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    <title>ElonMoney Research</title>
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    <pubDate>Wed, 07 Aug 2024 18:27:30 +0000</pubDate>
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      <item>
  <title>Why is THORChain considered a Uniswap killer? </title>
  <description></description>
  <link>https://elonmoney.biz/p/thorchain-considered-uniswap-killer</link>
  <guid isPermaLink="true">https://elonmoney.biz/p/thorchain-considered-uniswap-killer</guid>
  <pubDate>Wed, 07 Aug 2024 18:27:30 +0000</pubDate>
  <atom:published>2024-08-07T18:27:30Z</atom:published>
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    <div class='beehiiv'><style>
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</style><div class='beehiiv__body'><div class="image"><img alt="" class="image__image" style="" src="https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/404888ed-4b71-4655-ade6-2316cc0dea0a/1500x500.jpeg?t=1723055179"/></div><h4 class="heading" style="text-align:left;" id="i-want-to-start-by-mentioning-that-">I want to start by mentioning that no one initially believed in @THORChain. The owner of THORChain, @jpthor, personally reached out to the founder of @Uniswap and told him about his project. The response was that his project had no future and was labeled as a scam...</h4><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">In this article, I have gathered all the essential information about the THORChain protocol. After reading it, you will understand why THORChain has surpassed Uniswap in many ways, as well as the reasons why the $RUNE token is expected to have a market cap &gt;$10b in the coming years.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>1. What is THORChain?</b></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">THORChain is a DEX and automated market maker designed to facilitate cross-chain swaps of native assets. Unlike traditional exchanges, THORChain allows users to trade assets across different blockchains without the need for wrapped tokens or intermediaries. The platform uses its native token, $RUNE, to secure the network and provide liquidity in its pools, which are always paired with $RUNE. This design ensures that the value of $RUNE is intrinsically linked to the overall liquidity and activity on the network. THORChain&#39;s unique approach enables non-custodial, permissionless trading, making it a pivotal infrastructure in the DeFi ecosystem.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>2. THORChain stands out from other DEXs due to several unique features and design principles:</b></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">- Cross-Chain Swaps: Unlike most DEXs that operate within a single blockchain ecosystem, THORChain facilitates cross-chain swaps. This means users can trade assets across different blockchains directly, such as swapping Bitcoin for Ethereum without needing wrapped tokens or intermediaries. This capability is a significant differentiator, as it allows for more seamless and decentralized trading of native assets across various blockchains.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">- Native Asset Liquidity Pools: THORChain uses native assets in its liquidity pools rather than wrapped or synthetic versions. Each liquidity pool on THORChain is paired with $RUNE, the native token of the network. This design ensures that all trades are routed through $RUNE, which helps in maintaining liquidity and price stability across the network.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">- Economic Security Model: The security of THORChain is directly tied to the value of RUNE. Validators must bond RUNE to participate in the network, and the amount of RUNE bonded must be at least twice the value of the assets in the liquidity pools. This ensures that validators have a significant economic stake in the network&#39;s security and integrity.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">- No Wrapped Tokens: THORChain does not rely on wrapped tokens, which are commonly used in other cross-chain solutions. Instead, it uses a unique mechanism to handle native assets directly, reducing the risks associated with wrapped tokens, such as custody risks and additional layers of complexity.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">- Decentralized and Non-Custodial: THORChain is designed to be fully decentralized and non-custodial. Users retain control of their assets throughout the trading process, and the protocol itself does not hold or manage user funds. This is in contrast to some other DEXs that may have centralized components or require users to relinquish control of their assets temporarily.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">- Streaming Swaps and Savers: THORChain has introduced innovative features like streaming swaps, which allow for more efficient and flexible trading, and savers, which provide users with a way to earn yield on their assets without impermanent loss. These features enhance the user experience and provide additional utility beyond simple asset swaps.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">- Strong Ecosystem and Community Support: The THORChain ecosystem includes a variety of projects and collaborations, such as the partnership with Levana Perps (@Levana_protocol) to build a leading perpetual DEX on THORChain. This collaboration leverages THORChain&#39;s infrastructure and Levana&#39;s expertise in perpetual swaps, which is expected to drive more demand for RUNE and enhance the ecosystem&#39;s overall value.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">- Innovative Features and Developments: THORChain continues to innovate with features like Trade Assets, which replicate the CEX experience on-chain. This feature allows users to mint trade assets with no slippage, trade with fewer fees, and redeem back to L1, providing a smooth and efficient trading experience.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">- Economic Incentives and Tokenomics: The $RUNE tokenomics are designed to drive value into the protocol. For example, the burning mechanism associated with various transactions, such as liquidations involving $TOR, contributes to a steady stream of RUNE burning, enhancing the value proposition for THORChain&#39;s native token. Additionally, the introduction of RUNEPool aims to lock more RUNE in the network, potentially leading to better price stability and higher TVL.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">- Security and Decentralization: THORChain&#39;s security model relies on a constantly changing validator set of around 100 nodes, which anyone can join. This model provides economic guarantees not to steal funds and offers real-time proof-of-solvency accessible on-chain 24/7. This robust security framework enhances trust and reliability in the network.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">- Future Roadmap and Potential: The future roadmap for THORChain includes significant upgrades and new features, such as the integration of CosmWasm and the addition of order books and limit orders. These developments are expected to further enhance the platform&#39;s capabilities and attract more users and liquidity.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>3. Advantages of THORChain Over Uniswap</b></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">- Cross-Chain Swaps: THORChain enables native cross-chain swaps, allowing users to trade assets across different blockchains without needing wrapped tokens or intermediaries. This is a significant advantage over Uniswap, which primarily operates within the Ethereum ecosystem and requires wrapped tokens for cross-chain interactions.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">- Native Asset Support: THORChain supports native assets directly, including Bitcoin, Ethereum, and various stablecoins, enabling users to swap these assets without relying on wrapped versions. This feature enhances security and reduces the complexity associated with wrapped tokens.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">- Economic Model: THORChain&#39;s economic model is heavily reliant on the RUNE token, which is used to secure the network, provide liquidity, and facilitate swaps. The value of RUNE is directly tied to the network&#39;s security and liquidity, with a hard cap of 500 million tokens.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">- Decentralized Liquidity Protocol: THORChain operates as a decentralized liquidity protocol with a focus on non-custodial, cross-chain liquidity. This approach contrasts with Uniswap&#39;s focus on Ethereum-based liquidity pools, making THORChain more versatile for users looking to trade assets across multiple blockchains.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">- Streaming Swaps: THORChain offers streaming swaps, which allow users to execute large trades over a period of time to minimize slippage and market impact. This feature is particularly beneficial for high-volume traders and is not available on Uniswap.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">- Liquidity Incentives: THORChain provides liquidity incentives through its RUNE token, which is used to incentivize liquidity providers and ensure deep liquidity across its pools. This mechanism helps maintain high liquidity levels and attract more participants to the network.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p></div><div class='beehiiv__footer'><br class='beehiiv__footer__break'><hr class='beehiiv__footer__line'><a target="_blank" class="beehiiv__footer_link" style="text-align: center;" href="https://www.beehiiv.com/?utm_campaign=c0e34c5c-ada7-49c7-91f7-3015fbe7ce51&utm_medium=post_rss&utm_source=elonmoney_research">Powered by beehiiv</a></div></div>
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      <item>
  <title>What to expect from the crypto market in the near future and what to watch for?</title>
  <description></description>
  <link>https://elonmoney.biz/p/expect-crypto-market-near-future-watch</link>
  <guid isPermaLink="true">https://elonmoney.biz/p/expect-crypto-market-near-future-watch</guid>
  <pubDate>Tue, 06 Aug 2024 12:55:16 +0000</pubDate>
  <atom:published>2024-08-06T12:55:16Z</atom:published>
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</style><div class='beehiiv__body'><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><span style="color:#000000;font-family:TwitterChirp, -apple-system, system-ui, Segoe UI, Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:17px;">The crypto market has recently experienced significant volatility, with </span><span style="color:#000000;font-family:TwitterChirp, -apple-system, system-ui, Segoe UI, Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:17px;"><a class="link" href="https://x.com/search?q=%24BTC&src=cashtag_click&utm_source=elonmoney.biz&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=what-to-expect-from-the-crypto-market-in-the-near-future-and-what-to-watch-for" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" style="color: rgb(29, 155, 240)">$BTC</a></span><span style="color:#000000;font-family:TwitterChirp, -apple-system, system-ui, Segoe UI, Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:17px;"> prices fluctuating dramatically. For instance, Bitcoin briefly crashed below $50k on August 5, 2024, before rebounding to around $55k. This volatility is partly attributed to macroeconomic factors, such as the unwinding of the Yen carry trade and concerns about a potential recession in the U.S.. </span></p><ol start="1"><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Institutional Involvement and ETF Activity:</b> Institutional interest in Bitcoin remains strong despite the market turbulence. Major financial institutions like BlackRock, Fidelity, and Grayscale have not sold their Bitcoin holdings, indicating a long-term bullish outlook. Additionally, Bitcoin ETFs have seen substantial trading volumes, with BlackRock&#39;s spot Bitcoin ETF surpassing $1.55 billion in trading volume within the first hour of trading on August 5, 2024. </p></li></ol><ol start="2"><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Regulatory and Political Factors:</b> The upcoming U.S. presidential election is expected to influence the crypto market significantly. Analysts suggest that Bitcoin remains a &quot;Trump trade,&quot; with the market favoring pro-crypto candidates. This political backdrop could lead to increased volatility and trading activity as the election approaches. </p></li></ol><ol start="3"><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Technical Indicators and Market Analysis:</b> Technical analysts are divided on Bitcoin&#39;s near-term prospects. Some predict that Bitcoin could experience another two months of downside pressure before a potential breakout, while others highlight the formation of bullish patterns like the &quot;bull flag&quot; on the monthly chart. </p></li></ol><ol start="4"><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Broader Market Trends:</b> The broader crypto market is also showing signs of segmentation, with Bitcoin and Ethereum increasingly integrated into institutional portfolios. This trend is expected to continue, with more financial advisors recommending Bitcoin ETFs to their clients. However, the market is also facing headwinds from macroeconomic uncertainties, which could impact overall sentiment and investment flows. </p></li></ol><ol start="5"><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Long-Term Bullish Outlook: </b>Despite the short-term challenges, some traders remain bullish on Bitcoin&#39;s long-term prospects. They believe that the current market conditions present a buying opportunity, especially given the historical performance of Bitcoin following significant corrections. </p></li></ol><ol start="6"><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Eugene Ng Ah Sio&#39;s opinion on this matter:</b> The recent sentiment of <a class="link" href="https://x.com/0xENAS?utm_source=elonmoney.biz&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=what-to-expect-from-the-crypto-market-in-the-near-future-and-what-to-watch-for" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" style="color: rgb(29, 155, 240)">@0xENAS</a> <span style="color:#000000;font-family:TwitterChirp, -apple-system, system-ui, Segoe UI, Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:17px;">towards BTC is notably bearish. In a tweet dated August 5, 2024, </span></p></li></ol><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><a class="link" href="https://x.com/0xENAS?utm_source=elonmoney.biz&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=what-to-expect-from-the-crypto-market-in-the-near-future-and-what-to-watch-for" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" style="color: rgb(29, 155, 240)">@0xENAS</a> <span style="color:#000000;font-family:TwitterChirp, -apple-system, system-ui, Segoe UI, Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:17px;">expressed concerns about the current market structure for major cryptocurrencies, describing it as &quot;either broken or extremely bleak.&quot; He highlighted the significant uncertainty and weakness in the market, which has led him to avoid aggressive long positions. Specifically, he mentioned that he had risk limits in place that triggered the unwinding of his positions after Bitcoin fell below $60k, and he does not plan to repurchase altcoins in the foreseeable future. </span></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><a class="link" href="https://x.com/0xENAS?utm_source=elonmoney.biz&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=what-to-expect-from-the-crypto-market-in-the-near-future-and-what-to-watch-for" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" style="color: rgb(29, 155, 240)">@0xENAS</a> <span style="color:#000000;font-family:TwitterChirp, -apple-system, system-ui, Segoe UI, Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:17px;">also pointed out several macroeconomic factors contributing to his bearish outlook, including the unwinding of the Yen carry trade, election probabilities favoring Kamala Harris, and the potential for a deep recession. He emphasized the importance of capital preservation in such uncertain conditions and noted that despite recent drawdowns, there is still a notable amount of complacency in the market. Overall, his sentiment suggests caution and a focus on risk management rather than optimism about a quick market recovery. </span></p><div class="image"><img alt="" class="image__image" style="" src="https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/5c8d6a78-7cd8-447e-9696-77507e8b92e7/Screenshot_2024-08-06_at_14.41.13.png?t=1722948906"/></div><ol start="7"><li><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><span style="color:#000000;font-family:TwitterChirp, -apple-system, system-ui, Segoe UI, Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:17px;">Another experienced trader, </span><a class="link" href="https://x.com/JoshuaDeuk?utm_source=elonmoney.biz&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=what-to-expect-from-the-crypto-market-in-the-near-future-and-what-to-watch-for" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" style="color: rgb(29, 155, 240)">@JoshuaDeuk</a><span style="color:#000000;font-family:TwitterChirp, -apple-system, system-ui, Segoe UI, Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:17px;">, believes that we could drop down to $45k unless macro conditions change and we start going back up. </span></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p></li></ol><div class="image"><img alt="" class="image__image" style="" src="https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/7c52fac9-2003-4173-93cf-0b3b49544b63/Screenshot_2024-08-06_at_14.40.52.png?t=1722948896"/></div></div><div class='beehiiv__footer'><br class='beehiiv__footer__break'><hr class='beehiiv__footer__line'><a target="_blank" class="beehiiv__footer_link" style="text-align: center;" href="https://www.beehiiv.com/?utm_campaign=c60d6ea7-426b-4efa-8e1f-9881efca8ad4&utm_medium=post_rss&utm_source=elonmoney_research">Powered by beehiiv</a></div></div>
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  <title>In-Depth Alpha #August, 6</title>
  <description></description>
  <link>https://elonmoney.biz/p/indepth-alpha-august-6</link>
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  <pubDate>Tue, 06 Aug 2024 07:41:37 +0000</pubDate>
  <atom:published>2024-08-06T07:41:37Z</atom:published>
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</style><div class='beehiiv__body'><div class="image"><img alt="" class="image__image" style="" src="https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/7b00a134-c5ca-485d-a9fa-3a5c5fcffd22/IN-DEPTH_ALPHA.png?t=1722929749"/></div><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><span style="font-size:1.5rem;">Gm chads ☕️ Today&#39;s In-depth Alpha 👇</span></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">📰<span style="font-size:1.5rem;"><b> Latest news:</b></span></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Bitcoin Price Surge:</b> Bitcoin surged above $56,000, marking its highest 24-hour price increase since May, driven by a broader market recovery in Asia. This recovery followed a significant drop where $BTC fell below $50,000. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Market Recovery:</b> The broader crypto market saw a recovery, with $SOL leading the charge. This comes after a period of intense selling pressure and market turmoil. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Institutional Activity:</b> Despite the market crash, major institutional players like BlackRock, Fidelity, Grayscale, and MicroStrategy have not sold their Bitcoin holdings, indicating strong institutional confidence in BTC. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>ETF Trading Volumes: </b>Bitcoin ETFs saw substantial trading volumes, with BlackRock&#39;s spot Bitcoin ETF surpassing $2 billion in trading volume within the first hour of trading. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Yen-Denominated Price Drop:</b> Bitcoin&#39;s yen-denominated price on the Tokyo-based bitFlyer exchange dropped nearly 15%, significantly more than its dollar-denominated price, due to the unwinding of yen carry trades. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Liquidations and Outflows:</b> The market saw over $1 billion in liquidations, with significant outflows from Bitcoin ETFs, including $168 million in net outflows from U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Market Sentiment: </b>Analysts are divided on the short-term outlook for Bitcoin, with some predicting further downside pressure potentially extending to the $42,000 mark, while others see potential for a corrective rebound. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Global Economic Impact:</b> The crypto market&#39;s movements are closely tied to global economic events, including interest rate decisions and geopolitical tensions, which have contributed to the recent volatility.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Comparison of BTC and Nasdaq 100:</b> Zhu Haokang, the Digital Asset Management Director at China Asset Management (Hong Kong) and founder of the Asia RWA Working Group, highlighted that Bitcoin price drops often occur almost simultaneously with declines in the Nasdaq 100 index. This correlation is particularly evident during periods of widespread systemic risk, such as the market crash triggered by the COVID-19 pandemic in March 2020 and the market adjustments in 2022. This insight underscores the interconnectedness of digital and traditional financial markets, especially during times of economic stress</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><span style="font-size:1.5rem;"><b>🎙️ TL;DR of Crypto Podcasts:</b></span></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>1. Never Die (@Jesseeckel): </b><br>- Discussions centered around the potential for Bitcoin&#39;s price increase and comparisons to $ETH, especially in light of Bitcoin&#39;s ETF performance.<br>- Mention of political figures like Trump and Kamala Harris promising strategic Bitcoin reserves, which could signal strong governmental support for Bitcoin.<br>- Speculation on the impact of large-scale Bitcoin purchases by the U.S. government and the potential market implications.<br>- VanEck&#39;s bullish projection of Bitcoin reaching $52 million by 2050 was highlighted. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>2. The Daily Gwei (@thedailygwei):</b><br>- Analysis of recent price movements in  $ETH and $BTC, noting significant drops in value.<br>- Discussion on trading strategies, particularly the cyclical nature of buying and selling BTC and ETH.<br>- Emphasis on the distinct differences between BTC and ETH as investment assets. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>3. Bankless (@BanklessHQ):</b><br>- Examination of the ETH/BTC ratio as a bull market indicator, noting its decline over the past 700 days.<br>- Comparison of Solana&#39;s performance relative to Bitcoin and Ethereum.<br>- Discussion on the broader implications of Bitcoin&#39;s dominance in the market and its impact on other cryptocurrencies. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>4. The Pomp Podcast:</b><br>- Introduction of Xapo Bank, a Bitcoin-enabled bank known for its high-security measures.<br>- Historical analysis of Bitcoin&#39;s price volatility, including significant drops and recoveries.<br>- Insights into the psychological aspects of Bitcoin trading and market behavior. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>5. Leviathan News (@leviathan_news):</b><br>- Personal anecdotes about investing in Bitcoin during the quantitative easing era.<br>- Reflections on the long-term potential and historical performance of Bitcoin. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>6. Odd Lots (@TheStalwart):</b><br>- Discussion on the correlation between Bitcoin and other asset classes, such as equities and credit spreads.<br>-Analysis of how central bank liquidity impacts Bitcoin prices. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>7. Proof of Coverage (@coverageproved):</b><br>- Mention of Trump&#39;s upcoming speech at the Bitcoin 2024 conference.<br>- Debate on the effectiveness of fixed token supplies and halvings, using Bitcoin as a reference point. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>8. Forward Guidance (@ForwardGuidance):</b><br>- Preview of topics to be covered at the Permissionless conference, including modularity, restaking, and the ecosystems of Bitcoin and Solana.</p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">🚀<span style="font-size:1.5rem;"><b> Early Projects:</b></span></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">1. Teko.finance (@tekofinance) - Real-time money markets on @megaeth_labs.<br>2. Pattern Finance (@PatternFinance) - Elevating the crypto experience for the next generation | Founded by DeFi natives.<br>3. Base Craft (@Basecraftio) - Base Craft is a new way to interact on chain. Begin your new life in Basetopia and transform your island into a thriving town!<br>4. MVP Hackathon (@MVPHackathon) - Go from idea to MVP in 10 days | By @alliancedao.<br>5. Lockness (@locknessdotxyz) - Building The Biggest Decentralized Data Protocol.<br>6. Cactus Finance (@cactusdefi) - A new way token launchpad protocol building on @filecoin FVM.<br>7. BitGPT (@BitGPTnetwork) - Decentralized AI in your wallet.</p></div><div class='beehiiv__footer'><br class='beehiiv__footer__break'><hr class='beehiiv__footer__line'><a target="_blank" class="beehiiv__footer_link" style="text-align: center;" href="https://www.beehiiv.com/?utm_campaign=a37f2703-23a8-4d23-ba76-b6665ad17a42&utm_medium=post_rss&utm_source=elonmoney_research">Powered by beehiiv</a></div></div>
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  <title>Why did the entire crypto market drop?</title>
  <description></description>
  <link>https://elonmoney.biz/p/entire-crypto-market-drop</link>
  <guid isPermaLink="true">https://elonmoney.biz/p/entire-crypto-market-drop</guid>
  <pubDate>Mon, 05 Aug 2024 14:33:05 +0000</pubDate>
  <atom:published>2024-08-05T14:33:05Z</atom:published>
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</style><div class='beehiiv__body'><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">If you were off the grid yesterday and didn&#39;t check CT, and now you&#39;re wondering why $BTC fell below $50k, here’s the latest news on what caused it: </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>1. Jump Trading</b> (@jump_), a prominent market-making firm, has been the subject of significant discussion and speculation regarding its recent activities in the crypto market. Reports and social media posts indicate that Jump Trading is liquidating its crypto portfolios, which has led to various interpretations and reactions within the crypto community. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>Liquidation of Crypto Portfolios:</b> Multiple sources confirm that Jump Trading is unwinding its crypto positions. @RNR_0, a notable figure in the crypto space, stated that Jump is &quot;unwinding everything&quot; and suggested that crypto was not a profitable endeavor for them. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">The liquidation has had a noticeable impact on the market, with significant amounts of crypto assets being moved. Wu Blockchain reported that Jump Trading recently redeemed $410 million worth of 120,000 wstETH into $ETH and transferred it to exchanges such as Binance and OKX. Since July 25, they have redeemed 83,000 wstETH into 97,500 ETH, and 66,000 ETH (worth $191.4 million) have entered the exchanges. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">There are also rumors that Jump Trading&#39;s liquidation might be influenced by legal and regulatory issues. @BowTiedBull suggested that the sell-off could be related to a court order linked to a CFTC case. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>2. Economic Concerns and Recession Fears:</b> Growing fears of a U.S. recession have also contributed to the market downturn. The economic uncertainty has led to a risk-off sentiment among investors, causing them to pull out of riskier assets like cryptocurrencies. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>3.</b> Japan&#39;s stock market suffers worst losses since 1987. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>4.</b> Weak Economic Data: A weak U.S. jobs report sparked fears of an economic slowdown, which negatively impacted both the stock and crypto markets. The poor economic data has led to a broader market sell-off, affecting Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>5.</b> The US spot BTC ETFs have seen their biggest single-day outflow in 90 days, indicating a lack of confidence or a need for liquidity among investors. Large sales by institutions like Jump Capital could contribute to such outflows, as investors might seek to liquidate their positions in response to market movements or to rebalance their portfolios. </p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><b>6.</b> Technical Factors and Market Sentiment: Analysts have pointed out that Bitcoin&#39;s price action has been influenced by technical factors, including the failure to maintain key support levels. Additionally, the overall market sentiment has been bearish, with many traders expecting further declines.</p><div class="image"><img alt="" class="image__image" style="" src="https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/7e999333-632d-451d-96e3-ec835f801da8/GUKCBhVWYAAecO4.jpeg?t=1722868333"/></div></div><div class='beehiiv__footer'><br class='beehiiv__footer__break'><hr class='beehiiv__footer__line'><a target="_blank" class="beehiiv__footer_link" style="text-align: center;" href="https://www.beehiiv.com/?utm_campaign=72d8fc2c-b1c5-4cdc-9c8c-3ee30907e29d&utm_medium=post_rss&utm_source=elonmoney_research">Powered by beehiiv</a></div></div>
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  <title>In-Depth Alpha #August, 3</title>
  <description></description>
  <link>https://elonmoney.biz/p/indepth-alpha-august-3</link>
  <guid isPermaLink="true">https://elonmoney.biz/p/indepth-alpha-august-3</guid>
  <pubDate>Mon, 05 Aug 2024 14:23:21 +0000</pubDate>
  <atom:published>2024-08-05T14:23:21Z</atom:published>
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</style><div class='beehiiv__body'><div class="image"><img alt="" class="image__image" style="" src="https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/8184dcc7-438f-475d-9a23-01f9acdd4c03/3.jpeg?t=1722863191"/></div><div class="section" style="background-color:transparent;margin:0.0px 0.0px 0.0px 0.0px;padding:0.0px 0.0px 0.0px 0.0px;"><h2 class="heading" style="text-align:left;"><span style="color:#000000;font-size:1.5rem;"><b>Gm chads </b></span>☕️<span style="color:#000000;"> </span><span style="color:#000000;font-family:TwitterChirp, -apple-system, system-ui, Segoe UI, Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:1.5rem;"><b>In today&#39;s In-depth Alpha: </b></span></h2><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">📰<span style="color:#000000;font-size:1.5rem;"> </span><span style="color:#000000;font-size:1.5rem;"><b>Latest news:</b></span><br><br><span style="color:#000000;"><b>- Macro Environment Shift:</b></span><span style="color:#000000;"> Market participants are selling Bitcoin, dollars, and stocks, and buying short-term US Government bonds due to a shift towards a recessionary macro environment. </span><br><br><span style="color:#000000;"><b>- Morgan Stanley BTC ETFs:</b></span><span style="color:#000000;"> Morgan Stanley has approved its advisors to offer Bitcoin ETFs to clients, starting with IBIT and FBTC. </span><br><br><span style="color:#000000;"><b>- MicroStrategy BTC Purchase:</b></span><span style="color:#000000;"> MicroStrategy acquired an additional 169 BTC for $11.4 million and plans to raise $2 billion to purchase more Bitcoin. </span><br><br><span style="color:#000000;"><b>- Coinbase Q2 Earnings:</b></span><span style="color:#000000;"> Coinbase reported $1.45 billion in Q2 revenue, surpassing estimates, but saw a 27% drop in transaction fees due to lower trading volumes. </span><br><br><span style="color:#000000;"><b>- Circle&#39;s EURC on Base:</b></span><span style="color:#000000;"> Circle launched its Euro stablecoin, EURC, on the Base blockchain, fully compliant with MiCA regulations. </span><br><br><span style="color:#000000;"><b>- Genesis Distributions:</b></span><span style="color:#000000;"> Genesis has begun distributing $4 billion worth of digital assets and U.S. dollars to creditors as part of its restructuring process. </span><br><br><span style="color:#000000;"><b>- Avalanche Real-World Asset Tokenization:</b></span><span style="color:#000000;"> Avalanche is digitizing 42 million pink slips for the California DMV and securing a 5-year ticketing deal with TiX for 26 million tickets. </span><br><br><span style="color:#000000;"><b>- Paladin Protocol on Solana:</b></span><span style="color:#000000;"> Paladin Protocol aims to eliminate predatory MEV and enhance the Solana user experience. </span><br><br><span style="color:#000000;"><b>- Pastel Network and Lukso Partnership:</b></span><span style="color:#000000;"> Pastel Network and Lukso announced a strategic partnership to revolutionize the interaction between creators and collectors with digital assets. </span><br><br><span style="color:#000000;"><b>- Jupiter Token Burn Proposal:</b></span><span style="color:#000000;"> Jupiter Exchange proposed a 30% token burn to reduce the total supply from 10 billion to 7 billion, including a voluntary cut from the team&#39;s allocation. </span><br><br><span style="color:#000000;"><b>- Crypto Market Volatility:</b></span><span style="color:#000000;"> Major cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin and Ethereum, experienced significant price fluctuations due to macroeconomic volatility and employment data. </span><br><br><span style="color:#000000;"><b>- BNP Paribas Digital Bond:</b></span><span style="color:#000000;"> BNP Paribas issued the first Eurozone sovereign digital bond for Slovenia using Banque de France’s tokenized cash solution. </span><br><br><span style="color:#000000;"><b>- Revolut UK Banking License:</b></span><span style="color:#000000;"> Crypto-friendly fintech Revolut is set to receive a UK banking license, positioning it as a fully-fledged bank. </span><br><br><span style="color:#000000;">- </span><span style="color:#000000;"><b>Lido introduces</b></span><span style="color:#000000;"> institutional-grade liquidity staking for ETH, enabling flexible staking and rewards. - Hong Kong users can now purchase digital currencies directly with spot trading pairs like ETH. </span><br><br><span style="color:#000000;">- </span><span style="color:#000000;"><b>Spot ether ETFs</b></span><span style="color:#000000;"> witness varied flows, with inflows potentially driving ETH prices to $6,000 as new funds reach $1.5 billion in AUM within a week. </span><br><br><span style="color:#000000;">- </span><span style="color:#000000;"><b>ARK invests</b></span><span style="color:#000000;"> $21M in 3iQ Ether staking ETF and divests $14.6M from Coinbase. </span><br><br><span style="color:#000000;">- </span><span style="color:#000000;"><b>AEVO initiated token</b></span><span style="color:#000000;"> buybacks, purchasing 1M </span><span style="color:#000000;font-family:TwitterChirp, -apple-system, system-ui, Segoe UI, Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:17px;"><a class="link" href="https://x.com/search?q=%24AEVO&src=cashtag_click&utm_source=elonmoney.biz&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=in-depth-alpha-august-3" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" style="color: rgb(29, 155, 240)">$AEVO</a></span><span style="color:#000000;font-family:TwitterChirp, -apple-system, system-ui, Segoe UI, Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:17px;"> at an average price of $0.446 to enhance long-term value for token holders. </span><br><br><span style="color:#000000;font-family:TwitterChirp, -apple-system, system-ui, Segoe UI, Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:17px;">- Polymarket hit over $1B in betting volume, driven by the U.S. presidential election, highlighting the growing interest in crypto betting markets. </span></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">🎙️<span style="color:#000000;font-size:1.5rem;"> </span><span style="color:#000000;font-size:1.5rem;"><b>TL;DR of Podcasts:</b></span><br><br><span style="color:#000000;"><b>- Market Shift from BTC to ETH ETFs:</b></span><span style="color:#000000;"> There has been a noticeable shift in investment flows from BTC-ETFs to ETH-ETFs, as investors seek diversified exposure. This trend is evident from the net outflows in BTC-ETFs and corresponding inflows into ETH-ETFs. </span><span style="color:#000000;"><b>- Investor Strategies:</b></span><span style="color:#000000;"> Investors are employing various strategies with BTC-ETFs, including market cap-weighted exposure to both BTC and ETH. This diversification approach aims to balance risk and potential returns. </span><span style="color:#000000;"><i>Source: The Daily Gwe</i></span><span style="color:#000000;">i (</span><span style="color:#000000;"><a class="link" href="https://x.com/thedailygwei?utm_source=elonmoney.biz&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=in-depth-alpha-august-3" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" style="color: rgb(29, 155, 240)">@thedailygwei</a></span><span style="color:#000000;"><i>)</i></span><br><br><span style="color:#000000;"><b>- Historical Inflows and Outflows:</b></span><span style="color:#000000;"> BTC-ETFs have historically seen significant inflows, accumulating $16 billion since their launch. However, recent market conditions have led to outflows, indicating a shift in investor sentiment. </span><span style="color:#000000;"><b>- Market Sentiment and Volatility:</b></span><span style="color:#000000;"> BTC-ETFs are subject to market sentiment and volatility, with periods of high inflows during bullish phases and outflows during bearish phases. This reflects the broader market dynamics of Bitcoin. </span><span style="color:#000000;"><i>Source: ROLLUP: Record ETF Flows, Up or Down</i></span><span style="color:#000000;">? (</span><span style="color:#000000;"><a class="link" href="https://x.com/BanklessHQ?utm_source=elonmoney.biz&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=in-depth-alpha-august-3" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" style="color: rgb(29, 155, 240)">@BanklessHQ</a></span><span style="color:#000000;"><i>)</i></span><br><br><span style="color:#000000;"><b>- Impact of Political Events:</b></span><span style="color:#000000;"> Political events, such as Trump&#39;s speech at the Bitcoin conference, have influenced Bitcoin&#39;s price and ETF flows. The speech caused a temporary spike in Bitcoin&#39;s price to $70,000, followed by a 10% sell-off. </span><span style="color:#000000;"><i>Source: Leviathan New</i></span><span style="color:#000000;">s (</span><span style="color:#000000;"><a class="link" href="https://x.com/leviathan_news?utm_source=elonmoney.biz&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=in-depth-alpha-august-3" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" style="color: rgb(29, 155, 240)">@leviathan_news</a></span><span style="color:#000000;"><i>)</i></span><br><br><span style="color:#000000;"><b>- Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Proposals:</b></span><span style="color:#000000;"> Proposals for a U.S. strategic Bitcoin reserve by political figures like RFK Jr. and Senator Cynthia Lummis have sparked discussions about the government&#39;s role in Bitcoin investment, potentially impacting ETF flows. </span><span style="color:#000000;"><i>Source: Unchaine</i></span><span style="color:#000000;">d (</span><span style="color:#000000;"><a class="link" href="https://x.com/Unchained_pod?utm_source=elonmoney.biz&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=in-depth-alpha-august-3" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" style="color: rgb(29, 155, 240)">@Unchained_pod</a></span><span style="color:#000000;"><i>)</i></span><br><br><span style="color:#000000;"><b>- Institutional Adoption:</b></span><span style="color:#000000;"> The launch of BTC-ETFs has facilitated institutional adoption, with significant investments from entities like Charles Schwab accounts. This has provided a more stable and regulated investment vehicle for Bitcoin. </span><span style="color:#000000;"><i>Source: Talking Token</i></span><span style="color:#000000;">s (</span><span style="color:#000000;"><a class="link" href="https://x.com/_TalkingTokens?utm_source=elonmoney.biz&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=in-depth-alpha-august-3" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" style="color: rgb(29, 155, 240)">@_TalkingTokens</a></span><span style="color:#000000;"><i>)</i></span></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;">🚀<span style="color:#000000;font-size:1.5rem;"> </span><span style="color:#000000;font-size:1.5rem;"><b>Early-Projects:</b></span></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><span style="color:#000000;font-family:TwitterChirp, -apple-system, system-ui, Segoe UI, Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:17px;">1. Pod Finance (</span><span style="color:#000000;"><a class="link" href="https://x.com/PodFinance?utm_source=elonmoney.biz&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=in-depth-alpha-august-3" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" style="color: rgb(29, 155, 240)">@PodFinance</a></span><span style="color:#000000;font-family:TwitterChirp, -apple-system, system-ui, Segoe UI, Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:17px;">) - A fully permissionless protocol for maximizing your assets value. </span><br><span style="color:#000000;font-family:TwitterChirp, -apple-system, system-ui, Segoe UI, Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:17px;">2. Semantic Layer (</span><span style="color:#000000;"><a class="link" href="https://x.com/SemanticLayer?utm_source=elonmoney.biz&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=in-depth-alpha-august-3" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" style="color: rgb(29, 155, 240)">@SemanticLayer</a></span><span style="color:#000000;font-family:TwitterChirp, -apple-system, system-ui, Segoe UI, Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:17px;">) </span><br><span style="color:#000000;font-family:TwitterChirp, -apple-system, system-ui, Segoe UI, Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:17px;">3. Dexcelerate (</span><span style="color:#000000;"><a class="link" href="https://x.com/Dexcelerate_?utm_source=elonmoney.biz&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=in-depth-alpha-august-3" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" style="color: rgb(29, 155, 240)">@Dexcelerate_</a></span><span style="color:#000000;font-family:TwitterChirp, -apple-system, system-ui, Segoe UI, Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:17px;">) - State of the art on-chain trading. </span><br><span style="color:#000000;font-family:TwitterChirp, -apple-system, system-ui, Segoe UI, Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:17px;">4. Snaip (</span><span style="color:#000000;"><a class="link" href="https://x.com/snaipbot?utm_source=elonmoney.biz&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=in-depth-alpha-august-3" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" style="color: rgb(29, 155, 240)">@snaipbot</a></span><span style="color:#000000;font-family:TwitterChirp, -apple-system, system-ui, Segoe UI, Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:17px;">) - Trade effortlessly across four chains. </span><br><span style="color:#000000;font-family:TwitterChirp, -apple-system, system-ui, Segoe UI, Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:17px;">5. Gemnify (</span><span style="color:#000000;"><a class="link" href="https://x.com/gemnify_xyz?utm_source=elonmoney.biz&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=in-depth-alpha-august-3" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" style="color: rgb(29, 155, 240)">@gemnify_xyz</a></span><span style="color:#000000;font-family:TwitterChirp, -apple-system, system-ui, Segoe UI, Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:17px;">) - Innovative decentralized perpetual exchange designed for leverage trading on stablecoins with up to 1000x leverage. </span><br><span style="color:#000000;font-family:TwitterChirp, -apple-system, system-ui, Segoe UI, Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:17px;">6. MIRAI (</span><span style="color:#000000;"><a class="link" href="https://x.com/BuildOnMirai?utm_source=elonmoney.biz&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=in-depth-alpha-august-3" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" style="color: rgb(29, 155, 240)">@BuildOnMirai</a></span><span style="color:#000000;font-family:TwitterChirp, -apple-system, system-ui, Segoe UI, Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:17px;">) - AI-Driven Symbiotic World Builder. </span><br><br>💰️<span style="color:#000000;font-size:1.5rem;"> </span><span style="color:#000000;font-size:1.5rem;"><b>Fundraise:</b></span></p><p class="paragraph" style="text-align:left;"><span style="color:#000000;font-family:TwitterChirp, -apple-system, system-ui, Segoe UI, Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:17px;">1. Pichi Finance (</span><span style="color:#000000;"><a class="link" href="https://x.com/PichiFinance?utm_source=elonmoney.biz&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=in-depth-alpha-august-3" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" style="color: rgb(29, 155, 240)">@PichiFinance</a></span><span style="color:#000000;font-family:TwitterChirp, -apple-system, system-ui, Segoe UI, Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:17px;">) - $2.5M from DWF Labs, Signum Capital </span><br><span style="color:#000000;font-family:TwitterChirp, -apple-system, system-ui, Segoe UI, Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:17px;">2. MetaDAO (</span><span style="color:#000000;"><a class="link" href="https://x.com/MetaDAOProject?utm_source=elonmoney.biz&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=in-depth-alpha-august-3" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" style="color: rgb(29, 155, 240)">@MetaDAOProject</a></span><span style="color:#000000;font-family:TwitterChirp, -apple-system, system-ui, Segoe UI, Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:17px;">) - $2.2M from Paradigm</span><br><span style="color:#000000;font-family:TwitterChirp, -apple-system, system-ui, Segoe UI, Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:17px;">3. DuelNow (</span><span style="color:#000000;"><a class="link" href="https://x.com/getduelnow?utm_source=elonmoney.biz&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=in-depth-alpha-august-3" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" style="color: rgb(29, 155, 240)">@getduelnow</a></span><span style="color:#000000;font-family:TwitterChirp, -apple-system, system-ui, Segoe UI, Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:17px;">) - $11M from Global Emerging Markets </span><br><span style="color:#000000;font-family:TwitterChirp, -apple-system, system-ui, Segoe UI, Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:17px;">4. Morpho (</span><span style="color:#000000;"><a class="link" href="https://x.com/MorphoLabs?utm_source=elonmoney.biz&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=in-depth-alpha-august-3" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" style="color: rgb(29, 155, 240)">@MorphoLabs</a></span><span style="color:#000000;font-family:TwitterChirp, -apple-system, system-ui, Segoe UI, Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:17px;">) - $50M from a16z, Pantera Capital, Variant Fund </span><br><span style="color:#000000;font-family:TwitterChirp, -apple-system, system-ui, Segoe UI, Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:17px;">5. JokeRace (</span><span style="color:#000000;"><a class="link" href="https://x.com/jokerace_io?utm_source=elonmoney.biz&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=in-depth-alpha-august-3" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" style="color: rgb(29, 155, 240)">@jokerace_io</a></span><span style="color:#000000;font-family:TwitterChirp, -apple-system, system-ui, Segoe UI, Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:17px;">) - $3M from 1kx, Maven 11 Capital</span><br><br>❤️<span style="color:#000000;"> </span><span style="color:#000000;font-family:TwitterChirp, -apple-system, system-ui, Segoe UI, Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:1.5rem;">Follow me on </span><span style="color:#000000;font-family:TwitterChirp, -apple-system, system-ui, Segoe UI, Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:1.5rem;"><a class="link" href="https://x.com/0xelonmoney?utm_source=elonmoney.biz&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=in-depth-alpha-august-3" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" style="color: rgb(29, 155, 240)">Twitter</a></span><span style="color:#000000;font-family:TwitterChirp, -apple-system, system-ui, Segoe UI, Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:1.5rem;"> </span><span style="color:#000000;font-size:1.5rem;">to catch more alpha threads, research, and updates!</span></p></div></div><div class='beehiiv__footer'><br class='beehiiv__footer__break'><hr class='beehiiv__footer__line'><a target="_blank" class="beehiiv__footer_link" style="text-align: center;" href="https://www.beehiiv.com/?utm_campaign=e547bf5e-3e52-4563-9373-6d80a10d2ba1&utm_medium=post_rss&utm_source=elonmoney_research">Powered by beehiiv</a></div></div>
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