracking. That is not a degradation. That is a near-total loss of the signal that digital attribution was built on.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Platforms responded by building modeled conversions — probabilistic estimates that fill in the tracking gaps. The problem is that these models are calibrated to platform objectives, not advertiser accuracy. Every platform&#39;s model conveniently shows that the platform is performing well.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The result: brands are making million-dollar allocation decisions on fundamentally unreliable inputs.</p><h2 class="heading" style="text-align:left;"><b>The ROAS Paradox</b></h2><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Here is the pattern Lifesight&#39;s guide calls the ROAS Paradox: platform dashboards show record-high ROAS, yet actual revenue growth stagnates or declines. The numbers look great. The P&L does not.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">When a channel appears to produce 4x ROAS but the true incremental return is 1.5x, you scale that channel. You pull budget from channels that might be driving more actual revenue but report lower numbers because their attribution model is less aggressive.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Over time, some channels begin exhibiting what the guide describes as a vampire effect — they consume attribution credit without creating new demand. Retargeting and branded search are classic examples. They intercept users who were already going to convert, claim the credit, and look like top performers. But when measured causally, their incremental contribution is a fraction of what the dashboard claims.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Over a quarter, this misallocation can represent 15-30% of total media spend going to low-incremental placements. Over a year, it is the difference between a brand that scales efficiently and one that grows revenue on paper while margin erodes.</p><h2 class="heading" style="text-align:left;"><b>Why patching does not work</b></h2><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The instinct is to fix attribution — better UTMs, more sophisticated pixel configurations, server-side tracking. These are worthwhile hygiene measures but they do not solve the structural problem.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The structural problem is that user-level tracking across platforms and devices is permanently degraded. No amount of implementation refinement recovers a signal that privacy regulation has eliminated by design.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The solution is not better attribution. It is a fundamentally different measurement architecture.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">🧠 <b>Takeaway:</b> The attribution infrastructure most brands rely on is not underperforming. It is structurally broken. The ROAS Paradox and the vampire effect are not edge cases — they are the default state of platform measurement. The brands seeing efficiency gains are the ones who replaced the entire system with causal measurement.</p></div><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p><div class="section" style="background-color:transparent;border-color:#C0C0C0;border-radius:3px;border-style:solid;border-width:3px;margin:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;padding:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;"><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><i><b>Tactics</b></i></p><h1 class="heading" style="text-align:left;" id="scrappy-growth-whats-actually-worki">🛠️ <b>The 90-Day Measurement Migration</b></h1><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The transition from attribution-based measurement to causal measurement does not require a single dramatic cutover. The most successful implementations follow a phased approach that builds confidence incrementally.</p><h2 class="heading" style="text-align:left;"><b>Phase 1 — Days 1-30: Baseline and first test</b></h2><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Start with your highest-spend channel. For most DTC brands, that is Meta.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Run a geo-based incrementality test. Select matched geographic regions, suppress spend in holdout regions for 2-4 weeks, and measure the conversion delta against control regions where spend continued normally.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">This gives you an empirical baseline: how much revenue does this channel actually drive versus how much would happen organically? Compare that number to what the platform dashboard claims.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The gap between those two numbers is your measurement error. For most brands, it is substantial enough to justify the full migration.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Operator tip: Do not start with your lowest-spend channel to &quot;test the waters.&quot; The signal is too weak. Start with the channel where a 20% misallocation means the most dollars.</p><h2 class="heading" style="text-align:left;"><b>Phase 2 — Days 30-60: Deploy the model</b></h2><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">With incrementality data in hand, implement a causal MMM. Modern platforms like Lifesight can be operational within weeks, not months.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Feed your historical spend data, revenue data, and the incrementality test results into the model. The incrementality data serves as a calibration anchor — ground truth that keeps the model&#39;s estimates honest.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The model will produce channel-level contribution estimates that account for confounding variables your attribution system ignores: seasonality, promotions, competitive activity, macro trends.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">This is also where the guide introduces Lifesight&#39;s Causal Attribution layer — incrementality-adjusted attribution that aligns your daily campaign signals with the causal model&#39;s view of true impact. You keep the familiar attribution interface your team already uses, but the numbers underneath reflect incremental contribution instead of inflated platform credit.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Run the MMM in parallel with your existing attribution for 2-4 weeks. Compare the allocation recommendations. Where they diverge, the MMM is almost certainly more accurate.</p><h2 class="heading" style="text-align:left;"><b>Phase 3 — Days 60-90: Reallocate and validate</b></h2><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Begin shifting budget based on the causal model&#39;s recommendations. Start with 20-30% of spend to build confidence, then increase as the model proves out.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Set up a quarterly incrementality testing cadence to continuously recalibrate the model. Each test makes the model more accurate and builds institutional confidence in the new measurement stack.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Within 90 days, you will have a measurement system that reflects actual business impact rather than platform self-reporting. The allocation improvements typically pay for the entire infrastructure investment within the first quarter.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">One underrated benefit: finance alignment. The guide details how causal measurement produces metrics like incremental ROAS (iROAS), incremental CAC (iCAC), and incremental profit — the numbers your CFO actually cares about. When marketing and finance share a common language grounded in causality, budget conversations stop being a fight over whose dashboard to trust.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">For the full technical framework, the Lifesight guide provides step-by-step implementation detail.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><a class="link" href="https://resource.chewonthis.io/your-guide-to-modern-measurement/?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=the-measurement-stack-is-broken-here-is-what-replaces-it" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Get Your Free Guide to Modern Measurement →</a></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">🧠 <b>Takeaway:</b> You do not need to rip and replace your entire measurement stack overnight. A 90-day phased migration — one incrementality test, one causal model, one reallocation cycle — is enough to prove the ROI and build internal buy-in.</p></div><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p><div class="section" style="background-color:transparent;border-color:#C0C0C0;border-radius:3px;border-style:solid;border-width:3px;margin:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;padding:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;"><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><i><b>Trends </b></i></p><h1 class="heading" style="text-align:left;" id="trend-watch-commerce-is-moving-insi">🧠 <b>The </b><b>Measurement Arms Race</b></h1><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The transition from attribution-based to causal measurement is not theoretical. A meaningful cohort of DTC and retail brands has already made the move. Their results are creating a competitive gap that compounds monthly.</p><h2 class="heading" style="text-align:left;"><b>Who moved first</b></h2><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Brands spending $1M+ monthly on paid media were the first to feel the measurement gap acutely. At that spend level, a 20% misallocation is $200K per month going to the wrong places.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The early movers share a common profile. They had sophisticated enough finance teams to notice the gap between platform-reported performance and actual P&L outcomes. When the numbers stopped reconciling, they went looking for alternatives.</p><h2 class="heading" style="text-align:left;"><b>The results pattern</b></h2><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The performance improvements are consistent across the case studies.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The Seidensticker case is instructive. After implementing causal measurement, they achieved 11.5% higher revenue with 11.7% lower ad spend. That is not a marginal optimization. That is a fundamentally different efficiency curve achieved purely through better allocation informed by better measurement.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The omnichannel retailer that saw 28% ROI uplift did not change creative, audiences, or channels. They changed how they measured, which changed how they allocated, which changed outcomes.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The 45% CPL reduction in the real estate case followed the same logic. The measurement shift revealed that spend was concentrated in channels with high reported but low actual conversion contribution.</p><h2 class="heading" style="text-align:left;"><b>The strategic implication</b></h2><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">If your competitors have made this switch and you have not, they are operating with a structural cost advantage that compounds every month.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">They are allocating budget based on causal data. You are allocating based on platform self-reporting. Over time, that measurement gap translates directly into a margin gap.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The window where this is a competitive advantage rather than table stakes is narrowing. The brands moving now get the efficiency gains. The brands that wait will eventually have to make the same transition just to keep pace.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">🧠 <b>Takeaway:</b> Causal measurement is not a nice-to-have analytics upgrade. It is becoming a competitive requirement. The brands that adopt it first get a structural cost advantage. The brands that wait will eventually be forced to adopt it just to stay competitive — but without the first-mover margin gains.</p></div><h1 class="heading" style="text-align:left;" id="quick-hits">🔗 Quick Hits</h1><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The full Lifesight guide covers the technical framework, all three case studies, and the calibration loop in detail: <a class="link" href="https://resource.chewonthis.io/your-guide-to-modern-measurement/?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=the-measurement-stack-is-broken-here-is-what-replaces-it" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Get Your Free Guide to Modern Measurement!</a></p></li></ul><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p></div><div class='beehiiv__footer'><br class='beehiiv__footer__break'><hr class='beehiiv__footer__line'><a target="_blank" class="beehiiv__footer_link" style="text-align: center;" href="https://www.beehiiv.com/?utm_campaign=8d10f8cb-e911-4d20-9b44-abca55864304&utm_medium=post_rss&utm_source=the_dtc_times">Powered by beehiiv</a></div></div>
  ]]></content:encoded>
</item>

      <item>
  <title>The $100B+ Blind Spot: Why DTC is Moving to Mobile Gaming</title>
  <description>While most founders battle on the Meta feed, smart brands are joining the Winner&#39;s Circle by betting on mobile games ads</description>
      <enclosure url="https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/0f2ac844-f481-401b-927d-ec3831d29a17/untitleddesign.png" length="16097" type="image/png"/>
  <link>https://the.dtctimes.com/p/the-100b-blind-spot-why-dtc-is-moving-to-mobile-gaming</link>
  <guid isPermaLink="true">https://the.dtctimes.com/p/the-100b-blind-spot-why-dtc-is-moving-to-mobile-gaming</guid>
  <pubDate>Thu, 05 Feb 2026 00:00:04 +0000</pubDate>
  <atom:published>2026-02-05T00:00:04Z</atom:published>
    <dc:creator>The DTC Times</dc:creator>
  <content:encoded><![CDATA[
    <div class='beehiiv'><style>
  .bh__table, .bh__table_header, .bh__table_cell { border: 1px solid #C0C0C0; }
  .bh__table_cell { padding: 5px; background-color: #FFFFFF; }
  .bh__table_cell p { color: #2D2D2D; font-family: 'Helvetica',Arial,sans-serif !important; overflow-wrap: break-word; }
  .bh__table_header { padding: 5px; background-color:#F1F1F1; }
  .bh__table_header p { color: #2A2A2A; font-family:'Trebuchet MS','Lucida Grande',Tahoma,sans-serif !important; overflow-wrap: break-word; }
</style><div class='beehiiv__body'><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The Meta/Google duopoly is a crowded house, and it’s time to look elsewhere for acquisition. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">You know the story: CPMs are rising, attribution is a game of &quot;guess who,&quot; and the user experience on social media has devolved into a defensive, passive doomscroll. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Besides competing with millions of other brands, you’re also competing with the anxiety of the news cycle.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Meanwhile, a massive ocean of active attention is being ignored by 90% of DTC founders, who still haven’t considered advertising on mobile games. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">This channel has gone from being just for kids playing in basements to the primary entertainment hub for the modern consumer, from the C-suite executive on a flight to the parent in the school pickup line.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">One of the main differences with social is the state of mind of the consumer. In Meta/TikTok apps, users are scrolling to kill time. In gaming, they are invested, chasing a win. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">When you position your brand inside that mindset, the odds stack in your favor.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">In this edition, we’ll break down the shift away from social media monopolies, explore the psychological differences that favor mobile, and give you the tactical playbook to win in this channel.</p><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Macro:</b> The end of the social monopoly</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Trends:</b> The psychological context of flow state</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Tactics</b>: How to turn your ad into a &quot;power-up&quot;</p></li></ul><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Let&#39;s dive in 👇</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p><div class="section" style="background-color:transparent;border-color:#000000;border-radius:3px;border-style:solid;border-width:3px;margin:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;padding:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;"><h2 class="heading" style="text-align:left;">🤝 The Scale-in-Public Series: Will You Accept the Challenge?</h2><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">If 2025 taught us anything, it’s that being 100% dependent on Meta or Google is a structural risk. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">As the duopoly&#39;s efficiency hits a ceiling, the most forward-looking operators are diversifying their acquisition mix into untapped channels like mobile gaming.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">But shifting channels shouldn&#39;t happen in a vacuum. That’s why <a class="link" href="https://www.chewonthis.io/?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=the-100b-blind-spot-why-dtc-is-moving-to-mobile-gaming" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Chew On This</a> is partnering with <a class="link" href="https://axon.ai/en?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=the-100b-blind-spot-why-dtc-is-moving-to-mobile-gaming" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Axon by AppLovin</a> to launch an exclusive podcast series.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">We are selecting 4 high-impact DTC brands to onboard with Axon by AppLovin, and we’re sharing the entire journey on our podcast.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">We aren&#39;t looking for tire-kickers. We want brands ready to take accountability for their next phase of growth. To make it happen, we’re putting skin in the game:</p><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Each selected brand receives $30,000 in Axon credits</b> to kickstart their mobile gaming strategy.</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>You’ll join us on the podcast</b> to share the raw numbers, the creative hits and misses, and the real-world ROAS.</p></li></ul><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">We want to show the industry exactly how to build a profitable, high-scale acquisition engine outside of the social media feed.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">If you’re ready to kickstart your new phase of growth, we want to hear from you.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">👉 <a class="link" href="https://form.typeform.com/to/rIMsg8tZ?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=the-100b-blind-spot-why-dtc-is-moving-to-mobile-gaming" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Apply for a chance to be on the pod and scale with Axon by AppLovin here.</a></p></div><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p><div class="section" style="background-color:transparent;border-color:#C0C0C0;border-radius:3px;border-style:solid;border-width:3px;margin:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;padding:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;"><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><i><b>Macro Environment</b></i></p><h1 class="heading" style="text-align:left;" id="the-great-dtc-reset-chaos-opportuni">📉 The End of the Social Monopoly</h1><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">For the last decade, the DTC playbook was simple: arbitrage Meta until the creative fatigued, then move to TikTok. But in 2026, the walls are closing in. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Global advertising spend is forecast to grow 9.1% this year, surpassing $1.3 trillion for the first time on record.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The problem is that nearly 80% of that total spend goes into the same three buckets: retail media, search, and social. We’ve reached a point of structural saturation. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Meta and Google alone are expected to absorb the majority of global ad growth through 2030, which means we are reaching a point of diminishing returns where the cost to &quot;rent&quot; an audience on social media is outpacing the LTV of the customer.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">While operators fight for the same 2 hours of daily social media time, a massive inventory vacuum has opened elsewhere. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Mobile gaming has matured into a $110 billion+ advertising powerhouse. It’s no longer a niche for gamers; it’s where 65% of the American population now spend their active mobile time.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The macro shift is clear: smart brands are moving away from the crowded scroll on socials and into active entertainment in gaming to escape the acquisition duopoly.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">🧠<b> Takeaway:</b> To maintain margins in 2026, operators must diversify into other advertising environments like mobile gaming, where inventory is massive, and the auction isn&#39;t yet at a breaking point.</p></div><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p><div class="section" style="background-color:transparent;border-color:#C0C0C0;border-radius:3px;border-style:solid;border-width:3px;margin:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;padding:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;"><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><i><b>Trends</b></i></p><h1 class="heading" style="text-align:left;" id="scrappy-growth-whats-actually-worki">📊 The Psychological Context of Flow State</h1><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">One of the key elements why the best operators are choosing to diversify their acquisition mix with mobile gaming advertising is because of the type of attention you are buying.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">On social platforms, the user is in a discovery mindset. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">They are scrolling for the next hit of dopamine. And because the feed is infinite, you are fighting for a literal 1.5-second thumb-stop. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">In contrast, mobile gamers are often in a flow state - a period of deep focus, enjoyment, and goal-oriented concentration - which changes the fundamental value exchange of an ad:</p><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Rewarded video</b> (watching an ad for a game benefit) is now preferred by a large majority of players compared to other formats. </p></li></ul><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">This means users aren&#39;t just tolerating the ad; they are opting into it to achieve a goal within their gaming environment.</p><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Completion is the standard.</b> Because the ad is tied to tangible progress, completion rates for mobile game video ads consistently exceed 90%. </p></li></ul><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">In a world of skippable 5-second social clips, this is a massive advantage for brand recall.</p><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>The undivided screen:</b> Unlike social media, which is often consumed while multitasking (e.g., watching TV), gaming requires 100% focus to succeed. </p></li></ul><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The single-screen engagement means your creative is the only thing the user is processing for 15-30 seconds.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">For DTC, this means your ads have a longer runway. You aren&#39;t just a blip in a feed; you are a full-screen experience that the user has purposefully chosen to engage with to help them get back to their game.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">🧠 <b>Takeaway:</b> By leveraging the value exchange of rewarded ads, brands can achieve completion rates and recall that are becoming statistically impossible in the fast-moving social feed.</p></div><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p><div class="section" style="background-color:transparent;border-color:#C0C0C0;border-radius:3px;border-style:solid;border-width:3px;margin:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;padding:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;"><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><i><b>Tactics</b></i></p><h1 class="heading" style="text-align:left;" id="trend-watch-commerce-is-moving-insi">⚙️ How to Turn Your Ad Into a &quot;Power-Up&quot;</h1><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">To have a successful advertising strategy in mobile games, you don’t have to reinvent your brand. You just have to translate your message into a language that resonates.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Here are 5 tips to give you a head start in a winning mobile game ad execution.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>1. Make Your CTA a Dopamine Kick</b></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Don&#39;t just ask for a click, offer a trade. Align your product benefit with the game&#39;s reward. If they watch your ad for a &quot;life,&quot; your CTA should mirror that energy.</p><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Example:</b> &quot;Need a boost? Use code RECOVER20 for 20% off your next hydration tub - fuel for your real-life win while you wait for your next life.&quot;</p></li></ul><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>2. Take Advantage of UGC</b></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Stop over-producing. 2026 data shows that Lo-Fi UGC - native, 9:16 vertical video that looks like a TikTok - actually converts better in mobile games. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">It feels human and authentic in a digital game environment, breaking through the polished ad blindness.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>3. The 5-Second Hook Rule</b></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Most mobile game ads are unskippable for the first 5 seconds. You have exactly 120 frames to establish your hook. Don&#39;t lead with a logo. Lead with the problem your product solves. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">If the viewer doesn&#39;t know what you&#39;re selling by second 5, they’re already looking for the &quot;X&quot; button.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>4. Frequency Capping Strategy</b></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">In gaming, ad blindness happens faster because the user is seeing ads in high-repetition loops. Successful brands rotate 3-5 creative hooks weekly rather than monthly.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>5. Leverage Playable Elements</b></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">You don&#39;t need to be a game dev to use interactive ads. Using a simple &quot;Swipe to Reveal&quot; or a &quot;Choose Your Bundle&quot; mini-interaction can hold a user’s attention longer than a standard video.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">🧠 <b>Takeaway:</b> If your ad provides a brief moment of entertainment or a clear reward, the user stops seeing you as an interruption and starts seeing you as part of the game’s &quot;power-up&quot; ecosystem.</p></div><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p><h1 class="heading" style="text-align:left;" id="quick-hits">🔗 Quick Hits</h1><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Starting February 25, 2026, <a class="link" href="https://www.modernretail.co/operations/exclusive-some-tiktok-shop-sellers-are-pulling-back-as-the-platform-moves-to-end-independent-shipping-in-the-u-s/?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=the-100b-blind-spot-why-dtc-is-moving-to-mobile-gaming" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">TikTok will officially discontinue seller shipping</a>. U.S. merchants must transition to TikTok Shop Logistics Services (FBT) or approved ERP integrations by March 31 or risk losing access to the platform’s 170M+ users.</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Amazon reports that customers who interact with its AI shopping assistant, Rufus, <a class="link" href="https://www.aboutamazon.com/news/retail/amazon-rufus-ai-assistant-personalized-shopping-features?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=the-100b-blind-spot-why-dtc-is-moving-to-mobile-gaming" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">are 60% more likely to purchase</a> that session. Conversational search now accounts for nearly 20% of all Amazon queries in high-differentiation categories like supplements and beauty.</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Meta’s roadmap for the first half of 2026 <a class="link" href="https://marketingagent.blog/2025/11/01/metas-roadmap-toward-fully-automated-advertising-by-2026-and-beyond-what-it-means-for-digital-marketers/?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=the-100b-blind-spot-why-dtc-is-moving-to-mobile-gaming" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">focuses on fully automated advertising</a>, where operators provide only a product URL and budget, leaving AI to handle creative generation, audience targeting, and real-time bid optimization.</p></li></ul><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p></div><div class='beehiiv__footer'><br class='beehiiv__footer__break'><hr class='beehiiv__footer__line'><a target="_blank" class="beehiiv__footer_link" style="text-align: center;" href="https://www.beehiiv.com/?utm_campaign=3978665d-a92e-46c5-92b9-41cf6b216238&utm_medium=post_rss&utm_source=the_dtc_times">Powered by beehiiv</a></div></div>
  ]]></content:encoded>
</item>

      <item>
  <title>The Shift from Media Buying to Media Architecting</title>
  <description>How to leverage Meta’s 2026 Andromeda engine to buy back your time and stabilize your contribution margin.</description>
      <enclosure url="https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/0f2ac844-f481-401b-927d-ec3831d29a17/untitleddesign.png" length="16097" type="image/png"/>
  <link>https://the.dtctimes.com/p/the-shift-from-media-buying-to-media-architecting</link>
  <guid isPermaLink="true">https://the.dtctimes.com/p/the-shift-from-media-buying-to-media-architecting</guid>
  <pubDate>Thu, 08 Jan 2026 00:00:04 +0000</pubDate>
  <atom:published>2026-01-08T00:00:04Z</atom:published>
    <dc:creator>The DTC Times</dc:creator>
  <content:encoded><![CDATA[
    <div class='beehiiv'><style>
  .bh__table, .bh__table_header, .bh__table_cell { border: 1px solid #C0C0C0; }
  .bh__table_cell { padding: 5px; background-color: #FFFFFF; }
  .bh__table_cell p { color: #2D2D2D; font-family: 'Helvetica',Arial,sans-serif !important; overflow-wrap: break-word; }
  .bh__table_header { padding: 5px; background-color:#F1F1F1; }
  .bh__table_header p { color: #2A2A2A; font-family:'Trebuchet MS','Lucida Grande',Tahoma,sans-serif !important; overflow-wrap: break-word; }
</style><div class='beehiiv__body'><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">No, Meta didn’t just get harder overnight. The landscape is just different. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">We’ve officially moved past the era of hacking the algorithm and into an era of working with it. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">With the global rollout of the Andromeda system, Meta has evolved into a pattern-recognition powerhouse that values signal density over granular control.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">For the sophisticated operator, this is a win. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">It means the 20+ hours a week your team used to spend micro-managing interest groups and &quot;warm vs. cold&quot; splits can now be redirected toward what will move the needle: high-leverage creative and post-click experience. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Success this year is about liquidity, a.k.a. giving the machine enough conversion data to stabilize your CAC so you can focus on scaling the business, not just the account.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Today, we’re mapping out one of the biggest 2026 Meta bets you can make:</p><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Macro:</b> Why signal density is the only KPI that matters for account health.</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Trends:</b> Turning your creative assets into your primary targeting lever.</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Tactics:</b> Moving to a 2-campaign structure to unlock 8-figure scale.</p></li></ul><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Let&#39;s dive in 👇</p><div class="section" style="background-color:transparent;border-color:#000000;border-radius:3px;border-style:solid;border-width:3px;margin:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;padding:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;"><h2 class="heading" style="text-align:left;">📣 The 2026 Meta Playbook: Live Deep Dive</h2><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Best practices are fine, but seeing the mechanics of a $200M+ spend strategy is better.</b></p><div class="image"><a class="image__link" href="https://luma.com/t1h4jj25?utm_source=embed" rel="noopener" target="_blank"><img alt="" class="image__image" style="" src="https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/166d570d-806e-4d90-8bab-3f8d34888fdd/image.jpeg?t=1767822262"/></a></div><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">On Thursday, January 15th, we’re bringing in the heavy hitters who are sustaining 8 and 9-figure scale off the back of Meta.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">This isn&#39;t a high-level &quot;tips and tricks&quot; session. We are pulling back the curtain on the exact account frameworks and bidding strategies currently winning.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>You’ll hear directly from:</b></p><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Ash Melwani:</b> The CMO and Co-Founder of Obvi. Ash has mastered the intersection of brand and performance, scaling a health and wellness powerhouse to $100M.</p></li></ul><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>The DigiCom Team: Hemant Varshney, Danielle Dror, and Mike Constandatos</b>, the founders behind the Inc. 5000 agency. They specialize in algorithm-proofing brands, managing millions in spend to keep accounts profitable even when platform mechanics shift.</p></li></ul><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>What’s on the agenda:</b></p><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The exact account structures and bidding strategies winning right now.</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">How to build assets specifically designed to win.</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Identifying the common mistakes that cap your growth and drain your margin.</p></li></ul><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">If you’re ready to move from hope-based optimization to a proven scaling framework, don’t miss it.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">👉<a class="link" href="https://luma.com/t1h4jj25?utm_source=embed" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow"> Register here for free</a> </p></div><div class="section" style="background-color:transparent;border-color:#C0C0C0;border-radius:3px;border-style:solid;border-width:3px;margin:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;padding:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;"><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><i><b>Macro Environment</b></i></p><h1 class="heading" style="text-align:left;" id="the-great-dtc-reset-chaos-opportuni">📉 The End of Guesswork Targeting</h1><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">In 2026, Meta has officially outgrown the need for our help. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The platform’s latest AI upgrades have shifted the focus from who you target to how much data you feed the system. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">For years, we’ve been told to &quot;go broad,&quot; but this year, it’s no longer a suggestion. It’s the only way to stay profitable.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The system is now a pattern-matching engine. It doesn&#39;t care about the &quot;interest boxes&quot; you check in the backend; it cares about signal density. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">If you spread your budget across 15 different ad sets, you are effectively hiding your best customers from the algorithm. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">You&#39;re paying what we call a complexity tax: higher costs and unstable results caused by starving the machine of the data it needs to learn.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>The 2026 Reality:</b></p><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Liquidity is King:</b> To stabilize your CAC, an ad set needs 50 conversions a week. </p></li></ul><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">If you’re split-testing too many audiences, you’ll never hit that threshold, and you’ll stay stuck in a permanent (and expensive) learning phase.</p><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>The &quot;Bouncer&quot; Effect:</b> Meta’s new retrieval system now pre-ranks your ads before they even enter the auction. </p></li></ul><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">If your account structure is messy, your ads get &quot;deprioritized,&quot; leading to those sudden CPM spikes that eat your margin.</p><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Consolidation = Efficiency:</b> The goal for 2026 isn&#39;t to find &quot;pockets&quot; of users; it’s to build a massive, high-speed data pipe that lets Meta’s AI do the heavy lifting for you.</p></li></ul><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">🧠 <b>Takeaway:</b> Stop trying to outsmart the algorithm with manual hacks. Your job in 2026 isn&#39;t to find the audience; it’s to provide enough budget and conversion data in one place so the AI can find them for you.</p></div><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p><div class="section" style="background-color:transparent;border-color:#C0C0C0;border-radius:3px;border-style:solid;border-width:3px;margin:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;padding:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;"><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><i><b>Trends </b></i></p><h1 class="heading" style="text-align:left;" id="trend-watch-commerce-is-moving-insi">📊 Creative is the New Targeting</h1><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">If the algorithm is the engine, creative is the steering wheel. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">In 2026, Meta’s visual recognition AI doesn&#39;t just see your ad; it deconstructs it. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">It identifies the aesthetic, the emotional trigger, and the specific avatar featured in your content to decide which pocket of the market to show it to.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">This means there’s a hard shift away from creative volume (launching 50 slightly different variations) toward creative diversity. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">If all your ads look like high-production commercials, Meta will only show them to people who respond to commercials. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">So, to scale, you need to unlock different psychological buckets of customers.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">What this means for you:</p><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Meta’s AI now uses computer vision to identify the people in your ads. </p></li></ul><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">If you feature a 35-year-old athlete in a home gym, the system automatically finds users whose behavior matches that context. You don&#39;t need to target fitness; the visual is the targeting.</p><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Authentic, &quot;random-looking&quot; content (ads that look like a text-thread screenshot or a quick POV video) is outperforming polished brand assets. </p></li></ul><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">They blend into the feed, leading to lower CPMr because the system views them as high-relevance native content.</p><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">You’ll have to diversify by angle, and not just format. </p></li></ul><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Winners are testing a logic-based breakdown (specs and facts) against an emotion-based hook (transformation and feeling) to see which one resonates with the broadest possible audience.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">🧠 <b>Takeaway:</b> More than testing button colors, you’ll want to start testing radically different creative concepts. Each new angle you launch is a new key that unlocks a different segment of the market that your previous ads couldn&#39;t reach.</p></div><div class="section" style="background-color:transparent;border-color:#C0C0C0;border-radius:3px;border-style:solid;border-width:3px;margin:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;padding:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;"><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><i><b>Tactics</b></i></p><h1 class="heading" style="text-align:left;" id="scrappy-growth-whats-actually-worki">🛠️ The 2-Campaign Power Structure</h1><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Complexity is the enemy of scale in 2026. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">If your ads manager looks like a spiderweb of 20+ campaigns, you are paying a complexity tax in the form of unstable CAC. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">To make the most of Meta, you must consolidate your account into a system that feeds the algorithm a high volume of clean data.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The 2026 Blueprint:</p><ol start="1"><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Consolidate into a 2-campaign system: </b></p></li></ol><ol start="1"><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Campaign 1 - the Sandbox: Your R&D lab. Use this to test new hooks and angles. The goal is to find assets that can handle spending.</p></li></ol><ol start="2"><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Campaign 2 - the Winners Circle: A single, Broad-targeted campaign. Only proven winners from the Sandbox earn a spot here. This maximizes data volume and stabilizes your CAC.</p></li></ol><ol start="2"><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Hit the liquidity threshold:</b><b> Every active ad set must hit </b><b>50 conversions per week.</b><b> </b></p></li></ol><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">If you aren’t hitting this, you&#39;re burning cash in a permanent learning phase. Consolidate your budgets until you hit this floor.</p><ol start="3"><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Creative as the targeting lever:</b><b> Stop suggesting interests to Meta. </b></p></li></ol><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Use specific visual cues and psychological hooks to call out your audience. If your ad features a home gym, Meta’s visual AI will find the fitness enthusiasts for you.</p><ol start="4"><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>The “message match” landing page:</b><b> Treat the landing page as the second half of the ad. </b></p></li></ol><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">If your ad promises a &quot;30-Day Trial,&quot; that must be the first thing they see above the fold. 2026 Meta rewards relevance; high post-click engagement can actually lower your CPMs.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">🧠 <b>Takeaway:</b> Scale in the Andromeda era is a function of signal density. By simplifying your account architecture, you create a high-speed data pipe that allows the AI to move from searching for customers to predicting them with high accuracy.</p></div><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p><h1 class="heading" style="text-align:left;" id="quick-hits">🔗 Quick Hits</h1><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Fulfillment by TikTok (FBT) expansion:</b> TikTok is aggressively expanding its US logistics network to compete with Amazon. <a class="link" href="https://dclcorp.com/blog/fulfillment/fulfilled-by-tiktok-benefits/?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=the-shift-from-media-buying-to-media-architecting" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">The service now offers guaranteed 3-day delivery</a> and price incentives for lightweight, high-velocity SKUs, though operators should watch for steep hub placement fees after 60 days.</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Google&#39;s SGE click erosion:</b> New data confirms that when Google displays an AI Overview (SGE) at the top of the SERP, <a class="link" href="https://www.stryde.com/googles-ai-overviews-are-slashing-clicks-is-your-seo-strategy-ready/?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=the-shift-from-media-buying-to-media-architecting" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">the likelihood of a user clicking an organic link drops by nearly 50%</a>. Brands are pivoting to entity-based SEO to ensure they are cited within the AI summary.</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Walmart connect app-signals:</b> Walmart&#39;s DSP has i<a class="link" href="https://www.darkroomagency.com/observatory/walmart-dsp-marketing-2026-a-full-funnel-programmatic-playbook?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=the-shift-from-media-buying-to-media-architecting" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">ntegrated real-time in-store behavior with app signals</a>, allowing brands to trigger digital ads based on a user&#39;s location within physical aisles.</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Subscription flexibility gains:</b> DTC brands implementing &quot;skip instead of cancel&quot; prompts <a class="link" href="https://medium.com/@gdoitwebpvtltd/expert-level-practical-guide-to-dtc-subscription-brands-069f4812d4e4?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=the-shift-from-media-buying-to-media-architecting" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">are seeing a 25% reduction in voluntary churn</a>. The trend in 2026 is moving toward curated flexibility, allowing product swaps and frequency changes rather than a binary stay/leave choice. </p></li></ul><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p></div><div class='beehiiv__footer'><br class='beehiiv__footer__break'><hr class='beehiiv__footer__line'><a target="_blank" class="beehiiv__footer_link" style="text-align: center;" href="https://www.beehiiv.com/?utm_campaign=193731bd-c9a8-4b98-9aa0-3008417dc71b&utm_medium=post_rss&utm_source=the_dtc_times">Powered by beehiiv</a></div></div>
  ]]></content:encoded>
</item>

      <item>
  <title>The 5 Operational Mistakes Killing CPG Brands’ Margins</title>
  <description>Why &quot;business as usual&quot; destroyed P&amp;Ls in 2025, and the specific fixes you need to make for 2026.</description>
      <enclosure url="https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/0f2ac844-f481-401b-927d-ec3831d29a17/untitleddesign.png" length="16097" type="image/png"/>
  <link>https://the.dtctimes.com/p/the-5-operational-mistakes-killing-cpg-brands-margins</link>
  <guid isPermaLink="true">https://the.dtctimes.com/p/the-5-operational-mistakes-killing-cpg-brands-margins</guid>
  <pubDate>Thu, 18 Dec 2025 00:00:10 +0000</pubDate>
  <atom:published>2025-12-18T00:00:10Z</atom:published>
    <dc:creator>The DTC Times</dc:creator>
  <content:encoded><![CDATA[
    <div class='beehiiv'><style>
  .bh__table, .bh__table_header, .bh__table_cell { border: 1px solid #C0C0C0; }
  .bh__table_cell { padding: 5px; background-color: #FFFFFF; }
  .bh__table_cell p { color: #2D2D2D; font-family: 'Helvetica',Arial,sans-serif !important; overflow-wrap: break-word; }
  .bh__table_header { padding: 5px; background-color:#F1F1F1; }
  .bh__table_header p { color: #2A2A2A; font-family:'Trebuchet MS','Lucida Grande',Tahoma,sans-serif !important; overflow-wrap: break-word; }
</style><div class='beehiiv__body'><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The &quot;growth at all costs&quot; era is dead. We are now fully in the &quot;efficiency or death&quot; era.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">If you’re reading this, you’ve likely survived the last 18 months of supply chain whipsaws and rising input costs. But survival isn&#39;t the goal; dominance is. And right now, the biggest threat to your brand is the friction inside your own P&L.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The landscape has shifted violently:</p><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Retail became a battleground. Distribution costs are outpacing revenue growth, and trade spend efficiency has hit rock bottom.</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The consumer has no chill. Brand loyalty has declined in recent years as price sensitivity forces shoppers to trade down or switch brands for a $0.50 difference.</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Margins are shrinking. New tariffs and input volatility are compressing margins, meaning you can no longer afford &quot;sloppy&quot; operations.</p></li></ul><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">These forces are creating a specific environment where tactical mistakes, the ones you could get away with in 2021, are now fatal.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">In this edition, we’re dissecting the anatomy of a struggling CPG brand and handing you the scalpel to fix it.</p><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Macro: </b><b>The economic forces you can’t ignore</b></p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Trends:</b> New rules of engagement</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Tactics:</b> The 5 operational mistakes killing your contribution margin</p></li></ul><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Let’s dive in 👇</p><div class="section" style="background-color:transparent;border-color:#C0C0C0;border-radius:3px;border-style:solid;border-width:3px;margin:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;padding:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;"><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><i><b>Macro Environment</b></i></p><h1 class="heading" style="text-align:left;" id="the-great-dtc-reset-chaos-opportuni">📉 The Economic Forces You Can’t Ignore</h1><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">If distribution feels harder and expensive, it’s not in your head. The data backs it up. We are looking at 3 converging forces squeezing the CPG P&L right now:</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>1. The distribution bottleneck</b></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Getting on the shelf is expensive; staying there is harder. Retailers are exerting massive pricing pressure while distribution costs rise, meaning the cost per incremental sale is climbing. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Even when demand exists, supply chain delays and freight inflation are causing slower restock cycles.</p><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>The reality:</b> You aren&#39;t just paying for the product; you&#39;re paying a premium just to get it to the customer.</p></li></ul><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>2. Trade spend is eating revenue</b></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Trade promotions are traditionally the second-largest expense for CPG brands (after COGS), but this line item might be growing faster than revenue.</p><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>The leak:</b> Retailers are demanding deeper deals, but brands often can&#39;t distinguish between incremental lift and subsidizing future demand.</p></li></ul><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>The result:</b> Founders are rightfully panicking that promotional pricing is eroding long-term profitability rather than building loyalty.</p></li></ul><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>3. The tariff sting is real</b></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Tariffs are no longer a &quot;future threat.&quot; They are hitting the P&L now. Emerging tariff regimes on imports from China, Mexico, and Canada have raised costs for raw materials and packaging.</p><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>The pass-through:</b> Early indicators show tariffs have begun to pass through into consumer prices, with core goods seeing prices rise relative to pre-2025 trends.</p></li></ul><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>The fallout:</b> Campbell’s recently warned that tariff-related price hikes are already hurting soup sales, a clear signal that price sensitivity is impacting demand. Tariff uncertainty is now a top consumer concern, second only to inflation itself.</p></li></ul><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">🧠<b> Takeaway:</b> If you treat trade spend as a &quot;fixed cost&quot; rather than an investment channel that needs rigorous auditing, it will become a silent profitability leak. In a tariff-heavy world, brands that can’t adapt their pricing strategies to these new cost structures will be left behind.</p></div><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p><div class="section" style="background-color:transparent;border-color:#000000;border-radius:3px;border-style:solid;border-width:3px;margin:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;padding:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;"><h2 class="heading" style="text-align:left;">CPG Roast: The Night We Stop Taking Ourselves Seriously</h2><div class="image"><a class="image__link" href="https://luma.com/4a0mlz0g?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=the-5-operational-mistakes-killing-cpg-brands-margins" rel="noopener" target="_blank"><img alt="" class="image__image" style="" src="https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/492f3c3a-61e5-42d7-bfd6-a1573ccabde0/2.jpg?t=1765921425"/></a></div><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Let&#39;s be honest: between supply chain nightmares and tariff talks, this industry takes itself way too seriously. We think it’s time for a break.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">On January 12th, 2026, <a class="link" href="https://www.brevo.com/?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=the-5-operational-mistakes-killing-cpg-brands-margins" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Brevo</a> is taking over Caveat in Manhattan for the CPG Roast. They’ve lined up professional comedians to roast some of the biggest names and brands in the game live.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Come grab a drink, network with your fellow operators who have a sense of humor, and watch your peers (and maybe yourself) get roasted. It’s a high-energy event, exactly the release valve you need to kick off Q1 strong.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">🗓️ <b>When:</b> January 12th, 2026 7:00-9:00 PM EDT<br>🔗 <b>Save your spot:</b> <a class="link" href="https://luma.com/4a0mlz0g?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=the-5-operational-mistakes-killing-cpg-brands-margins" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">CPG Roast Registration</a></p></div><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p><div class="section" style="background-color:transparent;border-color:#C0C0C0;border-radius:3px;border-style:solid;border-width:3px;margin:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;padding:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;"><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><i><b>Trends</b></i></p><h1 class="heading" style="text-align:left;" id="scrappy-growth-whats-actually-worki">📊 The Rules of Engagement Have Changed</h1><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">For years, CPG brands could rely on inertia loyalty, the idea that once a customer bought your product, they’d keep buying it out of habit. That dynamic is fading.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The 2025 consumer isn&#39;t necessarily hostile, but they are incredibly pragmatic. Here is how their behavior is shifting the playing field:</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>1. Price sensitivity is the new baseline</b></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Brand storytelling matters, but it’s fighting an uphill battle against the wallet.</p><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>The data:</b> A recent analysis found that 46% of shoppers now cite price as the top factor in purchasing, and 33% will switch brands for a discount as small as 10%.</p></li></ul><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>The &quot;dupe&quot; shift:</b> This shift is increasingly becoming about perceived value. Even higher-income shoppers are trading down to store brands and &quot;dupes&quot; because the quality gap has closed.</p></li></ul><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>2. Loyalty has become fragile</b></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">&quot;True Loyalty&quot; (deep emotional commitment) hasn&#39;t disappeared, but it is shrinking. It has dropped to 29%, a significant reduction from 2024.</p><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>The trend churn:</b> We are seeing a rise in &quot;Trend Loyalty.&quot; About 15% of consumers buy products simply because they are trending, and 29% move on once the buzz fades.</p></li></ul><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>The reality:</b> You can&#39;t build a sustainable LTV on hype alone. If the product experience doesn&#39;t immediately justify the price, the customer is gone.</p></li></ul><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>3. The gap between discovery and conversion</b></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The path to purchase has split. Discovery is increasingly digital and entertainment-led, while conversion remains fragmented.</p><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>The TikTok factor:</b> U.S. spending on TikTok Shop grew ~52% year-over-year in late 2025, contributing to an $87 billion social commerce market.</p></li></ul><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>The disconnect:</b> While discovery happens on the &quot;For You&quot; page, the actual purchase often still happens in a grocery aisle or on Amazon. Brands that treat these as separate worlds (with different pricing or messaging) are seeing conversion rates suffer.</p></li></ul><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">🧠<b> Takeaway:</b> In a market where people wait for a price drop before buying, consistency is your best defense. If your digital ad promises a specific benefit or price point, and the shelf (physical or digital) doesn&#39;t match it, you lose the sale.</p></div><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p><div class="section" style="background-color:transparent;border-color:#C0C0C0;border-radius:3px;border-style:solid;border-width:3px;margin:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;padding:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;"><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><i><b>Tactics</b></i></p><h1 class="heading" style="text-align:left;">🛠️ 5 Operational Mistakes to Fix Before Q1</h1><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">These are the specific operational leaks that are bleeding cash from CPG P&Ls right now. Here is how to plug them.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>1. The acquisition addiction</b></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">A lot of founders fixate on ROAS and new customer acquisition while ignoring the second purchase rate.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">This happens because they often use acquisition volume as a proxy for Product-Market Fit. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">But this masks poor product retention. If you pay $50 to acquire a customer who only spends $40 once, you are scaling a loss.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>The fix:</b> Switch to Cohort-Based LTV, stop celebrating Day 1 revenue, and track the 60-Day Payback Period. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">If a customer cohort hasn&#39;t paid back their CAC in gross margin dollars within 60 days, that channel is toxic. Turn it off or fix the retention loop before spending another dollar.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>2. Scaling false positives</b></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">It’s a big mistake assuming you have PMF because your first 500 units sold out to friends, family, and early newsletter subs.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">This is because early signals are often biased. Launching into mass retail based on &quot;warm audience&quot; data leads to costly missteps in inventory planning.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>The fix:</b> The &quot;1,000 Stranger&quot; rule. Do not scale production until you have sold 1,000 units to cold traffic. That’s the only truth serum.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>3. The siloed channel strategy</b></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">DTC and retail are not separate businesses with separate goals (e.g., you can’t push a high-price bundle on social that isn&#39;t available in-store).</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">This keeps happening because teams are often divided by channel. But fragmented experiences lead to lost conversions. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>The fix:</b> Unified Price-Pack Architecture (PPA).</p><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">DTC: Use for high-AOV stock-up (e.g., &quot;The Monthly Bundle&quot;).</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Retail: Use for trial (e.g., &quot;The Single Can&quot;).</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The Rule: Ensure your ad creative explicitly matches the channel where the conversion happens. If you are driving to Target, show the 4-pack, not the web-exclusive 24-pack.</p></li></ul><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>4. Treating trade spend as rent</b></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The mistake is setting a trade budget (promos, slotting fees) because &quot;that&#39;s what we did last year,&quot; without measuring incremental lift.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Trade spend is often the second-largest P&L item, yet it’s frequently misaligned with actual channel strategy. Brands view it as a fixed tax rather than an investment.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>The fix:</b> Audit every promo from 2025. Did the &quot;Buy 2 Get 1&quot; drive new users, or did it just subsidize loyalists who would have bought anyway? If the data is murky, cut the spend. Make the retailer earn the budget.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>5. Marketing ingredients instead of occasions</b></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Don’t make ads that scream &quot;5g Sugar!&quot; or &quot;Keto Friendly.&quot; This is brands obsessing over features. But in CPG, features are commodities. Almost every other brand has them or will copy them.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>The fix:</b> Pivot your creative to the usage occasion. </p><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Don&#39;t sell &quot;Caffeine Water&quot;; sell &quot;The 2 PM Slump Killer.&quot; </p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Don&#39;t sell &quot;High Protein Cereal&quot;; sell &quot;The 3 PM Hunger Crusher.&quot; </p></li></ul><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Anchor the product to a specific habit in the customer&#39;s day, not just a label on the back of the package.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">🧠<b> Takeaway: </b>You cannot fix all five of these at once. Pick one to tackle first and then move on to the list. (Recommendation: Start with #4, it’s the fastest way to free up cash flow without launching a new product).</p></div><h1 class="heading" style="text-align:left;" id="quick-hits">🔗 Quick Hits</h1><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">TikTok shop takes over. The platform&#39;s commerce arm is scaling at unprecedented speed, with new data revealing its<a class="link" href="https://www.wired.com/story/tiktok-shop-sales-global-ecommerce/?utm_source=chatgpt.com" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow"> massive contribution to global e-commerce sales</a> in 2025.</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Social commerce hits $87B. Driven by that TikTok surge, total U.S. social commerce sales have jumped 21.5% year-over-year to reach<a class="link" href="https://www.emarketer.com/press-releases/tiktok-shop-makes-up-nearly-20-of-social-commerce-in-2025/?utm_source=chatgpt.com" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow"> $87.02 billion</a>.</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The &quot;dupe&quot; economy is mainstream. It’s not just budget shoppers anymore; <a class="link" href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2025/07/24/dupes-store-brands-savings/?utm_source=chatgpt.com" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">higher-income consumers are trading down</a> to store brands to signal financial savvy.</p></li></ul><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p></div><div class='beehiiv__footer'><br class='beehiiv__footer__break'><hr class='beehiiv__footer__line'><a target="_blank" class="beehiiv__footer_link" style="text-align: center;" href="https://www.beehiiv.com/?utm_campaign=4bba5ded-9fb9-41f1-8886-518007df4b1a&utm_medium=post_rss&utm_source=the_dtc_times">Powered by beehiiv</a></div></div>
  ]]></content:encoded>
</item>

      <item>
  <title>The Hidden Profit Playbook: Unlocking 6 Figures From Your Existing Traffic </title>
  <description>How to pivot to profit at all costs without spending a dime more on ads.</description>
      <enclosure url="https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/0f2ac844-f481-401b-927d-ec3831d29a17/untitleddesign.png" length="16097" type="image/png"/>
  <link>https://the.dtctimes.com/p/the-hidden-profit-playbook-unlocking-6-figures-from-your-existing-traffic</link>
  <guid isPermaLink="true">https://the.dtctimes.com/p/the-hidden-profit-playbook-unlocking-6-figures-from-your-existing-traffic</guid>
  <pubDate>Mon, 15 Dec 2025 00:00:27 +0000</pubDate>
  <atom:published>2025-12-15T00:00:27Z</atom:published>
    <dc:creator>The DTC Times</dc:creator>
  <content:encoded><![CDATA[
    <div class='beehiiv'><style>
  .bh__table, .bh__table_header, .bh__table_cell { border: 1px solid #C0C0C0; }
  .bh__table_cell { padding: 5px; background-color: #FFFFFF; }
  .bh__table_cell p { color: #2D2D2D; font-family: 'Helvetica',Arial,sans-serif !important; overflow-wrap: break-word; }
  .bh__table_header { padding: 5px; background-color:#F1F1F1; }
  .bh__table_header p { color: #2A2A2A; font-family:'Trebuchet MS','Lucida Grande',Tahoma,sans-serif !important; overflow-wrap: break-word; }
</style><div class='beehiiv__body'><h2 class="heading" style="text-align:left;" id="the-new-reality-of-dtc">The New Reality of DTC</h2><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Why the acquisition-first playbook is broken, and where the smart money is moving next.</b></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">For the last decade, the DTC playbook was simple: Buy traffic, acquire customers, and worry about profitability later. As long as top-line revenue was growing, the business was &quot;healthy.&quot;</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">That reality is dead.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">With CAC volatility at an all-time high and ad platforms becoming increasingly unpredictable, the growth at all costs model has been replaced by a new mandate: profit at all costs.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Most brands are still trying to solve their profitability crisis by tweaking their ad creatives or hunting for cheaper CPMs. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">But the highest-leverage opportunity isn&#39;t in finding new traffic, it’s in extracting more value from the traffic you already have.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">To achieve this, we’re doing a deep dive on Aftersell by Rokt’s Hidden Profit Playbook.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">A comprehensive analysis that breaks down how to turn your checkout and post-purchase flows from a passive utility into a measurable profit center.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">We&#39;re pulling out what’s ignored, what’s actionable, and how operators are turning &quot;Thank You&quot; pages into something more than just a formality.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">By the end of this newsletter, you’ll know how to audit your checkout flow, avoid the &quot;generic upsell&quot; trap, and build a &quot;Yes Ladder&quot; strategy that scales with confidence.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Today:</b></p><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Macro: Chasing traffic vs. owning it</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Tactics: How to make the most of your checkout flow in 3 touchpoints</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Trends: Commerce Media replaces traditional ads</p></li></ul><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Let’s dive in 👇</p><div class="section" style="background-color:transparent;border-color:#C0C0C0;border-radius:3px;border-style:solid;border-width:3px;margin:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;padding:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;"><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><i><b>Macro Environment</b></i></p><h1 class="heading" style="text-align:left;" id="the-great-dtc-reset-chaos-opportuni">📉Why Most Brands Are Leaving Money on the Table</h1><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Here is the uncomfortable truth operators don&#39;t want to admit:</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Industry stats reflect that most brands spend between $30-$100 to get a customer to click “Buy Now,” and then treat the next 60 seconds like they don&#39;t matter.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">This is because the average DTC checkout flow follows a predictable, &quot;dead-end&quot; path:</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Cart → Generic Shopify Checkout → &quot;Thanks for your order&quot; → Exit</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The moment the credit card is processed, the brand stops selling. And according to ROKT, this is a massive capital allocation error. You have created a moment of peak buying intent and peak trust, only to let it evaporate.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Data shows that brands that treat these moments as profit centers rather than administrative steps change their unit economics entirely:</p><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><a class="link" href="https://www.aftersell.com/case-study/obvi?utm_source=newsletter&utm_medium=cot&utm_campaign=resource" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Obvi:</a> Gains an extra $7.50 per order from post-purchase optimization alone.</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><a class="link" href="https://www.aftersell.com/case-study/primal-queen?utm_source=newsletter&utm_medium=cot&utm_campaign=resource" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Primal Queen</a>: Generated $130K in pure profit over 3 months.</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><a class="link" href="https://www.aftersell.com/case-study/blendjet?utm_source=newsletter&utm_medium=cot&utm_campaign=resource" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">BlendJet</a>: Hit $628K in incremental profit from a single confirmation page strategy.</p></li></ul><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The mistake most operators make is obsessing over Conversion Rate.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Because conversion might be at an all-time high, but if heavy discounts are involved and margins are razor-thin, it’s just a hamster wheel spinning faster without any growth.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The metric that matters now is Profit Per Visitor (PPV).</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The highest-leverage move available to brands right now isn&#39;t finding cheaper traffic (which is out of their control). It is extracting more value from the traffic they already have (which is entirely in their control).</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">🧠 <b>Takeaway: </b>Most brands are leaving 6 figures per month on the table because they think the transaction ends when the customer clicks &quot;Complete Purchase.&quot; And that’s where the &quot;Hidden Profit&quot; layer begins.</p></div><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p><div class="section" style="background-color:transparent;border-color:#C0C0C0;border-radius:3px;border-style:solid;border-width:3px;margin:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;padding:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;"><h2 class="heading" style="text-align:left;">⚙️ The 3-Touchpoint Profit Path</h2><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Most brands view the checkout flow as a single administrative step.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Profitable brands view it as 3 distinct battlegrounds: <b>cart, checkout, post-purchase upsells</b> - each with a specific objective.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Here is the blueprint to optimize each one.</p><h3 class="heading" style="text-align:left;"><span style="color:rgb(67, 67, 67);">1. The Cart: Gamify & Validate</span></h3><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">🎯<b> Objective:</b> Increase AOV before the hard commitment.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The cart page is where buying intent crystallizes. The customer is running a mental calculation: &quot;Is this worth it?&quot;</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Most brands waste this moment with a static page. According to ROKT, smart ones leverage it to increase value and reduce doubt simultaneously. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">3 tactics that work:</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>A. Gamify the &quot;Add&quot;</b></p><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>The Tactic:</b> Use a Sales Motivator Bar.</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>The Psychology:</b> A progress bar showing &quot;You are $X away from free shipping&quot; changes the psychology of spending. Spending more money no longer feels like a loss; it feels like earning a reward.</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>The Example:</b> <a class="link" href="https://podcompany.com/?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=the-hidden-profit-playbook-unlocking-6-figures-from-your-existing-traffic" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">The Pod Company</a>. They don&#39;t stop at shipping; they use tiered rewards (e.g., Free Shipping @ $200 → Free Gift @ $300).</p></li></ul><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>B. Strategic Upsells</b></p><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>The Rule: </b>Upsells must be logical next steps.</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>The Psychology:</b> Random product suggestions disrupt the flow (e.g., &quot;Want to buy these socks with your TV?&quot;). Relevant suggestions feel like service.</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>The Example:</b> <a class="link" href="https://podcompany.com/?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=the-hidden-profit-playbook-unlocking-6-figures-from-your-existing-traffic" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">The Pod Company</a>. When a customer adds a $99 Ice Pod, the brand immediately suggests Ice Bricks ($22). It works because it improves the experience of the core product. The result? 76% of people add 2 or more.</p></li></ul><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>C. In-Cart Trust Signals</b></p><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>The Problem:</b> 70% of carts are abandoned, totalling $260B in lost revenue for the industry. A massive chunk of that is due to &quot;silent doubt.&quot;</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>The Fix:</b> Don&#39;t bury your trust signals in the footer. Place &quot;Made in USA,&quot; &quot;250,000+ Happy Customers,&quot; and 5-star review counts directly inside the cart drawer.</p></li></ul><h3 class="heading" style="text-align:left;"><span style="color:rgb(67, 67, 67);">2. The Checkout: Add a Protection Layer</span></h3><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">🎯<b> Objective:</b> Protect the conversion by killing the 4 emotions of abandonment.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Once the customer clicks &quot;Checkout,&quot; the goal shifts from expansion to protection. You are no longer selling the product; you are selling the security of the transaction.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Every customer who abandons does it for one of 4 emotional reasons. Your checkout must address them:</p><ol start="1"><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Confusion: &quot;What happens next?&quot;</b></p><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Fix:</b><b> </b>Crystal clear progress indicators and auto-fill everywhere.</p></li></ul></li></ol><ol start="2"><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Trust: &quot;Is this site legit?&quot;</b></p><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Fix:</b><b> </b>Brand consistency. If your site is modern and your checkout looks like a 2010 form, you lose trust. Keep fonts, colors, and imagery consistent.</p></li></ul></li></ol><ol start="3"><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Anxiety: &quot;Will I regret this?&quot;</b></p><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Fix:</b><b> </b>Reiterate social proof at the payment screen. &quot;4.8 Stars from 2,000 reviews&quot; creates a safety net.</p></li></ul></li></ol><ol start="4"><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>FOMO: &quot;Should I wait?&quot;</b></p><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Fix:</b><b> </b>Use low stock warnings or countdowns on reserved carts to create non-manipulative urgency.</p></li></ul></li></ol><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Operator tip:</b> 73% of post-purchase conversions happen on mobile. If your checkout requires &quot;pinching and zooming,&quot; you are killing your conversion rate. Large, thumb-friendly buttons are non-negotiable.</p><h3 class="heading" style="text-align:left;"><span style="color:rgb(67, 67, 67);">3. Post-Purchase: The &quot;Yes Ladder&quot;</span></h3><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">🎯<b> Objective:</b> Make the next purchase logical</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Traditional post-purchase upselling fails because it throws random 40% OFF offers at customers. The winning framework for setting them up is the &quot;Yes Ladder.&quot;</p><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Step 1:</b> The Product </p><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Pick a high-margin, high-repeat SKU. (e.g., <a class="link" href="https://www.aftersell.com/case-study/hush?utm_source=newsletter&utm_medium=cot&utm_campaign=resource" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Hush</a> sells sheets. Their upsell is &quot;Get a second set for wash day at 50% off.&quot; It’s logical.)</p></li></ul></li></ul><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Step 2:</b> The Margin</p><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Never run a post-purchase offer with less than 50% net margin. This is about profit, not revenue density.</p></li></ul></li></ul><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Step 3: </b><b>The Reframe</b></p><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Stop highlighting the total cost. Reframe the value.</p><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Bad: &quot;Add this for $30.&quot;</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Good: &quot;Add 3 months supply for $2.50/week.&quot;</p></li></ul></li></ul></li></ul><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Step 4:</b> Match Front-End Messaging</p><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">If your ad promised &quot;pain relief in 15 minutes,&quot; your upsell must speak to pain relief, not cost savings. If the landing page <i>sold </i>&quot;confidence,&quot; the upsell must <i>reinforce </i>&quot;confidence.&quot;</p></li></ul></li></ul><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Step 5: </b><b>The UI</b></p><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Use a Full Overlay. Data shows that full-screen overlays generate 2x the profit of embedded offers because they capture undivided attention.</p></li></ul></li></ul><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Step 6:</b> Segmentation </p><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Generic offers won’t do the uplift. Segment with intent:</p><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">New vs. Returning, Bundlers vs. Single-SKU, Subscribers vs. One-Timers.</p></li></ul></li></ul></li></ul><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">🧠 <b>Takeaway: </b>Optimizing this flow doesn&#39;t just improve conversion rates. It fundamentally changes your unit economics, often adding $4–7 to your AOV without spending a penny more on ads.</p></div><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p><div class="section" style="background-color:transparent;border-color:#C0C0C0;border-radius:3px;border-style:solid;border-width:3px;margin:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;padding:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;"><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><i><b>Trends </b></i></p><h1 class="heading" style="text-align:left;" id="trend-watch-commerce-is-moving-insi">📊 The “Free Money” Layer</h1><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">For years, the &quot;Thank You&quot; page was treated as a sacred space for brand affinity. A place to say thanks and maybe ask for a referral. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">That era is ending. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The new meta is Commerce Media: monetizing traffic immediately after the customer buys.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">According to <a class="link" href="https://www.rokt.com/?utm_source=newsletter&utm_medium=cot&utm_campaign=resource&_bhlid=f9c31d31981724a02634acf5e2e4839c0394e295" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">ROKT</a> data, there’s a massive shift in which DTC brands are acting less like pure retailers and more like ad networks. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">By opening up their confirmation pages to vetted, non-competitive offers provided by <a class="link" href="https://www.aftersell.com/rokt-thanks?utm_source=newsletter&utm_medium=cot&utm_campaign=resource&_bhlid=f9c31d31981724a02634acf5e2e4839c0394e295" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">ROKT Thanks</a>, brands are unlocking a &quot;Free Money Layer&quot; of pure profit that directly subsidizes their CAC and poses no conversion risk.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>The Data: </b>The engagement on these post-purchase offers is 16% vs. the typical &lt;2% for banner ads.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Proven results:</b></p><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><a class="link" href="https://www.aftersell.com/case-study/obvi?utm_source=newsletter&utm_medium=cot&utm_campaign=resource" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Obvi:</a> Generates +$10k/month in pure profit with zero impact on retention.</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><a class="link" href="https://www.aftersell.com/case-study/primal-queen?utm_source=newsletter&utm_medium=cot&utm_campaign=resource" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Primal Queen:</a> Added +$130k pure profit in just 3 months.</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><a class="link" href="https://www.aftersell.com/case-study/blendjet?utm_source=newsletter&utm_medium=cot&utm_campaign=resource" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">BlendJet:</a> Unlocked $628k+ in incremental profit.</p></li></ul><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Why It Works:</b></p><ol start="1"><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Vetting is key: </b>It won’t turn brand sites into a spam farm. Only select premium partners (e.g., Nike, Hulu) that add value to customers&#39; lives are allowed.</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Zero Lift: </b>There are no COGS, no inventory, and no fulfillment. It is purely a digital arbitrage play.</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Personalization: </b>ROKT’s AI is trained on 200+ million transactions and serves relevant offers based on customer profile and purchase behavior.</p></li></ol><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">🧠 <b>Takeaway: </b>The confirmation page is evolving from a passive brand touchpoint into an active profit center, where commerce media integration provides a zero-inventory revenue stream that directly offsets rising customer acquisition costs.</p></div><h1 class="heading" style="text-align:left;" id="quick-hits">🔗 Quick Hits</h1><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Access the full Aftersell by Rokt<a class="link" href="https://resource.chewonthis.io/profit/?utm_source=inf&utm_medium=cotnewsletter&utm_campaign=promo" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow"> Hidden Profit Playbook</a> to get the 4-stage step-by-step implementation roadmap and the experimentation matrix needed to build your profit engine.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p></div><div class='beehiiv__footer'><br class='beehiiv__footer__break'><hr class='beehiiv__footer__line'><a target="_blank" class="beehiiv__footer_link" style="text-align: center;" href="https://www.beehiiv.com/?utm_campaign=1e59bde9-c49b-44a0-9571-f3d55f9a4c80&utm_medium=post_rss&utm_source=the_dtc_times">Powered by beehiiv</a></div></div>
  ]]></content:encoded>
</item>

      <item>
  <title>2026 CTV Playbook: Don&#39;t get F*ed by Fraud</title>
  <description>Fake screens, spoofed devices, and how operators are protecting their budgets.</description>
  <link>https://the.dtctimes.com/p/2026-ctv-playbook-don-t-get-f-ed-by-fraud</link>
  <guid isPermaLink="true">https://the.dtctimes.com/p/2026-ctv-playbook-don-t-get-f-ed-by-fraud</guid>
  <pubDate>Sun, 23 Nov 2025 15:00:29 +0000</pubDate>
  <atom:published>2025-11-23T15:00:29Z</atom:published>
    <dc:creator>The DTC Times</dc:creator>
  <content:encoded><![CDATA[
    <div class='beehiiv'><style>
  .bh__table, .bh__table_header, .bh__table_cell { border: 1px solid #C0C0C0; }
  .bh__table_cell { padding: 5px; background-color: #FFFFFF; }
  .bh__table_cell p { color: #2D2D2D; font-family: 'Helvetica',Arial,sans-serif !important; overflow-wrap: break-word; }
  .bh__table_header { padding: 5px; background-color:#F1F1F1; }
  .bh__table_header p { color: #2A2A2A; font-family:'Trebuchet MS','Lucida Grande',Tahoma,sans-serif !important; overflow-wrap: break-word; }
</style><div class='beehiiv__body'><h1 class="heading" style="text-align:left;" id="leveraging-ctv-to-turn-verified-att"><b>Leveraging CTV to turn verified attention into measurable growth</b></h1><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><i><b>Why the fastest-growing ad channel is also the least trusted, and how operators are fixing it with verified data</b></i><br><br>If you&#39;re running a seven or eight-figure DTC brand, you&#39;re likely exploring new channels for efficient reach. Paid channels still work, but scaling them gets more expensive every quarter.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Connected TV has emerged as the next frontier. It&#39;s now a $30 billion channel growing at 13% year-over-year, combining TV-level attention with digital-style targeting and measurement.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">But there&#39;s a problem most operators don&#39;t talk about: CTV&#39;s infrastructure has serious verification issues that most operators underestimate.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Today, we&#39;re doing a deep dive on <a class="link" href="https://www.vibe.co/reports/ctv-performance-playbook?utm_source=dtctimes&utm_medium=paid_email&utm_campaign=ctvplaybook" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Vibe&#39;s 2026 CTV Performance Playbook</a>. <br><br>A comprehensive resource that breaks down how to turn CTV from a vanity play into a measurable profit channel. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">We&#39;re pulling out what’s broken, what’s fixable, and how operators are turning CTV into real, measurable performance.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">By the end of this newsletter, you’ll know how to evaluate CTV partners, avoid the most common sources of wasted spend, and build a verification-led performance strategy that scales with confidence.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Today:</b></p><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Macro:</b> The $30B paradox: a boom built on broken data</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Trends:</b> Verified households replace vanity metrics</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Tactics:</b> How operators turn CTV into a profit channel (with benchmarks)</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The Operator Playbook</p></li></ul><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Let’s dive in 👇</p><div class="section" style="background-color:transparent;border-color:#C0C0C0;border-radius:3px;border-style:solid;border-width:3px;margin:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;padding:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;"><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><i><b>Macro Environment</b></i></p><h1 class="heading" style="text-align:left;" id="the-great-dtc-reset-chaos-opportuni">📉 <b>The $30B Paradox: A Boom Built on Broken Data</b></h1><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Connected TV is now the fastest-growing segment in digital advertising. U.S. ad spend is projected to reach $26–27 billion in 2025.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">But here&#39;s what nobody wants to talk about: a massive chunk of that spend is being wasted.</p><div class="image"><img alt="" class="image__image" style="" src="https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/8e5b8193-aa3c-4fda-b20e-68883177d53d/image.png?t=1763576717"/></div><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">According to industry benchmarks:</p><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>~20.8% of &quot;CTV&quot; impressions never reached a real screen.</b> They were screensavers, mobile apps posing as CTV, or worse (Peer39, CTV Benchmarks Report).</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Bot fraud accounts for 65% of all CTV fraud,</b> the highest of any digital channel. (DoubleVerify, 2025).</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>25–40% of open-exchange CTV inventory passes through resellers</b>, often recycling the same impressions multiple times and inflating CPMs through hidden intermediary fees.</p></li></ul><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">As Dr. Augustine Fou of FouAnalytics puts it:</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><i>&quot;CTV fraud doesn&#39;t come from bots. Smart refrigerators, python code on servers, and even javascript code in ad slots have been documented fabricating fake CTV bid requests by the hundreds of billions, pretending to be major CTV streaming apps. In CTV fraud, not only did the ads NOT run on a large-screen TV, the ads didn&#39;t run at all.&quot;</i></p><h3 class="heading" style="text-align:left;"><b>Why This Matters Now</b></h3><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">CTV’s fragmented IDs and reseller-heavy paths make it hard to know where ads ran or who saw them, which is why the channel shows massive growth but low transparency.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">For operators, that gap makes scale risky. The shift is toward household-level delivery and attribution tied to real revenue, not modeled reach.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">🧠<b> Takeaway: </b>CTV&#39;s growth curve means nothing without clean data. If you can&#39;t verify, you can&#39;t measure. And if you can&#39;t measure, you&#39;re not doing performance marketing, you&#39;re just buying reach and hoping.</p></div><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p><div class="section" style="background-color:transparent;border-color:#C0C0C0;border-radius:3px;border-style:solid;border-width:3px;margin:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;padding:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;"><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><i><b>Tactics</b></i></p><h1 class="heading" style="text-align:left;" id="scrappy-growth-whats-actually-worki">🛠️ <b>Verified Households Replace Vanity Metrics</b></h1><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Open-exchange CTV was built for scale, not accuracy. Reseller chains inflate reach, device IDs get recycled, and attribution often depends on modeled estimates instead of real viewing behavior. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">It’s volume without verification, which is why CTV looks strong in dashboards but weak in revenue.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Vibe takes the opposite approach. Their Certified Supply marketplace bans resellers entirely and authenticates every impression at the source, which eliminates the recycled, duplicate, and spoofed delivery that contaminates most open-market buys.</p><div class="image"><img alt="" class="image__image" style="" src="https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/1cf1f256-f8d1-424e-8e95-a440dbda21d6/image.png?t=1763576762"/></div><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The breakthrough comes from verified identity: linking viewing, browsing, and transaction signals into a single, household-level profile. Vibe has authenticated over 80 million real viewer IDs, enabling targeting that behaves more like paid social:</p><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">High-AOV buyers from your CRM</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Lookalikes based on purchase patterns</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">In-market shoppers showing real intent signals</p></li></ul><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">This identity graph spans 500+ CTV apps and first-party commerce data for a full-funnel view.</p><div class="image"><img alt="" class="image__image" style="" src="https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/b6932fab-1705-49c4-8873-2ef655a2f52d/image.png?t=1763576761"/></div><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">And the reach is there. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Smart TV usage is up 27% since 2021, and 90% of households own a CTV device.</b> Verified supply cuts out duplicate impressions and intermediary markups, improving CPMs, match rates, and attribution, with many brands seeing up to 10X better performance.</p><div class="image"><img alt="" class="image__image" style="" src="https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/5c4a9798-a2f8-4f43-8da8-5bb6352800c1/image.png?t=1763576762"/></div><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">For operators who want to see how this plays out across real campaigns, the <a class="link" href="https://www.vibe.co/reports/ctv-performance-playbook?utm_source=dtctimes&utm_medium=paid_email&utm_campaign=ctvplaybook" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Performance Playbook</a> includes the identity maps and audience diagnostics that sit underneath these results.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">🧠<b> Takeaway: </b>The metric that matters is no longer &quot;views.&quot; It&#39;s <i>verified households tied to revenue</i>. If your CTV partner can&#39;t prove the viewer is real, you&#39;re not buying performance, you&#39;re buying hope.</p></div><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p><div class="section" style="background-color:transparent;border-color:#C0C0C0;border-radius:3px;border-style:solid;border-width:3px;margin:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;padding:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;"><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><i><b>Trends </b></i></p><h1 class="heading" style="text-align:left;" id="trend-watch-commerce-is-moving-insi"><b>⚙️</b> <b>How Operators Turn CTV into a Profit Channel</b></h1><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Now for the part that matters: <i>how do you actually make money on CTV?</i></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The answer comes down to three levers: <b>hypertargeting precision</b>, <b>performance-grade creative</b>, and <b>transparent measurement</b>. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Let&#39;s break down each.</p><hr class="content_break"><h3 class="heading" style="text-align:left;"><b>1. Hypertargeting Precision: CRM Integration + Lookalikes</b></h3><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The fastest way to validate CTV is retargeting your existing audience through CRM data.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Vibe syncs directly with Klaviyo and HubSpot, so operators can activate CRM segments inside premium streaming environments within minutes.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Over the past year, brands leveraging Klaviyo-integrated campaigns through <a class="link" href="https://Vibe.co?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=2026-ctv-playbook-don-t-get-f-ed-by-fraud" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Vibe.co</a> achieved high ROAS across different campaign goals:</p><div class="image"><img alt="" class="image__image" style="" src="https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/63510fbc-2216-4f2c-b865-01117f725c4c/image.png?t=1763576821"/></div><h4 class="heading" style="text-align:left;"><b>Real Results from CRM-Integrated Campaigns</b></h4><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Retargeting Benchmarks:</b></p><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><a class="link" href="https://www.vibe.co/blog/sijo-home-upsells-with-klaviyo-and-vibe?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=2026-ctv-playbook-don-t-get-f-ed-by-fraud" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Sijo Home</a><b>:</b> +17% AOV, $0.33 CPS, 200% higher ad spend efficiency with <i>lower</i> CPA</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><a class="link" href="https://www.vibe.co/blog/case-studies/vibe-supercharges-apparel-brand-s-performance-campaigns?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=2026-ctv-playbook-don-t-get-f-ed-by-fraud" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Branded Bills</a><b>:</b> 311% ROAS at $0.33 CPS</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><a class="link" href="https://www.vibe.co/blog/case-study-vibe-hoodsly?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=2026-ctv-playbook-don-t-get-f-ed-by-fraud" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Hoodsly</a><b>:</b> 409% ROAS</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><a class="link" href="https://www.vibe.co/blog/apparel-brand-crushes-roi-goals-with-ctv?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=2026-ctv-playbook-don-t-get-f-ed-by-fraud" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Sota Clothing</a><b>:</b> 312% ROAS at $0.41 CPS (Klaviyo + statewide awareness campaign)</p></li></ul><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Typical CTV Retargeting Benchmarks:</b></p><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>CPV (Cost per Verified View):</b> $0.02–$0.04</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>CPS (Cost per Session):</b> $0.33–$1.45</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>ROAS (Return on Ad Spend):</b> 150–700%</p></li></ul><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Once retargeting is working, brands expand into lookalikes and intent-driven prospecting using purchase and browsing signals. A 40/60 retargeting-to-prospecting mix accelerates learning while staying efficient.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Operator tip:</b> Segment by lifecycle. Creative and ROAS expectations vary dramatically between first-time buyers, subscribers, and repeat purchasers.</p><hr class="content_break"><h3 class="heading" style="text-align:left;"><b>2. Creative Built for Performance TV</b></h3><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Targeting can’t fix bad creative. CTV isn’t social. Viewers are watching on large screens where clarity and pacing matter instantly.</p><h4 class="heading" style="text-align:left;"><b>The highest-performing CTV ads share 6 few core traits:</b></h4><ol start="1"><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Emotional storytelling</b> – Build connection before conversion</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Clear, visible CTA</b> – Spoken <i>and</i> on-screen</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Authentic delivery</b> – Real people, not overly scripted actors</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Sound-off design</b> – Over 60% of CTV impressions play at low volume; use captions and bold visuals</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Strong branding</b> – Sustained through color, tone, and audio</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Single message</b> – Avoid clutter or split attention</p></li></ol><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Where brands struggle is producing enough high-quality creative to keep up with CTV’s learning cycles. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><a class="link" href="https://Vibe.co?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=2026-ctv-playbook-don-t-get-f-ed-by-fraud" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Vibe.co</a>’s Studio solves this by versioning and localizing assets automatically, cutting production costs by up to 80%. It tests formats, pacing, transitions, framing, and CTA variants,  then pushes winners into live campaigns.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The result is faster iteration, less creative fatigue, and ads that are purpose-built for performance TV rather than repurposed social clips.</p><hr class="content_break"><h3 class="heading" style="text-align:left;"><b>3. Measurement and Incrementality: Proving Every Dollar</b></h3><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Measurement is where most CTV breaks. <a class="link" href="https://Vibe.co?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=2026-ctv-playbook-don-t-get-f-ed-by-fraud" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Vibe.co</a> uses a multi-layer attribution stack so operators can validate lift across independent systems instead of relying on in-platform dashboards.</p><h4 class="heading" style="text-align:left;"><b>The Multi-Layer Attribution Stack:</b></h4><div class="image"><img alt="" class="image__image" style="" src="https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/75c9448f-4e34-45f0-8f4b-1cf42d45eeeb/image.png?t=1763576821"/></div><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Across lift tests, verified CTV delivered $<b>1.52 in incremental revenue for every $1 spent, with 6% of Shopify orders tied directly to CTV exposure</b>. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">In platform comparisons, <a class="link" href="https://Vibe.co?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=2026-ctv-playbook-don-t-get-f-ed-by-fraud" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Vibe.co</a> outperformed Meta, Google, and Snapchat on incremental sales and ROAS efficiency.</p><div class="image"><img alt="" class="image__image" style="" src="https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/ecb48eb2-ee3b-4ef0-a919-9cd2b0204e04/image.png?t=1763576821"/></div><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">You can triangulate performance across:</p><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>First-party pixel data</b> (what actually happened after the ad ran)</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Third-party MTA tools</b> (how CTV fits into your full funnel)</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>MMM models</b> (what revenue would <i>not</i> have happened without CTV)</p></li></ul><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">When all three align, you get CFO-grade confidence in your CTV spend.</p></div><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p><div class="section" style="background-color:transparent;border-color:#C0C0C0;border-radius:3px;border-style:solid;border-width:3px;margin:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;padding:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;"><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><i><b>Trends </b></i></p><h2 class="heading" style="text-align:left;">🎯<b> The Operator Playbook</b></h2><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">If you&#39;re ready to test CTV as a performance channel, here&#39;s the phased approach:</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Phase 1 (Weeks 1–4) </b>Prove lift with CRM retargeting, a 40/60 retargeting-to-prospecting mix, and CPS/ROAS validation.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Phase 2 (Weeks 5–12): </b>Scale what works by expanding lookalikes and testing creative variables in parallel.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Phase 3 (Month 4+): </b>Build long-term efficiency through MMM validation, measurement triangulation, and ongoing creative iteration to prevent fatigue.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">CTV is no longer a &quot;test budget&quot; channel. It&#39;s the next frontier for operators looking to diversify reach and find incremental growth beyond their core paid channels. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">But only if you&#39;re buying real impressions, targeting real households, and measuring real outcomes.</p></div><h1 class="heading" style="text-align:left;" id="quick-hits">🔗 Quick Hits</h1><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Explore the full <a class="link" href="https://www.vibe.co/reports/ctv-performance-playbook?utm_source=dtctimes&utm_medium=paid_email&utm_campaign=ctvplaybook" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Vibe 2026 CTV Performance Playbook</a> for verified household data, real case studies, and frameworks that show how to turn CTV into measurable profit.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p></div><div class='beehiiv__footer'><br class='beehiiv__footer__break'><hr class='beehiiv__footer__line'><a target="_blank" class="beehiiv__footer_link" style="text-align: center;" href="https://www.beehiiv.com/?utm_campaign=ab377348-03bf-4167-9cd6-54abdaa1ff32&utm_medium=post_rss&utm_source=the_dtc_times">Powered by beehiiv</a></div></div>
  ]]></content:encoded>
</item>

      <item>
  <title>The BFCM 2025 Shakeout</title>
  <description>How tariffs, timing shifts, and channel migration are rewriting the rules of holiday commerce</description>
  <link>https://the.dtctimes.com/p/the-bfcm-2025-shakeout</link>
  <guid isPermaLink="true">https://the.dtctimes.com/p/the-bfcm-2025-shakeout</guid>
  <pubDate>Sun, 05 Oct 2025 14:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
  <atom:published>2025-10-05T14:00:00Z</atom:published>
    <dc:creator>The DTC Times</dc:creator>
  <content:encoded><![CDATA[
    <div class='beehiiv'><style>
  .bh__table, .bh__table_header, .bh__table_cell { border: 1px solid #C0C0C0; }
  .bh__table_cell { padding: 5px; background-color: #FFFFFF; }
  .bh__table_cell p { color: #2D2D2D; font-family: 'Helvetica',Arial,sans-serif !important; overflow-wrap: break-word; }
  .bh__table_header { padding: 5px; background-color:#F1F1F1; }
  .bh__table_header p { color: #2A2A2A; font-family:'Trebuchet MS','Lucida Grande',Tahoma,sans-serif !important; overflow-wrap: break-word; }
</style><div class='beehiiv__body'><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">We’re about 50 days out from BFCM Friday, and the ground has already shifted.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Holiday growth is slowing, tariffs are squeezing margins, and shoppers are abandoning brand sites for retailer ecosystems. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The channels and behaviors that built the DTC playbook aren’t where the game is being played anymore, yet most brands are still optimizing for a version of BFCM that no longer exists.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">This week we’re breaking down what operators need to know heading into the final stretch:</p><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Macro:</b> The End of Easy BFCM Growth</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Trends:</b> The BFCM Arbitrage Most Brands Are Missing</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Tactics:</b> The 90-Day System That Drives Profit</p></li></ul><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Let&#39;s get into it.</p><div class="section" style="background-color:transparent;border-color:#C0C0C0;border-radius:3px;border-style:solid;border-width:3px;margin:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;padding:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;"><h2 class="heading" style="text-align:left;">📉<b> Macro: The End of Easy BFCM Growth</b></h2><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Mastercard Economics Institute forecasts<b> </b><a class="link" href="https://www.mastercardservices.com/en/advisors/economic-consulting/insights/holiday-2025-value-and-vibes?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=the-bfcm-2025-shakeout" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">3.6% retail sales growth</a> for November-December 2025. On the surface, that looks like reasonable, steady growth heading into the holidays.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">But underneath that modest growth number, the cost structure that built the DTC playbook has fundamentally broken. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Four margin pressures are hitting simultaneously, making traditional BFCM strategy financially destructive.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>1) Input costs spiked across popular holiday categories</b></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><a class="link" href="https://www.mastercardservices.com/en/advisors/economic-consulting/insights/holiday-2025-value-and-vibes?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=the-bfcm-2025-shakeout" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Mastercard&#39;s tariff analysis</a> shows holiday staples took sharp hikes: Christmas trees jumped from <b>8.4% to 26.9%</b>, clothing hit <b>25.4%</b>, and toys reached <b>20-22.4%</b>. Those increases land right as volumes peak, so every unit carries less profit before promotions.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p><div class="image"><img alt="" class="image__image" style="" src="https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/a1e6fce2-24ab-4fc3-87fb-d97869bd21cb/image.png?t=1759498831"/></div><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>2) Discount dynamics shifted</b></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Gartner reports that <a class="link" href="https://www.marketingdive.com/news/holiday-shoppers-expect-less-discounts-in-2025-what-numbers-say/759921/?utm_source=tldrmarketing" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">40% of consumers expect fewer discounts this holiday season</a>, an 8-point increase from last year. Shoppers still want value, but they’re not counting on across-the-board doorbusters. This favors targeted incentives, early-access positioning, and loyalty/VIP perks over margin-killing site-wide slashes.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>3) Acquisition costs are inflating exactly when you need them most</b></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Meta and TikTok<a class="link" href="https://resource.chewonthis.io/bfcm/?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=the-bfcm-2025-shakeout" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow"> CPMs begin inflating by mid-October</a>, often doubling by Thanksgiving. Brands that wait until November to test pay the highest prices for the noisiest window. Every misstep is punished at peak CPMs.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>4) You&#39;re losing control of the customer journey</b></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Consumer preference for brand websites collapsed from<a class="link" href="https://www.marketingdive.com/news/holiday-shoppers-expect-less-discounts-in-2025-what-numbers-say/759921/?utm_source=tldrmarketing" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow"> 61% in 2023 to just 40% in 2025</a> as shoppers migrate to retail channels they view as more reliable and deal-friendly. On those platforms, you’re competing side by side with rivals, price comparisons are instant, and loyalty is diluted.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">This creates an impossible equation for the old BFCM playbook. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Higher input costs plus lower pricing power plus peak acquisition costs plus reduced channel control. Even modest growth becomes a problem when your costs are rising faster than your ability to price accordingly. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Smart operators aren’t chasing screenshots of “record weekends.” They’re restructuring Q4 around profit per visitor. That means:</p><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Model margins before marketing.</b> Set SKU-level discount ceilings using tariff-adjusted COGS and contribution margin targets, so promo planning can’t blow up unit economics.</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Pull demand creation forward.</b> Build list and VIP segments in Sept/Oct, then convert via <b>email/SMS</b> in Nov—shifting spend from peak auctions to owned channels.</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Meet shoppers where they buy (and capture data back).</b> Treat marketplaces/retailer apps as distribution and <b>attach first-party data capture</b> (warranty, registration, post-purchase flows) to bring those customers into your ecosystem.</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Optimize for profit per visitor, not screenshots.</b> Evaluate campaigns on contribution margin and LTV, even if the topline looks flat versus last year’s “record weekend.”</p></li></ul><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Takeaway:</b> The easy money era of BFCM is over. What&#39;s replacing it requires margin discipline, early execution, and systematic thinking about the entire 90-day window.</p></div><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p><div class="section" style="background-color:transparent;border-color:#000000;border-radius:3px;border-style:solid;border-width:3px;margin:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;padding:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;"><h1 class="heading" style="text-align:left;"><b>Stop Digital Shoplifting Before It Kills Your BFCM Margins</b></h1><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">During peak season, you&#39;re focused on conversion and volume. Digital shoplifters know this, and they exploit it. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">&quot;Friendly fraud&quot; spikes during BFCM as bad actors place orders they plan to dispute later, knowing merchants are too busy to verify.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Most fraud tools only catch stolen cards, missing the $125B in revenue lost to customers who buy, use, then claim they &quot;never received&quot; the product.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><a class="link" href="https://www.chargeflow.io/products/prevent?utm_source=linkedin%2C+x&utm_medium=influencer&utm_campaign=DTC+Times&utm_id=Prevent" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Chargeflow Prevent</a> just launched to stop digital shoplifting at the source. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Instead of declining transactions upfront (killing your approval rates when you need them most), Prevent analyzes customer identity across 15,000+ merchants post-purchase. When a high-risk identity is flagged, orders can be automatically held for verification before shipping</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The result: 90% fraud reduction with zero unnecessary declines. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Perfect for BFCM when every legitimate customer matters.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">And they&#39;re making it easy to test. Through December 31st, get your first 1,000 transactions on the house, then 50% off after that.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><a class="link" href="https://www.chargeflow.io/products/prevent?utm_source=linkedin%2C+x&utm_medium=influencer&utm_campaign=DTC+Times&utm_id=Prevent" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">See how much fraud you&#39;re missing. Try Prevent now →</a></p><div class="image"><a class="image__link" href="https://www.chargeflow.io/products/prevent?utm_source=linkedin%2C+x&utm_medium=influencer&utm_campaign=DTC+Times&utm_id=Prevent" rel="noopener" target="_blank"><img alt="" class="image__image" style="" src="https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/23638fc7-7788-4f30-a0ef-620e29d00a49/image.png?t=1759498859"/></a></div></div><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p><div class="section" style="background-color:transparent;border-color:#C0C0C0;border-radius:3px;border-style:solid;border-width:3px;margin:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;padding:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;"><h2 class="heading" style="text-align:left;">📊<b> Trends: The BFCM Arbitrage Most Brands Are Missing</b></h2><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The holiday cycle isn’t one surge anymore, it’s three.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><br>A big chunk of shoppers decide early,<a class="link" href="https://resource.chewonthis.io/bfcm/?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=the-bfcm-2025-shakeout" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow"> before November 1</a>. Then the <a class="link" href="https://www.klaviyo.com/blog/bfcm-consumer-browsing?utm_source=tldrmarketing" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">10 days before Black Friday</a> become a browsing stampede. And a long tail pushes well into December. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Most operators pour spend into the middle and miss the edges, where costs are lower and conversion can be cleaner.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Here’s how the phases actually behave:</p><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Early deciders (late Oct–early Nov):</b> They’re buying while most brands are still “warming up.” Competition is lighter, CPMs are lower, and owned audiences convert without the tax of peak auctions.</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Compressed surge (10 days pre-BFCM):</b> Browsing spikes, everyone piles in, CPMs peak, and marginal tests get punished.</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Extended buyers (Dec → last ship dates):</b> A huge slice of revenue lands after Cyber Week. Brands that stay live with smart segmentation catch incremental wins while others go dark.</p></li></ul><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Channel shift amplifies the arbitrage. When decisions get made, shoppers choose the fastest path to value. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>This year, a clear majority plan to buy through retailer ecosystems</b><a class="link" href="https://www.marketingdive.com/news/holiday-shoppers-expect-less-discounts-in-2025-what-numbers-say/759921/?utm_source=tldrmarketing" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow"> (58% sites; 43% apps</a><b>), while brand destinations lag</b><a class="link" href="https://www.marketingdive.com/news/holiday-shoppers-expect-less-discounts-in-2025-what-numbers-say/759921/?utm_source=tldrmarketing" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow"> (30% sites; 12% apps)</a><b> and social shopping slips to just</b><a class="link" href="https://www.marketingdive.com/news/holiday-shoppers-expect-less-discounts-in-2025-what-numbers-say/759921/?utm_source=tldrmarketing" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow"> 7% (–3 pts YoY)</a><b>.</b> </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">In that context, placement and timing beat brand narrative at the moment of choice.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>If you want the advantage the data points to, run this sequence:</b></p><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Front-load demand:</b> Launch your strongest offers in early November, not just the week of. Build waitlists and VIP segments in October so you’re converting from owned channels when CPMs are sane.</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Treat the surge like a conversion window, not a testing window:</b> Lock creative and offers before mid-November; use that 10-day spike to harvest, not learn.</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Stay live into December with purpose:</b> Shift to shipping-deadline urgency, curated bundles, and replen-friendly SKUs. Keep retail placements tight, and let email/SMS carry high-intent segments the rest of the way.</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Follow the shopper, then bring them home:</b> Use retail/marketplace presence as distribution, but attach data capture (warranty, registration, post-purchase flows) so those buyers graduate into your owned ecosystem.</p></li></ul><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Takeaway:</b> The arbitrage isn’t in the middle where it’s loud and expensive, it’s at the edges where timing, placement, and owned audiences compound.</p></div><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p><div class="section" style="background-color:transparent;border-color:#C0C0C0;border-radius:3px;border-style:solid;border-width:3px;margin:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;padding:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;"><h2 class="heading" style="text-align:left;"><b>⚙️ Tactics: The 90-Day System That Drives Profit</b></h2><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Operators who win Q4 don’t chase a weekend. They build a 90-day system that front-loads demand, orchestrates channels when the market is noisiest, and then compounds that spike into Q1.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Here’s the playbook:</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>1) Start before it’s crowded</b></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Subscriber quality is the leverage point. <a class="link" href="https://www.attentive.com/black-friday-cyber-monday-2025/bfcm25-resources/30-days-to-bfcm-embrace-authentic-connection?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=the-bfcm-2025-shakeout" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Attentive’s data</a> shows that subscribers acquired in June<b>–</b>mid-November delivered <a class="link" href="https://www.attentive.com/black-friday-cyber-monday-2025/bfcm25-resources/30-days-to-bfcm-embrace-authentic-connection?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=the-bfcm-2025-shakeout" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">14% higher AOV </a>during Cyber Week than prior subscribers, and while BFCM-week signups were only <a class="link" href="https://www.attentive.com/black-friday-cyber-monday-2025/bfcm25-resources/30-days-to-bfcm-embrace-authentic-connection?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=the-bfcm-2025-shakeout" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">1.7% of lists, they drove 33% of revenue</a>. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">That’s the signal: use October to grow VIP and early-access audiences so you’re converting from owned channels when auctions surge. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>2) Orchestrate SMS + email with intent</b></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Volume helps, but only when it’s sequenced. Brands that <b>increased SMS sends 2.5–3×</b> during BFCM saw a <a class="link" href="https://www.attentive.com/black-friday-cyber-monday-2025/bfcm25-resources/30-days-to-bfcm-embrace-authentic-connection?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=the-bfcm-2025-shakeout" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">626% revenue lift</a>. Make SMS your first announcement for speed, then let email carry depth (offer details, bundles, reviews). </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">In SMS, <b>percentage-off</b> frames convert about <b>10% higher</b> than dollar amounts, and <b>second-person</b> language lifts click-through by ~<b>5%</b>, small edges that add up when every message competes. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>3) Respect peak-day timing</b> </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Carriers choke during the rush. On Black Friday/Cyber Monday, send <b>before 10am ET or after 3pm ET</b> to avoid the heaviest congestion; treat the middle of the day like a delivery tax on time-sensitive comms. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>4) Make flows do the heavy lifting</b></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">During BFCM, triggered journeys become profit engines. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Welcome</b> flows converted at <a class="link" href="https://www.attentive.com/black-friday-cyber-monday-2025/bfcm25-resources/30-days-to-bfcm-embrace-authentic-connection?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=the-bfcm-2025-shakeout" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">11% (BF) and 10% (CM)</a> and accounted for <b>$141M</b> in revenue; <b>cart-abandon</b> flows recovered <b>$16.2M</b> in same-day revenue across BF/CM alone. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Update copy for BFCM, add extra touchpoints, and shorten delays to match compressed decisions, then schedule automatic reversion once promos end. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>5) Extend the spike into Q1</b> </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Treat Cyber Week as the start of a retention arc, not the finish line. Layer <a class="link" href="https://resource.chewonthis.io/bfcm/?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=the-bfcm-2025-shakeout" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">30/60/90-day </a>sequences: </p><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Post-purchase education and cross-sell at 30 days</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Replenishment + surveys at 60</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">VIP-only drops at 90</p></li></ul><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Brands that run BFCM inside a retention system consistently out-earn those that treat it as a one-off surge. </p><div class="image"><img alt="" class="image__image" style="" src="https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/57754754-819e-456c-94b4-8eb244caa82b/image.png?t=1759498912"/></div><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Takeaway:</b> The loudest brand rarely wins BFCM—the <i>earliest</i> one does<b>.</b> Get intent cheap, convert it when auctions are brutal, and let automation do the heavy lifting after the noise dies.</p></div><h1 class="heading" style="text-align:left;" id="quick-hits">🔗 Quick Hits</h1><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b><a class="link" href="https://www.klaviyo.com/blog/bfcm-consumer-browsing?utm_source=tldrmarketing" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Klaviyo Says Holiday Surge Starts Just 10 Days Before Black Friday:</a></b><b> </b>Cyber Week now concentrates the steepest discounts, with email + SMS driving 43% of 2024 Black Friday GMV, guidance to grow lists early and convert with deadline-driven messaging.</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b><a class="link" href="https://resource.chewonthis.io/bfcm/?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=the-bfcm-2025-shakeout" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Chew On This’s Ultimate Operators Guide To BFCM 2025 tells how to win Q4.</a></b><b> </b><b>The Ultimate Operators Guide flags CPMs rising by mid-October and often doubling by Thanksgiving, pushes a profit-per-visitor, 90-day retention system, and cautions that deep discounts without a margin strategy create vanity wins.</b></p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b><a class="link" href="https://www.mastercardservices.com/en/advisors/economic-consulting/insights/holiday-2025-value-and-vibes?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=the-bfcm-2025-shakeout" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Mastercard Forecasts Slowest Holiday Growth Since the Pandemic:</a></b><b> </b><b>The Economics Institute projects just 3.6% retail sales growth for Nov–Dec 2025, as new tariffs drive up costs on holiday staples like Christmas trees (8.4%→26.9%), clothing (25.4%), and toys (20–22.4%).</b></p></li></ul><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p></div><div class='beehiiv__footer'><br class='beehiiv__footer__break'><hr class='beehiiv__footer__line'><a target="_blank" class="beehiiv__footer_link" style="text-align: center;" href="https://www.beehiiv.com/?utm_campaign=2fa504ac-abd6-4309-b2e8-783e86ce5b0f&utm_medium=post_rss&utm_source=the_dtc_times">Powered by beehiiv</a></div></div>
  ]]></content:encoded>
</item>

      <item>
  <title>The End Of The Linear Funnel (And What Replaces It)</title>
  <description>Everything you need to launch on AppLovin, why checkout is leaving your site, and what Sephora&#39;s doing with reviews</description>
  <link>https://the.dtctimes.com/p/the-end-of-the-linear-funnel-and-what-replaces-it</link>
  <guid isPermaLink="true">https://the.dtctimes.com/p/the-end-of-the-linear-funnel-and-what-replaces-it</guid>
  <pubDate>Thu, 02 Oct 2025 13:30:00 +0000</pubDate>
  <atom:published>2025-10-02T13:30:00Z</atom:published>
    <dc:creator>The DTC Times</dc:creator>
  <content:encoded><![CDATA[
    <div class='beehiiv'><style>
  .bh__table, .bh__table_header, .bh__table_cell { border: 1px solid #C0C0C0; }
  .bh__table_cell { padding: 5px; background-color: #FFFFFF; }
  .bh__table_cell p { color: #2D2D2D; font-family: 'Helvetica',Arial,sans-serif !important; overflow-wrap: break-word; }
  .bh__table_header { padding: 5px; background-color:#F1F1F1; }
  .bh__table_header p { color: #2A2A2A; font-family:'Trebuchet MS','Lucida Grande',Tahoma,sans-serif !important; overflow-wrap: break-word; }
</style><div class='beehiiv__body'><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">For years, the DTC playbook has been linear: drive traffic to your site, convince them to browse, get them to checkout. Discovery happened on one platform, research on another, and purchase on yours.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">But today, that model is breaking down in real time. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">AI agents are now handling the entire shopping journey—search, compare, checkout—without ever sending a customer to your site. Visual discovery platforms are transforming inspiration into instant purchase. And reviews aren&#39;t just validating products anymore; they&#39;re becoming the storefront itself.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">This week, we&#39;re breaking down three forces reshaping how products get discovered and purchased, and what you need to do now to stay in control of your customer relationships.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Today:</b></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">🎯<b> Advertising Update: AppLovin Just Opened to All Brands</b> <span style="color:rgb(34, 34, 34);">→</span> The invite-only ad platform is now accessible to all DTC brands</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">📉 <b>Macro: ChatGPT Pushes Commerce Into the Checkout Agent Era </b><span style="color:rgb(34, 34, 34);"><b>→ </b></span>What happens when AI agents control discovery, recommendation, and purchase in one shot</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">📊 <b>Trend: Pinterest’s Quiet Play for Gen Z’s Wallet </b><span style="color:rgb(34, 34, 34);"><b>→ </b></span>Why visual search is turning into an intent-rich acquisition channel</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">⚙️ <b>Tactic: Sephora Shows Where Reviews Are Headed →</b><span style="color:rgb(34, 34, 34);"><b> </b></span>The evolution of reviews into shoppable storefronts, and how to test it yourself.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">⚡ <b>Quick Hits </b><span style="color:rgb(34, 34, 34);"><b>→ </b></span>Nike x Skims, tariffs driving global expansion, DoorDash fulfillment, and OpenAI’s TikTok rival.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Let&#39;s get into it.</p><div class="section" style="background-color:transparent;border-color:#C0C0C0;border-radius:3px;border-style:solid;border-width:3px;margin:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;padding:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;"><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>AppLovin is Now Open to All DTC Brands. Here&#39;s Everything You Need to Know.</b></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The previous invite-only platform has officially dropped all access restrictions. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">If you&#39;re not familiar: AppLovin places full-screen video ads inside mobile games. When players hit a natural break between levels, your ad takes over their entire screen for 35+ seconds. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">No scrolling past. No competing with other ads in a feed. Just your product with locked attention.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Until yesterday, only a small group of brands had access, and they&#39;ve been scaling hard:</p><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Consistent 2-4x ROAS</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">80% same-day conversions</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">One beauty brand hit $1.2M in six weeks</p></li></ul><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><a class="link" href="https://www.chewonthis.io?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=the-end-of-the-linear-funnel-and-what-replaces-it" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Chew On This</a> put together a <a class="link" href="https://resource.chewonthis.io/applovin/?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=the-end-of-the-linear-funnel-and-what-replaces-it" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">complete resource guide</a> with everything you need to launch without burning budget: </p><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The full setup playbook (pixel, creative strategy, scaling)</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Winning ad examples from DTC brands like <a class="link" href="https://myobvi.com?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=the-end-of-the-linear-funnel-and-what-replaces-it" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Obvi</a></p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Video walkthroughs from founders already doing $100K+ months on the platform</p></li></ul><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Plus, there&#39;s a special offer for new brands: spend your first $5K, get $5K in ad credits. No GMV minimums. Open internationally (except Western Europe).</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><a class="link" href="https://resource.chewonthis.io/applovin/?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=the-end-of-the-linear-funnel-and-what-replaces-it" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Get the complete AppLovin launch playbook + special offer here →</a></p></div><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p><div class="section" style="background-color:transparent;border-color:#C0C0C0;border-radius:3px;border-style:solid;border-width:3px;margin:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;padding:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;"><h3 class="heading" style="text-align:left;">📉<b> Macro: ChatGPT Pushes Commerce Into the Checkout Agent Era</b></h3><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Checkout is leaving your website. <a class="link" href="https://openai.com/index/buy-it-in-chatgpt/?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=the-end-of-the-linear-funnel-and-what-replaces-it" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">OpenAI’s latest update</a> lets shoppers search, compare, and purchase products from <a class="link" href="https://www.retaildive.com/news/openai-chatgpt-instant-checkout-agentic-commerce-etsy-shopify/761442/?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=the-end-of-the-linear-funnel-and-what-replaces-it" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Shopify, Etsy, and others directly inside ChatGPT</a>.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">It’s more than a feature update, it collapses discovery, product selection, and checkout into one AI-mediated interaction. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">But when an algorithm decides what to surface, the rules change.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Early signs suggest speed, price, and data clarity carry more weight than brand story. Fast shipping and clean metadata could matter more than your PDP design. That makes fulfillment and catalog hygiene as critical as creative.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The trade-off is clear: in this flow you lose email capture, upsells, and merchandising control. If your economics rely on list growth or bundling, that dependency becomes a risk.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>What to do now:</b></p><ol start="1"><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Audit your presence.</b> Test how your products appear in ChatGPT shopping flows. Are your listings surfaced? Are images, titles, and shipping times optimized?</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Harden your direct channels.</b> Invest in loyalty programs, SMS, and community touchpoints to keep ownership of customer relationships.</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Strengthen structured data.</b> Clear titles, rich product metadata, and consistent feeds aren’t just SEO — they’re how agents decide what to show.</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Re-evaluate fulfillment promises.</b> If AI is weighting delivery speed and reliability, your 3PL and shipping SLAs become a growth lever.</p></li></ol><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Takeaway:</b> AI checkout collapses discovery and purchase into a single moment. The brands that adapt their feeds, fulfillment, and owned channels will hold leverage as the gatekeepers shift.</p></div><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p><div class="section" style="background-color:transparent;border-color:#C0C0C0;border-radius:3px;border-style:solid;border-width:3px;margin:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;padding:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;"><h3 class="heading" style="text-align:left;">📊<b> Trends: Pinterest’s Quiet Play for Gen Z’s Wallet</b></h3><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Pinterest is steadily moving from inspiration board to shopping engine. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">With “where-to-buy” links and local inventory ads, users can now go from idea to purchase in a few taps (<a class="link" href="https://www.retailbrew.com/stories/2025/09/25/pinterest-bets-big-on-visual-search-going-after-gen-z-shoppers?utm_source=chatgpt.com" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Retail Brew</a>).</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">This is powerful for Gen Z. They don’t always search with keywords, they recognize what they want when they see it. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Pinterest leans into that behavior with algorithms built for visual recognition, not viral trends.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Why this matters for operators:</b></p><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Higher intent signals</b>. A pin tagged “fall boots” is closer to purchase than a TikTok that happens to feature boots.</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Inventory-driven discovery</b>. With local feeds, in-stock status becomes a differentiator. That means feed hygiene and inventory syncing are as important here as on Amazon.</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Algorithmic edge. </b>Pinterest’s recommendation system is built for visual recognition, not viral content, which reduces volatility and offers steadier acquisition.</p></li></ul><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>What you can do to stay ahead:</b></p><ol start="1"><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Sync your product feeds and test how your catalog appears in Pinterest search</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Tailor creative to match Pinterest’s native aesthetic (clean, aspirational, visual)</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Treat attribution seriously: test how Pinterest contributes to assisted conversions in your funnel</p></li></ol><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Takeaway:</b> Pinterest isn’t the flashiest platform, but it’s becoming a reliable acquisition lever in categories like fashion, beauty, and home. If you’ve deprioritized it, this is the moment to test it seriously.</p></div><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p><div class="section" style="background-color:transparent;border-color:#C0C0C0;border-radius:3px;border-style:solid;border-width:3px;margin:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;padding:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;"><h3 class="heading" style="text-align:left;"><b>⚙️ Tactics: Sephora Shows Where Reviews Are Headed</b></h3><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Think about the evolution of reviews in DTC: first it was star ratings, then UGC photos, then affiliate links. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Sephora’s new <a class="link" href="https://newsroom.sephora.com/sephora-launches-my-sephora-storefront-to-empower-creators/?utm_source=chatgpt.com" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">My Sephora Storefront</a> is the next step; turning reviews into curated shops that live directly inside the platform. Creators can assemble collections, push them to their audiences, and earn on the transactions that happen without leaving Sephora’s ecosystem.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p><div class="image"><img alt="" class="image__image" style="" src="https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/466e5b49-3784-490e-a80b-4fcc058f356d/image.png?t=1759351927"/></div><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The bigger story isn’t Sephora. It’s what this means for the role of reviews in commerce. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">They’re no longer about <i>validating</i> a purchase, they’re starting to <i>drive</i> the purchase. And once that line blurs, platforms will double down on making every piece of review content shoppable.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">For operators, that creates both opportunity and risk:</p><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Opportunity:</b> Reviews can be packaged as curated bundles, seasonal collections, or even exclusive drops. A review becomes a distribution channel, not just a conversion nudge.</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Risk:</b> If you don’t build your own version of this, someone else will own that layer of the funnel. And if commissions aren’t managed carefully, margins erode quickly.</p></li></ul><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The play isn’t to copy Sephora outright. It’s to test where your reviews and creator partnerships can evolve into storefronts on your own turf. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Operator playbook (how you test this in your stack)</b></p><ol start="1"><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Pilot mini-shops or “creator collections”</b> on your owned site. Offer a small set of SKUs curated, packaged, and sold via creator aesthetic. Use this as a benchmark for conversion lift vs. standard affiliate links.</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Apply margin filters.</b> Only push SKUs with healthy repeat rates, retention, or margin room (so creator cut doesn’t kill your economics).</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Track deep metrics.</b> Go beyond revenue. Look at returns, repeat purchases, LTV of those orders, and cross-sell rates.</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Align catalog + storytelling.</b> Make sure the product metadata, images, and bundles are creator-friendly — they should be as easy to pitch as they are to buy.</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Consider exclusives or early drops via creator shops.</b> Reward creators with early access or exclusive picks that help them differentiate their storefronts.</p></li></ol><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Takeaway:</b> Sephora is transforming the “review” role into a commerce tool. The write-ups are becoming storefronts. Brands that preemptively enable creator commerce paths (rather than chasing it reactively) will capture both trust and margin.</p></div><h1 class="heading" style="text-align:left;" id="quick-hits">⚡ <b>Quick Hits</b></h1><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><a class="link" href="https://www.retaildive.com/news/nikeskims-women-activewear-brand-launch/760748/?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=the-end-of-the-linear-funnel-and-what-replaces-it" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Nike + Skims join forces in activewear</a> — Nike and Skims are launching a women’s activewear brand this Friday, combining Nike’s distribution with Skims’ cultural cachet. A signal that collabs between legacy performance giants and celebrity-led DTCs are becoming the new growth lever.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><a class="link" href="https://www.modernretail.co/operations/its-too-risky-tariffs-are-causing-brands-to-back-away-from-the-us-and-expand-abroad-instead/?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=the-end-of-the-linear-funnel-and-what-replaces-it" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Tariffs push brands abroad</a> — Facing rising costs, some brands are pulling back from U.S. expansion and focusing on international markets instead. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><a class="link" href="https://about.doordash.com/en-us/news/doordash-unveils-dashmart-fulfillment-services?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=the-end-of-the-linear-funnel-and-what-replaces-it" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">DoorDash expands into fulfillment </a>— DoorDash announced DashMart Fulfillment Services, offering warehousing and same-day delivery for retailers. Another sign that “instant” logistics networks are moving into traditional 3PL territory.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><a class="link" href="https://techcrunch.com/2025/09/30/openai-is-launching-the-sora-app-its-own-tiktok-competitor-alongside-the-sora-2-model/?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=the-end-of-the-linear-funnel-and-what-replaces-it" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">OpenAI to launch Sora, its TikTok rival</a> — OpenAI debuted Sora, a TikTok-style app for sharing AI-generated videos powered by its new Sora 2 model. Another platform entering the mix where content, discovery, and distribution converge.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p></div><div class='beehiiv__footer'><br class='beehiiv__footer__break'><hr class='beehiiv__footer__line'><a target="_blank" class="beehiiv__footer_link" style="text-align: center;" href="https://www.beehiiv.com/?utm_campaign=647eb284-dc82-4b79-9724-3d3555f94b65&utm_medium=post_rss&utm_source=the_dtc_times">Powered by beehiiv</a></div></div>
  ]]></content:encoded>
</item>

      <item>
  <title>Three Infrastructure Shifts That Just Rewrote DTC Rules</title>
  <description>Amazon trains consumers, creators go programmatic, supply chain costs skyrocket</description>
  <link>https://the.dtctimes.com/p/three-infrastructure-shifts-that-just-rewrote-dtc-rules-804e</link>
  <guid isPermaLink="true">https://the.dtctimes.com/p/three-infrastructure-shifts-that-just-rewrote-dtc-rules-804e</guid>
  <pubDate>Sun, 24 Aug 2025 14:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
  <atom:published>2025-08-24T14:00:00Z</atom:published>
    <dc:creator>The DTC Times</dc:creator>
  <content:encoded><![CDATA[
    <div class='beehiiv'><style>
  .bh__table, .bh__table_header, .bh__table_cell { border: 1px solid #C0C0C0; }
  .bh__table_cell { padding: 5px; background-color: #FFFFFF; }
  .bh__table_cell p { color: #2D2D2D; font-family: 'Helvetica',Arial,sans-serif !important; overflow-wrap: break-word; }
  .bh__table_header { padding: 5px; background-color:#F1F1F1; }
  .bh__table_header p { color: #2A2A2A; font-family:'Trebuchet MS','Lucida Grande',Tahoma,sans-serif !important; overflow-wrap: break-word; }
</style><div class='beehiiv__body'><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p><div class="section" style="background-color:transparent;border-color:#000000;border-radius:3px;border-style:solid;border-width:3px;margin:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;padding:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;"><h1 class="heading" style="text-align:left;"><b>Amazon Goes Local. Creators Go Premium. And Supply Chain Costs Are About to Explode.</b></h1><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Three massive shifts that changed the rules while you weren&#39;t looking</b></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Amazon just declared war on every local grocery store. Creators are ditching brand deals to become media empires. And freight costs are about to get a carbon tax that&#39;ll make your margins scream.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">This isn&#39;t just another week of platform updates and algorithm tweaks. Three massive infrastructure shifts just collided to rewrite the rules of how DTC brands compete, grow, and survive.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">While you were optimizing checkout flows, the entire playing field changed.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Today:</b></p><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Macro:</b> Amazon&#39;s $100B Grocery Gambit</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Trends:</b> Creators Break the Platform Ceiling</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Tactics:</b> Supply Chain Reality Check</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Quick Hits:</b> BFCM evolution, creator economy stats, and supply chain intelligence</p></li></ul><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Let&#39;s get into it.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p></div><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p><div class="section" style="background-color:transparent;border-color:#000000;border-radius:3px;border-style:solid;border-width:3px;margin:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;padding:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;"><h1 class="heading" style="text-align:left;"><b>The BFCM playbook just got flipped upside down.</b></h1><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><a class="link" href="https://www.klaviyo.com/bfcm/holiday-shopping-trends?utm_medium=trade&utm_source=chewonthis&utm_campaign=xPApKSUQEp" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Klaviyo</a> dropped their <a class="link" href="https://www.klaviyo.com/bfcm/holiday-shopping-trends?utm_medium=trade&utm_source=chewonthis&utm_campaign=xPApKSUQEp" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">2025 BFCM Forecast</a> based on 7,000+ global consumers, and the data will make you rethink your entire holiday strategy.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Here&#39;s what&#39;s actually happening:</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>🛍️BFCM isn’t a weekend, it’s an 8-month runway </b><br><br>Nearly 1 in every 4 ecommerce dollars drops in Nov–Dec. Peak season isn&#39;t disappearing, it’s getting more concentrated––and brands that wait until November are already too late.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">💸<b> Discount expectations are not one-size-fits-all</b></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Low-AOV buyers needed 33% off to convert during BFCM. High-AOV buyers? Just 15%. Know your customers, protect your margins.<br><br>📲<b> SMS = more orders, smaller discounts.</b></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">During BFCM, SMS outperformed email for both new and repeat buyers—with less discounting. Add SMS early and acquire more buyers, faster.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Winning brands will build personalized, omnichannel experiences that capture early shoppers in May and convert deal-hunters in December.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">📊<b> </b><a class="link" href="https://www.klaviyo.com/bfcm/holiday-shopping-trends?utm_medium=trade&utm_source=chewonthis&utm_campaign=xPApKSUQEp" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Get the full 2025 BFCM Forecast →</a> </p><div class="image"><a class="image__link" href="https://www.klaviyo.com/bfcm/holiday-shopping-trends?utm_medium=trade&utm_source=chewonthis&utm_campaign=xPApKSUQEp" rel="noopener" target="_blank"><img alt="" class="image__image" style="" src="https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/8e7221fb-82a4-4d93-ab77-b75c94c85571/unnamed.jpg?t=1755719017"/></a></div><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p></div><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p><div class="section" style="background-color:transparent;border-color:#000000;border-radius:3px;border-style:solid;border-width:3px;margin:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;padding:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;"><h2 class="heading" style="text-align:left;">📍<b> MACRO: Amazon&#39;s $100B Grocery Gambit</b></h2><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Amazon just announced same-day delivery for groceries in 1,000 cities, scaling to 2,300 by the end of 2025. With over $100 billion in gross sales of groceries and household essentials in 2024, they&#39;ve become the go-to destination for over 150 million Americans.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>But here&#39;s what this really means for DTC:</b> when the biggest commerce player sets consumer expectations for speed and convenience, every other brand has to follow or get left behind.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The market reaction was immediate and brutal. Walmart, Costco, Kroger, and Albertsons’stock prices all dropped by single-digit percentages when the announcement hit. Delivery players took it worse—<a class="link" href="https://www.cnbc.com/2025/08/13/amazon-same-day-delivery-meat-eggs-produce.html?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=three-infrastructure-shifts-that-just-rewrote-dtc-rules" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">DoorDash fell 3% and Instacart dropped 11%</a>. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Meanwhile, Amazon&#39;s stock gained 3.5%.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">This isn&#39;t just about groceries. Amazon is &quot;all but fist-fighting your local grocer,&quot; as <a class="link" href="https://www.morningbrew.com/stories/2025/08/14/amazon-fist-fighting-your-local-grocer?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=three-infrastructure-shifts-that-just-rewrote-dtc-rules" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Morning Brew</a> put it. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The company&#39;s massive logistics investment is training consumers to expect instant gratification across all categories. When customers can get fresh produce delivered in hours, waiting 5-7 days for a skincare order feels archaic.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The implications cascade through every DTC operation:</p><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Same-day delivery is becoming table stakes</b>, not a premium service</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Brands need to rethink inventory placement</b> and distribution strategies</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Amazon&#39;s convenience factor makes it harder</b> to build direct customer relationships</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Meeting these new speed expectations</b> requires infrastructure investment most brands haven&#39;t budgeted for</p></li></ul><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><a class="link" href="https://theweek.com/business/amazon-grocery-store-takeover-same-day-delivery?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=three-infrastructure-shifts-that-just-rewrote-dtc-rules" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Amazon already accounts for 20% of the grocery market, while Walmart leads with 30%.</a> Every brand that can&#39;t match their convenience becomes vulnerable to customer defection.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Takeaway:</b> Amazon&#39;s grocery expansion is setting new baseline expectations for all commerce. The question for DTC founders: Will you invest in infrastructure to compete with Amazon&#39;s convenience, or will you differentiate on factors where Amazon can&#39;t follow?</p></div><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p><div class="section" style="background-color:transparent;border-color:#000000;border-radius:3px;border-style:solid;border-width:3px;margin:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;padding:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;"><h2 class="heading" style="text-align:left;">🧠<b> TRENDS: Creators Break the Platform Ceiling</b></h2><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The creator economy just leveled up. But not in the way you think. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">While <a class="link" href="https://www.iab.com/insights/deighton-study-2025/?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=three-infrastructure-shifts-that-just-rewrote-dtc-rules" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">1.5 million</a> Americans now work full-time as digital creators (7.5x growth since 2020), they&#39;re actually doing <i>fewer</i> brand deals. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Creator participation is dropping from <a class="link" href="https://www.thecurrent.com/marketing-strategy-digital-creators-social-ctv-audio?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=three-infrastructure-shifts-that-just-rewrote-dtc-rules" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">94% to 78%</a> this year. It&#39;s not because brands suck. Creators found something way better: <b>They&#39;re becoming media companies.</b></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>📺 Premium streaming:</b> MrBeast launched a reality show on Prime Video. Tubi is licensing shows from half a dozen YouTubers. Netflix wants in, with their co-CEO saying &quot;we have the best monetization model on the planet for premium storytelling.&quot;</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>🎙️ Audio domination:</b> Podcasts are printing money. Americans will soon spend more time listening to podcasts than watching TikTok, driving creator podcast revenue up<a class="link" href="https://www.emarketer.com/content/creator-economy-trends-watch-2025?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=three-infrastructure-shifts-that-just-rewrote-dtc-rules" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow"> 23%</a> this year.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">📸<b> Programmatic takeover:</b> Top creator content is now being turned into full-blown programmatic media assets—running across display, connected TV, native ads, and retail media networks. Creators aren&#39;t just making content anymore. They&#39;re bringing built-in audiences and engagement data that makes programmatic buyers drool.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">For DTC brands, this changes everything. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">73% of you now prefer working with micro creators anyway (they&#39;re cheaper and more authentic). But the smart move isn&#39;t just buying sponsored posts—it&#39;s treating creators like content and distribution partners who can scale across every channel you use.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Takeaway:</b> The creator economy is going from &quot;marketing add-on&quot; to &quot;marketing pillar.&quot; Stop thinking sponsored posts. Start thinking strategic partnerships that create content assets you can use everywhere.</p></div><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p><div class="section" style="background-color:transparent;border-color:#000000;border-radius:3px;border-style:solid;border-width:3px;margin:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;padding:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;"><h2 class="heading" style="text-align:left;"><b>⚙️ TACTICS: Supply Chain Reality Check</b></h2><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Your shipping costs are about to explode. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Global freight transport is projected to hit <a class="link" href="https://www.shopify.com/enterprise/blog/optimizing-logistical-networks-how-to-develop-a-world-class-supply-chain?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=three-infrastructure-shifts-that-just-rewrote-dtc-rules" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">$96 billion by 2033</a>—that&#39;s 11.4% annual growth. Transport margins are already up from 4.3% to 4.9% of your product value. And in 2027, ocean shipping gets hit with a carbon tax of <a class="link" href="https://www.ft.com/content/d614416a-1ee2-44da-b6c4-fa4b064d6349?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=three-infrastructure-shifts-that-just-rewrote-dtc-rules" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">$100-$380 per tonne</a>.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Translation: your margins are under attack from every angle.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">But while Amazon builds trillion-dollar logistics networks, you can still compete. The secret is optimizing what you&#39;ve already got. Here&#39;s how:</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>1) Stop Burning Money on Empty Trucks</b></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><a class="link" href="https://www.flockfreight.com/the-need-for-speed-research-study-25?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=three-infrastructure-shifts-that-just-rewrote-dtc-rules" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">58% of freight moves half-empty</a>, wasting 34 feet of space per truck. Consolidate smaller shipments into fewer big ones. Switch from random LTL bookings to planned pallet consolidation. Use transportation management systems to kill empty miles.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>2) Steal Back the 4.9% Transport Margin</b></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Most brands use CIF (seller arranges freight) and pay hidden markups. Switch to FOB (you control freight) and capture that 4.9% margin yourself. Review every supplier contract. Take control of freight selection. Use that control to negotiate better rates.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>3) Exploit Trade Agreements Like a Pro</b></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (<a class="link" href="https://ustr.gov/trade-agreements/free-trade-agreements/united-states-mexico-canada-agreement?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=three-infrastructure-shifts-that-just-rewrote-dtc-rules" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">USMCA</a>) lets Canadian/Mexican shipments enter the US duty-free. Meanwhile, other goods face 10%+ tariffs rising to 20% in 2025. Canadian businesses get 99% duty-free access to 11 Indo-Pacific countries. The savings are massive if you know how to use them.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>4) Deploy Tech That Actually Saves Money</b></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Transportation management systems (TMS) and real-time visibility platforms sound boring, but they deliver immediate cost cuts:</p><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Land O&#39;Lakes cut dwell time 21% in three months</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">C&S Wholesale reduced check calls by 65%</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Smart detention management could free 2-4% of truck capacity industry-wide</p></li></ul><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The ROI is fast because these tools eliminate the dumb stuff—trucks sitting empty, drivers waiting around, and your team making endless &quot;where&#39;s my shipment?&quot; calls.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>5) Fix Your International Checkout</b></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><a class="link" href="https://newsroom.avalara.com/2024-07-09-Avalara-Survey-Finds-Hidden-Fees-Stifle-Cross-Border-Consumers?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=three-infrastructure-shifts-that-just-rewrote-dtc-rules" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">75% of shoppers</a> abandon when surprise customs charges appear. Display duties/taxes upfront. Use electronic pre-clearance. Lock in multi-year rates before the 2027 carbon tax hits.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Takeaway:</b> You can&#39;t out-infrastructure Amazon, but you can out-optimize them. Focus on consolidation, margin capture, trade advantages, and smart tech. The brands doing this now will have cost advantages that compound as freight gets more expensive.</p></div><h2 class="heading" style="text-align:left;" id="quick-hits"><b>⚡ QUICK HITS</b></h2><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><a class="link" href="https://www.cnbc.com/2025/08/14/ulta-and-target-end-deal-for-in-store-shops.html?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=three-infrastructure-shifts-that-just-rewrote-dtc-rules" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Target and Ulta End Shop-in-Shop Partnership After 4 Years</a> The retailers will end their partnership in August 2026, shuttering 600+ Ulta Beauty shops inside Target stores. Analysts cite Target&#39;s &quot;messy in-store operations,&quot; retail theft, and understaffing as key factors in the breakup.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><a class="link" href="https://www.retaildive.com/news/google-makes-bigger-payments-play-chrome-BNPL-buy-now-pay-later-Klarna/757988/?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=three-infrastructure-shifts-that-just-rewrote-dtc-rules" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Google Integrates BNPL into Chrome&#39;s Autofill Function</a> Chrome users can now save Klarna, Afterpay, Affirm, and Zip payment info to autofill during checkout. Google is also adding cross-border remittance services to Google Pay for payments to India, Brazil, Mexico, and the Philippines.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><a class="link" href="https://www.morningbrew.com/stories/2025/08/19/private-matters-soho-house-going-off-the-market?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=three-infrastructure-shifts-that-just-rewrote-dtc-rules" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Soho House Goes Private in $2.7B Deal</a> The exclusive members&#39; club operator agreed to be taken private by MCR Hotels at $9/share after struggling since its 2021 IPO. Stock had fallen 50% from its $14 debut price. Ashton Kutcher will join the board post-acquisition.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><a class="link" href="https://www.klaviyo.com/bfcm/holiday-shopping-trends?utm_medium=trade&utm_source=chewonthis&utm_campaign=xPApKSUQEp" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Klaviyo&#39;s 2025 BFCM Forecast Flips Holiday Playbook</a> Survey of 7,000 global consumers reveals the traditional 4-day shopping blitz is dead. Check out the full forecast for complete BFCM insights.</p><h1 class="heading" style="text-align:left;" id="heading-1"></h1><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p></div><div class='beehiiv__footer'><br class='beehiiv__footer__break'><hr class='beehiiv__footer__line'><a target="_blank" class="beehiiv__footer_link" style="text-align: center;" href="https://www.beehiiv.com/?utm_campaign=bff73b76-22a6-41d9-9774-ee855d2c3775&utm_medium=post_rss&utm_source=the_dtc_times">Powered by beehiiv</a></div></div>
  ]]></content:encoded>
</item>

      <item>
  <title>AI Discovery Wars: Meta vs. Amazon vs. Your Wallet</title>
  <description>The platforms are getting smarter. Your strategy needs to catch up.</description>
  <link>https://the.dtctimes.com/p/ai-discovery-wars-meta-vs-amazon-vs-your-wallet-5036</link>
  <guid isPermaLink="true">https://the.dtctimes.com/p/ai-discovery-wars-meta-vs-amazon-vs-your-wallet-5036</guid>
  <pubDate>Sun, 10 Aug 2025 14:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
  <atom:published>2025-08-10T14:00:00Z</atom:published>
    <dc:creator>The DTC Times</dc:creator>
  <content:encoded><![CDATA[
    <div class='beehiiv'><style>
  .bh__table, .bh__table_header, .bh__table_cell { border: 1px solid #C0C0C0; }
  .bh__table_cell { padding: 5px; background-color: #FFFFFF; }
  .bh__table_cell p { color: #2D2D2D; font-family: 'Helvetica',Arial,sans-serif !important; overflow-wrap: break-word; }
  .bh__table_header { padding: 5px; background-color:#F1F1F1; }
  .bh__table_header p { color: #2A2A2A; font-family:'Trebuchet MS','Lucida Grande',Tahoma,sans-serif !important; overflow-wrap: break-word; }
</style><div class='beehiiv__body'><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Three platform shifts hit this week that should make every DTC founder rethink their customer acquisition strategy.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Meta announced &quot;personal superintelligence.&quot; Amazon&#39;s earnings revealed their AI commerce acceleration. And the data on AI-powered search shows customers are ditching Google for ChatGPT.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The result? Discovery is fracturing. The old playbook of audience targeting and keyword optimization is breaking down fast.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Today:</b></p><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Macro:</b> Meta&#39;s AI vision and what individual-level targeting actually means</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Trends:</b> Amazon&#39;s Q2 squeeze—why your media mix is about to get more expensive</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Tactics:</b> GEO optimization tactics that work (because SEO isn&#39;t cutting it anymore)</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Quick Hits:</b> Who&#39;s adapting fastest and what they&#39;re doing differently</p></li></ul><div class="section" style="background-color:transparent;border-color:#C0C0C0;border-radius:3px;border-style:solid;border-width:3px;margin:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;padding:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;"><h2 class="heading" style="text-align:left;">🧠<b> Macro: Zuck&#39;s $14B Bet on Individual-Level Targeting</b></h2><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><a class="link" href="https://www.cnbc.com/2025/07/30/ai-meta-zuckerberg-superintelligence.html?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=ai-discovery-wars-meta-vs-amazon-vs-your-wallet" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Zuckerberg dropped a letter</a> on July 30 outlining Meta&#39;s vision for &quot;personal superintelligence.&quot;</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The gist: AI should empower individuals, not replace them. Meta invested $14.3 billion into Scale AI, hired its CEO as Chief AI Officer, and launched Meta Superintelligence Labs.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p><div class="image"><img alt="" class="image__image" style="" src="https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/10cbd510-881e-49bb-9756-4b2e1fca5f15/unnamed.png?t=1754662428"/></div><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p><h3 class="heading" style="text-align:left;"><b>What this actually means for your ads</b></h3><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Forget audience targeting. Meta is building toward individual-level personalization.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Instead of specific demographics like, &quot;women 25-45 interested in fitness,&quot; you&#39;ll be serving personalized creative to millions of unique profiles. The AI will know each person&#39;s context, preferences, and intent in real-time.</p><h3 class="heading" style="text-align:left;"><b>What to keep your eye on</b></h3><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>1) Creative requirements:</b> Your static ads won&#39;t cut it. Meta will favor dynamic, AI-adaptable assets that can personalize on the fly.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>2) Campaign structure:</b> Broad audiences will perform worse. The algorithm wants to optimize for individuals, not demographics.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>3) Platform favoritism:</b> <a class="link" href="https://medium.com/@devonmobile/meta-spent-14-billion-on-scale-ai-without-acquiring-it-heres-why-that-matters-a36a67580e2b?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=ai-discovery-wars-meta-vs-amazon-vs-your-wallet" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Meta&#39;s $14B+ investment </a>means they&#39;ll prioritize brands using their AI tools. Manual optimization is getting deprioritized.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Meta is already testing individual-level optimization in select accounts. Early adopters are seeing 15-30% better performance on the same budgets.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Your move:</b> Start testing Dynamic Creative with broader audiences. Let Meta&#39;s AI handle the personalization instead of trying to segment manually.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">🧠<b> Takeaway:</b> The shift from audience-based to individual-based targeting is happening now. Test Dynamic Creative and AI optimization tools immediately, or watch your CPMs climb while competitors using Meta&#39;s AI tools get preferential delivery.</p></div><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p><div class="section" style="background-color:transparent;border-color:#000000;border-radius:3px;border-style:solid;border-width:3px;margin:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;padding:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;"><h3 class="heading" style="text-align:left;"><a class="link" href="https://www.forwardbytatari.com/?utm_campaign=18707099-DTC%20Times%20-%20Forward&utm_source=dtc%20times&utm_medium=newsletter#speakers" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow"><b>Forward 2025</b></a><b>: The Only Conference Focused on TV + Proven Growth Channels</b></h3><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Customer acquisition is getting harder. Paid social is tougher to scale, TikTok’s future is uncertain, and Gen Z is skipping Google, finding brands through creators, communities, and AI.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">To drive real scale, brands are adding <b>new channels to the old playbook</b>: performance TV reimagined through Tatari, community‑driven discovery on Reddit, and performance growth powered by AppLovin. <br><br>These aren’t experiments; they’re proven strategies fueling top DTC brands today.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">On <b>September 4th at The Glasshouse in NYC</b>, <b>Forward 2025 </b>by <a class="link" href="https://www.forwardbytatari.com/?utm_campaign=18707099-DTC%20Times%20-%20Forward&utm_source=dtc%20times&utm_medium=newsletter#speakers" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Tatari</a> will share exactly how to apply these strategies to your marketing mix. <br><br>Hear from <b>Reddit CEO Steve Huffman</b>, <b>AppLovin CEO Adam Foroughi</b>, <b>poppi Co‑Founder Allison Ellsworth</b>, and leaders from Saatva, Ariat, and more – then cap the day with a rooftop happy hour overlooking NYC.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">👉 Seats are free but limited –  <a class="link" href="https://www.forwardbytatari.com/?utm_campaign=18707099-DTC%20Times%20-%20Forward&utm_source=dtc%20times&utm_medium=newsletter#speakers" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">RSVP to Forward 2025</a><b> </b>and learn how to scale smarter with channels built for today.</p><div class="image"><a class="image__link" href="https://www.forwardbytatari.com/?utm_campaign=18707099-DTC%20Times%20-%20Forward&utm_source=dtc%20times&utm_medium=newsletter#speakers" rel="noopener" target="_blank"><img alt="" class="image__image" style="" src="https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/272b68ef-e852-4b1d-a070-357fcb387cda/unnamed.png?t=1754662502"/></a></div></div><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p><div class="section" style="background-color:transparent;border-color:#C0C0C0;border-radius:3px;border-style:solid;border-width:3px;margin:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;padding:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;"><h2 class="heading" style="text-align:left;">📊<b> Trends: Amazon&#39;s AI Push Creates a Two-Front War for DTC</b></h2><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Amazon beat <a class="link" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/amazon-q2-earnings-updates-aws-prime-day-amzn-stock-price-2025-7?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=ai-discovery-wars-meta-vs-amazon-vs-your-wallet" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Q2 revenue</a> expectations ($167.7 billion) but stock fell<a class="link" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/amazon-q2-earnings-updates-aws-prime-day-amzn-stock-price-2025-7?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=ai-discovery-wars-meta-vs-amazon-vs-your-wallet#here-are-our-takeaways-from-the-call" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow"> 7%</a>. Investors were spooked by weaker profit guidance and AWS growth lagging competitors.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">But here&#39;s what matters for DTC: Amazon&#39;s advertising revenue jumped<a class="link" href="https://www.cnbc.com/2025/07/31/amazon-amzn-q2-earnings-report-2025.html?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=ai-discovery-wars-meta-vs-amazon-vs-your-wallet" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow"> 23% to $15.69 billion</a>. And CEO Andy Jassy highlighted that &quot;many millions of customers&quot; are using their AI shopping agents.</p><div class="image"><img alt="" class="image__image" style="" src="https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/a5870f89-b579-468f-98ef-f78c0934c0f4/unnamed.png?t=1754662688"/></div><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>The two-front war you&#39;re fighting</b></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Front #1 - Platform tax increases</b></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">That 23% ad revenue growth isn&#39;t organic. Amazon is forcing more brands to pay for visibility. Your organic reach on Amazon is shrinking, and paid is the only way to maintain market share.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Translation: Your Amazon ad spend is going up whether you like it or not.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Front #2 - Demand interception</b></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Millions of customers are now asking Amazon&#39;s AI what to buy before they ever see your Facebook ads or visit your website.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Amazon isn&#39;t just competing for ad dollars. They&#39;re capturing intent upstream, shrinking the pool of customers available through other channels.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">You need Amazon&#39;s platform to reach customers. But Amazon&#39;s AI tools reduce the customers you can reach elsewhere.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">So you pay Amazon more while having fewer alternatives. It&#39;s a dependency trap that tightens every quarter.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>What smart operators are doing:</b></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>💰 Budget reallocation:</b> Brands are shifting 20-30% more budget to Amazon, even at lower margins, just to maintain visibility.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">📈<b> First-party data urgency:</b> Direct customer relationships are becoming critical. Email lists, SMS subscribers, and loyalty programs matter more than ever.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>⚖️ Margin vs reach trade-offs:</b> Success on Amazon often means sacrificing brand control for distribution. More brands are accepting this reality.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">🧠<b> Takeaway</b>: Amazon&#39;s Q2 numbers show they systematically controlling more of the customer journey while charging you for access.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Prioritize building direct customer relationships through email, SMS, and loyalty programs before this squeeze gets tighter.</p></div><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p><div class="section" style="background-color:transparent;border-color:#C0C0C0;border-radius:3px;border-style:solid;border-width:3px;margin:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;padding:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;"><h2 class="heading" style="text-align:left;"><b>⚙️ Tactics: How to Win at GEO (Because SEO Isn&#39;t Enough)</b></h2><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Traffic from AI sources to retail websites rose <a class="link" href="https://www.retailbrew.com/stories/2025/07/21/move-over-seo-why-retailers-and-brands-need-to-start-thinking-about-geo?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=ai-discovery-wars-meta-vs-amazon-vs-your-wallet" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">1,200%</a> between July 2024 and February 2025.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Your customers aren&#39;t typing &quot;blue maxi dress&quot; anymore. They&#39;re asking ChatGPT: &quot;What should I wear to my son&#39;s wedding in July in California?&quot;</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Which means you need to optimize for AI like you would any other sales channel. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p><div class="image"><img alt="" class="image__image" style="" src="https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/e0d9717b-1df8-44b6-ab7a-b046d4e33bdc/unnamed.png?t=1754662704"/></div><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Here&#39;s how to get your products showing up when customers ask AI what to buy.</p><h3 class="heading" style="text-align:left;"><b>Your GEO playbook</b></h3><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>1. Rewrite for conversations, not keywords</b></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">❌ Bad: &quot;Premium cotton blend activewear for women&quot; </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">✅ Good: &quot;Perfect for yoga classes and weekend errands when you want to look put-together&quot;</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Think FAQ-style. Answer the questions customers actually ask, not the keywords you think they search.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>2. Know where AI engines pull data</b></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">ChatGPT sources: Yelp, Wikipedia, niche directories</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Google AI: Google Business Profiles</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Perplexity: Reddit discussions, publisher articles, blog posts</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Get your brand optimized across these platforms. If you&#39;re not there, you don&#39;t exist in AI search.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>3. Structure content for AI crawlers</b></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Write like you&#39;re answering a friend&#39;s question about what to buy.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Use clear headers and bullet points, include pricing and availability (especially for household goods) and add schema markup.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>4. Monitor Reddit like your life depends on it</b></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">AI engines cite Reddit heavily. Track what customers say about your brand there. One negative thread can tank your AI discoverability.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Traditional reputation management just became 10x more important.</p><h3 class="heading" style="text-align:left;"><b>Your next 30 days</b></h3><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Week 1: Audit your top 5 product descriptions. Are they answering questions or listing features?</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Week 2: Set up monitoring for brand mentions on Reddit and other AI-cited platforms.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Week 3: Rewrite one product page in FAQ style. Test how it performs in ChatGPT searches.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Week 4: Map your presence across Yelp, Google Business, and Wikipedia. Fill in the gaps.</p></div><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p><h1 class="heading" style="text-align:left;" id="quick-hits"><b>⚡ Quick Hits</b></h1><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><a class="link" href="https://www.cnbc.com/2025/08/06/shopify-shop-stock-earnings-q2-2025.html?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=ai-discovery-wars-meta-vs-amazon-vs-your-wallet" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Shopify Stock Soars 20% on Strong Q2, Tariff Fears Don&#39;t Materialize</a> Shopify beat Q2 expectations with 31% revenue growth to $2.68 billion, driven by strong e-commerce demand despite tariff concerns. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><a class="link" href="https://www.cnbc.com/2025/08/06/elf-beauty-elf-earnings-q1-2026.html?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=ai-discovery-wars-meta-vs-amazon-vs-your-wallet" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">e.l.f. Beauty Profits Fall 30% as China Tariffs Bite</a> The cosmetics company beat revenue expectations with 9% growth but saw net income drop 30% to $33.3 million due to 55% tariffs on Chinese imports. The company sources 75% of its products from China.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><a class="link" href="https://finance.yahoo.com/news/figma-indicated-112-above-ipo-152947660.html?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=ai-discovery-wars-meta-vs-amazon-vs-your-wallet" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Figma Goes Public at $33/Share, Stock Triples on First Day </a>The design software company priced its IPO at $33 per share, raising $1.2 billion, then surged 250% to close at $115.50 on its NYSE debut. The company is now valued at over $56 billion. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><a class="link" href="https://variety.com/2025/digital/news/espn-streaming-service-launch-date-pricing-1236480388/?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=ai-discovery-wars-meta-vs-amazon-vs-your-wallet" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">ESPN&#39;s Standalone Streaming Service Launches Aug 21</a><b> </b>ESPN&#39;s new direct-to-consumer service will include all ESPN networks plus 47,000 live events annually. The timing coincides with college football and NFL seasons starting.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><a class="link" href="https://openai.com/index/introducing-gpt-5/?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=ai-discovery-wars-meta-vs-amazon-vs-your-wallet" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">OpenAI Launches GPT-5 with PhD-Level Intelligence</a> The new model is 45% less likely to hallucinate than GPT-4o and excels at coding, math, and reasoning. It&#39;s available to all ChatGPT users, including free users now. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p></div><div class='beehiiv__footer'><br class='beehiiv__footer__break'><hr class='beehiiv__footer__line'><a target="_blank" class="beehiiv__footer_link" style="text-align: center;" href="https://www.beehiiv.com/?utm_campaign=979a1de8-8711-4449-8ba1-acf151e52822&utm_medium=post_rss&utm_source=the_dtc_times">Powered by beehiiv</a></div></div>
  ]]></content:encoded>
</item>

      <item>
  <title>The Haus Report That’s Making DTC Operators Rethink Their Ad Budgets</title>
  <description>Budget, measurement, and structure errors killing growth</description>
  <link>https://the.dtctimes.com/p/the-haus-report-that-s-making-dtc-operators-rethink-their-ad-budgets-ffeb</link>
  <guid isPermaLink="true">https://the.dtctimes.com/p/the-haus-report-that-s-making-dtc-operators-rethink-their-ad-budgets-ffeb</guid>
  <pubDate>Sun, 03 Aug 2025 14:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
  <atom:published>2025-08-03T14:00:00Z</atom:published>
    <dc:creator>The DTC Times</dc:creator>
  <content:encoded><![CDATA[
    <div class='beehiiv'><style>
  .bh__table, .bh__table_header, .bh__table_cell { border: 1px solid #C0C0C0; }
  .bh__table_cell { padding: 5px; background-color: #FFFFFF; }
  .bh__table_cell p { color: #2D2D2D; font-family: 'Helvetica',Arial,sans-serif !important; overflow-wrap: break-word; }
  .bh__table_header { padding: 5px; background-color:#F1F1F1; }
  .bh__table_header p { color: #2A2A2A; font-family:'Trebuchet MS','Lucida Grande',Tahoma,sans-serif !important; overflow-wrap: break-word; }
</style><div class='beehiiv__body'><h1 class="heading" style="text-align:left;" id="why-your-best-meta-campaigns-are-ge"><b>Why Your Best Meta Campaigns Are Getting Killed</b></h1><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><i><b>What 640 incrementality tests reveal about the massive strategic error costing DTC brands millions</b></i></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Most weeks, we dive into tactical optimizations and platform updates. But this week, we&#39;re stepping back to deep dive into research that fundamentally challenges how most DTC brands approach Meta advertising.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><a class="link" href="https://www.haus.io/blog/the-meta-report-lessons-from-640-haus-incrementality-experiments?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=the-haus-report-that-s-making-dtc-operators-rethink-their-ad-budgets" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Haus</a> just dropped findings from 640 incrementality tests across brands burning millions on Meta. The results expose three critical strategic errors that explain why rising CACs and stagnant growth plague even &quot;successful&quot; advertisers.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Today:</b></p><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The 70/30 budget flip backed by real incrementality data</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Why post-treatment effects reveal your true winners</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">How campaign structure determines long-term business impact</p></li></ul><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Let’s dive in 👇</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p><blockquote align="center" class="twitter-tweet"><a href="https://twitter.com/hausanalytics/status/1949904891498918381?s=46&utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=the-haus-report-that-s-making-dtc-operators-rethink-their-ad-budgets"><p> Twitter tweet </p></a></blockquote><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p><div class="section" style="background-color:transparent;border-color:#C0C0C0;border-radius:3px;border-style:solid;border-width:3px;margin:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;padding:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;"><h2 class="heading" style="text-align:left;"><b>The 70/30 budget allocation that actually drives growth</b></h2><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Brands allocate only 7% of daily budget to upper-funnel campaigns despite them driving 3x better incrementality than lower-funnel.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The Haus study measured true incrementality across 640 campaign tests. Upper-funnel consistently demolished lower-funnel across every metric that actually matters for your business.</p><h3 class="heading" style="text-align:left;"><b>What Actually Drives Growth</b></h3><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Here&#39;s what the incrementality data revealed:</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Non-DTC Lift:</b> 63% (upper-funnel) vs 16% (lower-funnel) </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>New Customer %:</b> 21% (upper-funnel) vs 16% (lower-funnel) </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Post-Treatment Window Lift:</b> 45% (upper-funnel) vs 9% (lower-funnel)</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Your reach campaigns drive awareness that converts through direct traffic, email, organic search. Meta can&#39;t track any of this, so these campaigns look like money pits while actually generating your highest-value customers.</p><h3 class="heading" style="text-align:left;"><b>The New Framework</b></h3><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Based on the <a class="link" href="https://www.haus.io/blog/the-meta-report-lessons-from-640-haus-incrementality-experiments?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=the-haus-report-that-s-making-dtc-operators-rethink-their-ad-budgets" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">report</a>, here’s the optimal allocation:</p><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>70% budget:</b> Upper/mid-funnel (reach, video views, brand awareness)</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>30% budget:</b> Lower-funnel (conversion campaigns, retargeting)</p></li></ul><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Start conservative. Move 15-20% of conversion spend to reach and video view campaigns. Set minimum 30-day testing periods—upper-funnel needs time to demonstrate incrementality.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Resist the urge to optimize daily based on platform metrics. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Your reach campaigns will look terrible while building the sustainable growth that conversion campaigns steal credit for later.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">While we&#39;re talking strategy, here&#39;s an upcoming session you won’t want to miss…</p></div><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p><div class="section" style="background-color:transparent;border-color:#000000;border-radius:3px;border-style:solid;border-width:3px;margin:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;padding:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;"><h1 class="heading" style="text-align:left;">Live Workshop: The AOV Growth System Behind 500K+ Customers</h1><div class="image"><a class="image__link" href="https://lu.ma/cbup5qhd?_bhlid=b704244fdbac217fa230d86da93c434afaace579&utm_campaign=the-1-7m-aov-system-you-haven-t-tried-yet&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_source=www.subscribe.chewonthis.io" rel="noopener" target="_blank"><img alt="" class="image__image" style="" src="https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/a6e23aff-c53c-4c88-a9bb-a584ca3e777e/1920x1080__16_9_.png?t=1753977205"/></a></div><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Acquisition costs are up, margins are tighter, and brands that can&#39;t grow AOV profitably are getting squeezed out. The operators who&#39;ve cracked this are scaling while others stagnate.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><a class="link" href="https://www.linkedin.com/in/ronak06/?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=the-haus-report-that-s-making-dtc-operators-rethink-their-ad-budgets" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Ron Shah</a> (<a class="link" href="https://myobvi.com?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=the-haus-report-that-s-making-dtc-operators-rethink-their-ad-budgets" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Obvi</a> CEO) and <a class="link" href="https://www.linkedin.com/in/martinslasmanis/?utm_source=www.subscribe.chewonthis.io&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=the-1-7m-aov-system-you-haven-t-tried-yet&_bhlid=85bb9fedb08cafe783e936b2f709c917af094237" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Martins Lasmanis</a> (<a class="link" href="https://supliful.com/?utm_source=www.subscribe.chewonthis.io&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=the-1-7m-aov-system-you-haven-t-tried-yet&_bhlid=1007c4c9a8b6543f7fa556dfe4ceb403564e87af" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Supliful</a> CEO) are going live on <b>August 12th</b> to break down the AOV strategies behind sustainable revenue growth. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">This is a tactical deep-dive into the systems separating scaling brands from those hitting plateau.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>What you&#39;ll learn:</b></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">✅ The plug-and-play framework that added $1.7M in 90 days for one brand</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">✅ Why most upsell strategies kill conversion rates and what drives success instead</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">✅ How to launch new product offers without inventory, COGS, or logistics risk</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">✅ The psychology behind customer &quot;yes&quot; vs &quot;no&quot; decisions at checkout</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Ron&#39;s scaling Obvi past 500K customers using these exact systems. Martins built the infrastructure letting brands launch new products without supply chain headaches.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><a class="link" href="https://lu.ma/cbup5qhd?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=the-haus-report-that-s-making-dtc-operators-rethink-their-ad-budgets" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">→</a><a class="link" href="https://lu.ma/cbup5qhd?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=the-haus-report-that-s-making-dtc-operators-rethink-their-ad-budgets" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow"> Register for the live session </a><br><br>Now back to the Meta deep dive…</p></div><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p><div class="section" style="background-color:transparent;border-color:#C0C0C0;border-radius:3px;border-style:solid;border-width:3px;margin:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;padding:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;"><h2 class="heading" style="text-align:left;"><b>Post-Treatment Effects Expose Your Real Winners</b></h2><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The most revealing insight from the study: what happens after campaigns stop running.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Upper-funnel campaigns showed 45% post-treatment window lift vs just 9% for lower-funnel. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">This exposes the fundamental difference between campaigns that build lasting business value and those that simply harvest existing demand.</p><h3 class="heading" style="text-align:left;"><b>The Compound Effect</b></h3><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Post-treatment lift measures conversions that continue flowing after you stop paying for ads. It&#39;s the closest thing to measuring actual brand building vs demand mining.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Upper-funnel campaigns create lasting awareness that drives:</p><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Direct website visits weeks after ad exposure</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Branded search queries triggered by your content</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Word-of-mouth that starts with your reach campaigns</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Email conversions from subscribers who discovered you through brand awareness</p></li></ul><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Lower-funnel campaigns show minimal post-treatment effects because they target users already in buying mode. Once you stop paying, the conversions stop flowing.</p><h3 class="heading" style="text-align:left;"><b>The Attribution Blindness</b></h3><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Meta has no way to claim credit for post-treatment conversions. Your most profitable campaigns look like disasters in reporting while building sustainable competitive advantages.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">This explains why brands optimizing for platform ROAS often see declining efficiency over time—they&#39;re systematically defunding the campaigns that build long-term growth in favor of those that steal credit from organic channels.</p><h3 class="heading" style="text-align:left;"><b>The Measurement Framework</b></h3><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Track business metrics independently of platform attribution:</p><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Direct traffic volume and conversion rates</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Branded search query growth</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Email subscriber acquisition and engagement</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Customer lifetime value by acquisition source</p></li></ul><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Set up conversion lift studies for campaigns spending $2,000+ over 14-day periods. Compare platform attribution to actual incrementality before making budget decisions.</p></div><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p><div class="section" style="background-color:transparent;border-color:#C0C0C0;border-radius:3px;border-style:solid;border-width:3px;margin:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;padding:3.0px 3.0px 3.0px 3.0px;"><h2 class="heading" style="text-align:left;"><b>Campaign Structure That Builds Long-Term Value</b></h2><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Campaign structure determines whether you&#39;re building sustainable growth or mining existing demand.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Different funnel levels serve distinct strategic purposes, and the performance data shows why integrated approaches outperform single-objective optimization.</p><h3 class="heading" style="text-align:left;"><b>Upper-Funnel: The Growth Engine</b></h3><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Strategic purpose:</b> Build total addressable market and lasting brand awareness </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Performance characteristics:</b> High incrementality, low platform attribution, strong post-treatment effects </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Optimal structure:</b></p><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Reach and video view objectives</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Broad targeting with minimal restrictions</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Brand-focused creative emphasizing value proposition</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">14+ day learning periods with incrementality measurement</p></li></ul><h3 class="heading" style="text-align:left;"><b>Mid-Funnel: The Efficiency Bridge</b></h3><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The study found mid-funnel campaigns achieve <b>-14% DTC iROAS vs -22% for upper-funnel</b>, while maintaining<b> -85% daily spend efficiency vs -93% for upper-funnel</b>.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Strategic purpose:</b> Balance platform optimization with incrementality benefits </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Performance characteristics:</b> Better platform metrics than upper-funnel, incrementality advantages over lower-funnel </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Optimal structure:</b></p><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Traffic and engagement objectives with conversion tracking</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Interest-based targeting with broader parameters</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Educational content driving product consideration</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Weekly performance reviews, monthly budget adjustments</p></li></ul><h3 class="heading" style="text-align:left;"><b>Lower-Funnel: The Conversion Machine</b></h3><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Strategic purpose:</b> Convert existing demand and high-intent audiences </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Performance characteristics:</b> Strong platform attribution, limited incrementality, minimal post-treatment effects </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Optimal structure:</b></p><ul><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Conversion and catalog sales objectives</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Retargeting, lookalikes, high-intent segments</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Product-focused creative with clear calls-to-action</p></li><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Daily optimization within broader strategic framework</p></li></ul><h3 class="heading" style="text-align:left;"><b>The Integration Strategy</b></h3><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Run all three levels simultaneously rather than sequential funnel approaches. The study shows brands achieve optimal incrementality through integrated strategies where upper-funnel builds awareness that lower-funnel converts.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">Track cross-campaign influence: how upper-funnel exposure affects lower-funnel conversion rates, customer acquisition costs, and lifetime value metrics.</p><div class="image"><img alt="" class="image__image" style="" src="https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/b0643ae8-77a1-45fe-bee4-ac68c2da0025/unnamed.png?t=1753977447"/></div><hr class="content_break"><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">These insights come from <a class="link" href="https://www.haus.io/blog/the-meta-report-lessons-from-640-haus-incrementality-experiments?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=the-haus-report-that-s-making-dtc-operators-rethink-their-ad-budgets" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Haus&#39;s comprehensive analysis of 640 incrementality tests </a>measuring actual business impact rather than platform attribution. The study provides detailed methodology for measuring true campaign incrementality and restructuring strategies around real growth drivers.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">For operators ready to move beyond dashboard metrics to sustainable business building, this research exposes the strategic shifts that separate growing brands from those stuck in CAC spirals.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><a class="link" href="https://www.haus.io/blog/the-meta-report-lessons-from-640-haus-incrementality-experiments?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=the-haus-report-that-s-making-dtc-operators-rethink-their-ad-budgets" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Read the full Haus Meta Report </a></p></div><h1 class="heading" style="text-align:left;" id="quick-hits"><b>Quick Hits</b></h1><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><a class="link" href="https://www.haus.io/blog/the-meta-report-lessons-from-640-haus-incrementality-experiments?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=the-haus-report-that-s-making-dtc-operators-rethink-their-ad-budgets" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Haus&#39;s full Meta Report breaks down the incrementality testing methodology.</a> Complete frameworks for setting up conversion lift studies and measuring what actually drives growth instead of platform theater.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><a class="link" href="https://www.businessoffashion.com/news/direct-to-consumer/quince-200-million-funding-round-double-value-viral/?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=the-haus-report-that-s-making-dtc-operators-rethink-their-ad-budgets" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Quince just raised $200M at a $2B valuation. </a>The DTC basics brand doubled its value in 18 months by cracking viral social growth and supply chain economics. International expansion next.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><a class="link" href="https://www.ainvest.com/news/unlocking-commerce-hidden-gem-global-ai-powered-returns-play-redefine-dtc-logistics-2507/?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=the-haus-report-that-s-making-dtc-operators-rethink-their-ad-budgets" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">New AI platform promises to fix DTC&#39;s returns nightmare</a><b>.</b> Predictive analytics and automated workflows targeting the return costs that kill unit economics for most brands.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><a class="link" href="https://www.sportsbusinessjournal.com/Articles/2025/07/28/details-emerging-on-potential-nfl-media-espn-deal-but-what-will-actually-bring-in-an-audience-for-new-dtc-product/?utm_source=the.dtctimes.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=the-haus-report-that-s-making-dtc-operators-rethink-their-ad-budgets" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">NFL testing DTC streaming waters with ESPN partnership.</a> Premium sports content outside cable bundles could signal the next wave of DTC media plays.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p></div><div class='beehiiv__footer'><br class='beehiiv__footer__break'><hr class='beehiiv__footer__line'><a target="_blank" class="beehiiv__footer_link" style="text-align: center;" href="https://www.beehiiv.com/?utm_campaign=db062a4e-882a-4143-8087-b18195d1617b&utm_medium=post_rss&utm_source=the_dtc_times">Powered by beehiiv</a></div></div>
  ]]></content:encoded>
</item>

  </channel>
</rss>
