Brought to you by web3’s most unhinged anti hero FROGE

📰Proof of News

GM, GA, or GN LFG.

Crypto’s been busy, headlines are hitting hard. Don't worry we got you. The market has been brewing, here's what's currently happening:

Crypto influencers face botting allegations, with critics claiming some inflate impressions to hold views above fixed thresholds and justify higher fees. Supporters argue real engagement can fluctuate naturally, but inconsistent results are increasingly seen as a sign of authentic growth.
Read More»

Trove Markets faces scam allegations after its ICO token collapsed. After raising $11.5M, the project abruptly switched chains, $TROVE crashed below $1M FDV, minimal refunds were issued, and on-chain investigators flagged undisclosed influencer payments and fund movements, prompting exit-scam claims and calls for asset freezes. Read More»

🤑Airdrop Alpha

1. Solana Mobile SKR Airdrop – Launch Locked In 📱

   Solana Mobile just confirmed the SKR token TGE drops on January 21, 2026 (2:00 AM UTC), with up to 30% of the 10B total supply (3B tokens) allocated for community airdrops. This rewards Seeker phone owners, active dApp users, and ecosystem contributors (snapshot already taken based on Seeker Season activity: 100k+ participants, 9M+ txns, $2.6B+ volume).

   Why it matters: Bridges hardware + Web3; expect big hype similar to past Solana ecosystem drops. How to position: Own a Seeker device? Stay active in dApps, link your Seed Vault Wallet, and engage weekly. No Saga eligibility here. Potential: High—could be worth billions in distribution if Solana TVL keeps climbing.

2. MetaMask MASK / LINEA Rewards Program – Points Still Accumulating 🦊

   ConsenSys has been teasing the MASK token launch (early 2026 window), with massive rewards via the MetaMask points system tied to LINEA activity. Over 30M users in scope; earn points through swaps, bridging, staking, and general wallet usage. Recent updates added more earning paths.

   Why it matters: MetaMask is crypto's gateway wallet, any token drop could be huge for decentralization and user rewards. How to position: Use MetaMask regularly on LINEA (swaps, bridges, dApp interactions). Check the in-wallet rewards section for your points balance. No confirmed snapshot yet, so keep grinding.

   Potential: Very high, speculation points to broad distribution across millions of wallets.

3. Polymarket POLY Token – Prediction Market Drop Incoming? 🔮

   Polymarket confirmed a POLY token launch (likely Q1 2026, with strong January buzz post-US relaunch). Points program (running through late 2025) rewards historical traders, predictors, and liquidity providers—25-40% of supply eyed for community airdrop (est. $500M–$1B+ value).

   Why it matters: Polymarket crushed $2B+ volume in 2025; a token would decentralize governance and reward real usage in the booming prediction space. How to position: Trade actively on Polymarket (predictions, liquidity provision). If you participated in 2025, you're likely in scope—check your points/dashboard. Potential: Solid—prediction markets are hot, and retro rewards favor genuine engagement.

100+ Airdrop Opportunities in my Notion Airdrop Tracker: https://bit.ly/droptime

Powered by Alphabot Premium, helping Web3 ecosystems grow.

📰Proof of News

GM, GA, or GN LFG.

Crypto’s been busy, headlines are hitting hard. Don't worry we got you. The market has been brewing, here's what's currently happening:

🤑Airdrop Alpha

Ranger ($RNGR) ICO Now Live on MetaDAO!
Ranger Finance, the leading Solana perps aggregator and trading terminal, launched its fair ICO on January 6 (running until Jan 10) with a $6M minimum raise.

As of now, ~$2.2M committed (37% filled) – open to all via USDC on metadao.fi, no whitelist/KYC. Key perks:
- 100% unlocked tokens at TGE,
- buy-wall protection for excess raise,
- points priority for early users, and futarchy governance for aligned decisions.
- Strong tokenomics with no team/investor unlocks at launch.

Past MetaDAO launches often 2-10x – this could be a solid DeFi play. DYOR and size accordingly! 🚀
Link: https://metadao.fi/projects/ranger/fundraise

Solana Seeker ($SKR) Airdrop Launching Soon!
Solana Mobile's native token SKR powers on-chain identity and utilities for the Seeker smartphone ecosystem, with a 10B total supply and 30% allocated for airdrops to early adopters.

TGE hits in January 2026—eligibility based on device ownership, dApp usage, quests, and points; check via official portal with a Solana wallet.

Key perks:
- Staking for governance/rewards,
- premium features access,
- no bridges needed.
- Over 175 dApps integrated; genuine activity boosts allocations.

Past Solana drops like Jupiter hit big—could be massive. DYOR and engage safely! 🚀Link: solanamobile.com/seeker

Trove ($TROVE) ICO & Points Airdrop on HyperEVM!
Trove, a perp DEX on Hyperliquid for niche assets like Pokémon cards, luxury watches, and equities (up to 5x leverage), launches its fair ICO Jan 8-11, 2026, targeting $2.5M at $20M FDV with full TGE unlock.

Points program rewards beta trading, referrals, and prior HyperEVM activity—potential airdrop in late Jan via snapshot.

Key perks:
- 10-20% extra allocations from points,
- referral boosts,
- trading competition.

Hyperliquid's past HYPE drop was huge (10x+); Trove aligns well for DeFi hunters. Yes, it's a solid one to include—DYOR and size wisely! 🚀
Link: https://trove.markets

100+ Airdrop Opportunities in my Notion Airdrop Tracker: https://bit.ly/droptime

Brought to you by the cool kids over at Alphabot Premium the premier community for Web3.

📰Proof of News

GM, GA, or GN LFG.

Crypto’s been busy, headlines are hitting hard. Don't worry we got you. The market has been brewing, here's what's currently happening:

🪙Bearish or Bullish

Market Overview

As we approach the end of the year, the market is once again perched on a knife's edge of uncertainty. One of the more quietly significant developments is the Fed's quiet pivot, reinitiating monetary expansion under the radar. With $60 billion per month being printed in what amounts to a “stealth bailout,” concern is mounting over private credit, a sector long considered a bedrock of safe lending.

Now, even its safest instruments are beginning to show cracks. This isn’t just a banking issue. A wider unraveling could force the Fed’s hand, ripple into AI infrastructure funding, raise inflation risks, steepen the yield curve, and significantly increase the odds of recession. The core issue? The system has become entirely debt-dependent, but trust in that debt is rapidly fading.

Despite public facing metrics still painting a picture of relative normalcy, deeper data continues to suggest fractures beneath the surface. And with labor and inflation data on deck, markets will likely respond with volatility regardless of Powell’s attempts to wave off the distortions caused by the prolonged government shutdown.

This week’s key releases:

• Tuesday: ADP Employment, Unemployment

• Thursday: CPI, Initial & Continuing Jobless Claims

Powell has already hinted that the "data may be distorted", but that won’t stop markets from reacting to them.

BTC/USD

Bitcoin made an effort last week to break through its key range high of $93,000, even briefly poking above it. But that move failed to hold, triggering a broader market selloff into this week.

Price is now trading below the range midpoint ($86,800), which puts the spotlight back on whether the market can reclaim that to stay in the upper half of the current structure. A failure to do so increases the probability that we revisit the range lows around $80,524, a level that would be critical to hold in the face of growing bearish sentiment.

From a trend perspective, the larger macro structure hasn’t changed. The levels to watch remain:

• $100,000 – Psychological + technical resistance. A significant wall.

• $107,400 – The breaker. Only a sustained move above this flips the script and opens the door for a short-term bullish reversal.

ETH/USD

ETH had its moment last week, pushing all the way to $3,355, tagging the August low before getting rejected and falling back into the existing range. Still, it’s shown relative strength, especially when compared to the broader altcoin market and BTC itself.

That’s an important distinction. ETH didn’t collapse. It held up decently, continuing to flirt with the idea of retaking leadership at this crucial stage of the cycle.

The key level remains the Cycle Mid at $2,874. That’s our structural line in the sand. If ETH can maintain strength, break out of the downtrend from October, and push decisively through $3,355, then it’s game on for altcoin leadership.

ETH/BTC

ETH/BTC broke out of its short term downtrend 2 weeks ago. Last week it pushed up to the 0.036 milestone… but couldn’t hold. Still, this was a key win.

So far, we’ve seen support hold at 0.034, which now becomes a key pivot. If that holds and ETH forms a higher low, we’ll likely see another test of 0.036, potentially breaking it and continuing the move toward the macro downtrend.

And that’s the real cycle test: Can ETH finally break the macro downtrend?

If so, that’s your signal. ETH season is in full swing. Until then, we watch closely.

Altcoin Market Outlook: Final Countdown Begins

We are now clearly entering the final phase of the cycle.

Here’s the playbook we’re watching unfold:

1. ETH begins leading vs BTC, pulling strength into the broader market

2. Bitcoin remains stable, avoiding new highs but not collapsing

3. Altcoins rally hard vs BTC and USD, following ETH’s lead

4. The real altseason begins once ETH’s leadership phase nears exhaustion

At that point, the risk/reward begins to shift, rapidly. While opportunities will still exist, chasing late stage pumps becomes increasingly dangerous. Historically, this is where most participants either overstay with diamond hands, round trip, or FOMO into historic tops.

If there was ever a time to step back and clarify your strategy, it is now. Write down your plan. Define your take profit levels. Know where you're cutting risk. True altseason hasn't begun yet, ETH leadership needs to build and mature first. The explosive 30-45 day peak alt window will likely arrive only as ETH's relative strength starts to die down. Prepare now; how you navigate that phase will define your results for this cycle.

🤑Airdrop Alpha

Moonbirds New SBT for Jupiter Mobile Users
If you’ve used Jupiter Mobile and made at least one ultra swap in the last 8 mths, you’re eligible to claim a Moonbirds SBT.

✅ Claim here: https://minting.moonbirds.com/

If you aren’t eligible, you can still qualify. Just import a wallet into Jupiter Mobile and do one swap in the next 2 weeks.

Moonbirds’ $BIRB TGE is coming soon. Not confirmed, but SBT holders might get a token airdrop.

Portfolio Margin for HyperLiquid is going live soon
Under portfolio margin, a user’s spot and perps trading are unified for greater capital efficiency. Furthermore, portfolio margin accounts automatically earn yield on all borrowable assets not actively used for trading.

Portfolio margin unlocks functionality such as the carry trade where a spot balance is offset by a short perps position, collateralized by the spot balance. Spot and perp pnl offset each other, protecting against liquidation on the perp position.

This greatly increases capital efficiency and HyperLiquid is the only Perps DEX on the market to have such feature. Note that when ByBit introduced this, they experienced spike in open interest and solidified them as one of the leading CEXes.

More info on their docs here: https://hyperliquid.gitbook.io/hyperliquid-docs/trading/portfolio-margin

RateX Snapshot taken on 1 Dec  
Points earned after this date will roll over to S2.

There is vesting for the tokens:

- 20% unlocked at TGE 

- 30% unlicked at TGE + 3 mths

- 50% unlicked at TGE + 6 mths

$RTX will be available on both Solana and BSC

If you would like to receive your tokens on BSC, the deadline to submit your EVM wallet is 2025-12-17 09:00 UTC

This means TGE is likely 18 Dec or after

100+ Airdrop Opportunities in my Notion Airdrop Tracker: https://bit.ly/droptime

Brought to you by the cool kids over at Alphabot Premium the premier community for Web3.

📰Proof of News

GM, GA, or GN LFG.

Crypto’s been busy, headlines are hitting hard. Don't worry we got you. The market has been brewing, here's what's currently happening:

🪙Bearish or Bullish

Macro Overview

The market enters a pivotal week, with economic data still trickling out due to residual delays from the historically long government shutdown. Notably, key inflation metrics like CPI and PPI are expected to land late, December 18 is the current placeholder for both. In the meantime, eyes turn to ADP and JOLTS data on Tuesday, which are anticipated to land within range of expectations, continuing a broader five-year soft downtrend in job openings.

The Fed, meanwhile, moves forward uninterrupted. The market has priced in a 25bps rate cut with nearly 100% certainty for Wednesday’s FOMC decision. However, the expectation is that Powell will pair this cut with a hawkish tone during the press conference, likely reiterating caution and highlighting persistent labor market tightness and inflation risk. On Thursday, Initial and Continuing Jobless Claims are set to reinforce these trends, as labor market softness continues to echo through the economy.

From a seasonal lens, the setup still favors a potential Santa Rally. Between the dovish rate cut, improving retail holiday sales data (outperforming YoY so far), and resilient consumer activity, December still offers the ingredients for a year end push. But volatility around Fed commentary and delayed inflation data makes patience essential.

BTC/USD

As noted over the past several weeks, my broader view remains unchanged: the cycle top is most likely in. I continue to hold that we have about a 90% probability that BTC has topped, and only a 10% probability of new highs surprising us.

Structurally, BTC continues to trade within the defined range we highlighted last week:

• Range Low: $80,524

• Range High: $93,000

Although price has made a few attempts above the range high, each attempt has not held yet. This underscores the strength of resistance near $93K, and the importance of watching for a true breakout and sustained acceptance beyond that level.

Zooming out, the primary resistance levels remain the same:

• $100,000 – A major psychological and technical level.

• $107,400 – The level BTC must exceed to invalidate the current bearish trend and spark the possibility of a short/medium term uptrend.

Since last Tuesday, BTC has reclaimed and held above the 4hr FibMa Blue Band, a positive short term sign. If price can continue to close above this level, the stage is set for further upside exploration, potentially toward that $93K resistance zone again. However, should the Blue Band fail, we may see more consolidation within this established range or a run on the range lows.

ETH/USD

Ethereum continues to show signs of relative strength, something we've been anticipating. Last week, ETH broke above its local range highs more convincingly than BTC, a promising signal in the context of ETH possibly reclaiming market leadership.

That said, we need stronger confirmation. ETH needs to decisively:

• Break and hold above the October downtrend

• Reclaim the August low at $3,355

While we’re not quite there yet, ETH is moving in the right direction. If it can break the downtrend and maintain momentum, this could be the spark for broader sector rotation. As mentioned in previous articles, this is Ethereum’s last chance to take the lead and ignite the true altseason.

ETH/BTC

This chart is finally showing the progress we’ve been waiting for.

• The short-term downtrend has broken, removing a major structural headwind and setting the stage for ETH to rally aggressively against BTC.

• The next major milestone is a move to 0.036, which would confirm ETH’s strength and potentially mark the beginning of its move to the macro downtrend.

If ETH can break the macro downtrend, that will be the defining moment that confirms altseason has arrived. Until then, we remain in anticipation mode, but even now, a rally against BTC off this short term break could provide meaningful upside in select altcoins.

Altcoin Market Outlook

We are now entering what I’ve repeatedly referred to as the final phase of the cycle.

Here’s the expected sequence:

1. ETH begins leading vs BTC, pulling strength into the broader market

2. Bitcoin remains stable, avoiding new highs but not collapsing

3. Altcoins rally hard vs BTC and USD, following ETH’s lead

4. The real altseason begins once ETH’s leadership phase nears exhaustion

At that point, the risk/reward begins to shift, rapidly. While opportunities will still exist, chasing late stage pumps becomes increasingly dangerous. Historically, this is where most participants either overstay with diamond hands, round trip, or FOMO into historic tops.

If there was ever a time to step back and clarify your strategy, it is now. Write down your plan. Define your take profit levels. Know where you're cutting risk. True altseason hasn't begun yet, ETH leadership needs to build and mature first. The explosive 30–45 day peak alt window will likely arrive only as ETH's relative strength starts to die down. Prepare now; how you navigate that phase will define your results for this cycle.

Final Thoughts

The market is nearing its climax. With macro, technicals, and seasonality aligning, we are likely approaching one of the most explosive phases of the entire cycle. The excitement will likely be overwhelming but so will the risk.

Stay sharp. Stay disciplined. And above all, don’t be the exit liquidity for someone else’s strategy.

This is your chance to be the 10%. Make it count.

🤑Airdrop Alpha

HyENA Goes Live on 10 Dec

Built by Based App and Ethena Labs, HyENA is a Perps DEX built on HyperLiquid’s HIP-3 and offers the same fast execution, deep liquidity, and low latency. 

In addition:

• USDe as collateral which earns yield on top of any trading profits

• Currently 12% boosted APY for the 1st month, while you have a qualifying Long position open and for more than 1 hour

• Fee rebates if you migrate in the next 7 days

• 100M weekly points (no HyENA token), points will go towards $ENA airdrop

• HLPe vault earns USDe Yield + Trading Fees/PnL + HyENA Points

You can trade on HyENA via Base App here (under HIP-3 tab, look for USDe pairs):
https://app.based.one/r/CRUZCONTROL

Hylo launches Season 1

Season 0 of Hylo ended on 5 Dec. With S1:

• Crowns earned in S0 carry over to S1 (tiered for fairness)

• For example, Quants (120 crowns) get a 10.2% XP boost in S1

• XP model will be the same, basically Capital x Time = XP

• S1 will be the most important season, duration not yet finalised 

Hylo is deeply integrated in Solana DeFi, which includes Kamino, LoopScale, Exponent, RateX and Project 0, with more on the way.

Join here: https://hylo.so/leverage?ref=XNDJ9K

Markets.xyz launches kmHYPE

Developed by Kinetiq, Markets.xyz is an upcoming decentralized exchange (DEX) platform built on HyperLiquid’s HIP-3. 

kmHYPE is a fixed-supply token (max 888,888) that's a revenue-sharing LST for Markets.xyz.

Holders get a perpetual cut of Markets' activity—minimum 10% of gross revenue distributed proportionally, while 90% fuels growth and liquidity under the HIP-3 framework.

On 8 Dec, $KNTQ holders will get priority to swap 1:1 for kmHYPE with kHYPE.

If you missed out, there will be secondary markets to get kmHYPE via DEXes.

100+ Airdrop Opportunities in my Notion Airdrop Tracker: https://bit.ly/droptime

Brought to you by the cool kids over at Alphabot Premium the premier community for Web3.

📰Proof of News

GM, GA, or GN LFG.

Crypto’s been busy, headlines are hitting hard. Don't worry we got you. The market has been brewing, here's what's currently happening:

🪙Bearish or Bullish

Market Overview

As of December 1st, Quantitative Tightening (QT) officially ended, marking a major shift in monetary conditions. This comes alongside a 90% market-implied probability that the Fed will cut rates by 25bps at the upcoming December 17 FOMC meeting, albeit likely accompanied by a hawkish Powell tone.

Meanwhile, early data from holiday shopping shows positive year over year gains, suggesting that the consumer remains surprisingly resilient, at least in nominal terms. This backdrop supports the possibility of a Santa Rally into the year end.

Important macro events this week include:

• ADP employment data (Tuesday)

• Initial and continuing jobless claims (Thursday)

With unemployment ticking higher in the latest release, the market will be watching closely to see if this becomes a trend or a data blip.

BTC/USD

My core view remains unchanged:

There's a 90% probability the cycle has topped, with only a 10% chance of BTC surprising to new highs.

After last week’s price action, Bitcoin has carved out a short term range:

• Range Low: $80,524

• Range High: $93,000

These levels should guide short term trading expectations. If the recent sell off from the ATH is complete, we want to see $80.5k hold, and ideally price reclaim and break above $93k, paving the way for a push toward resistance.

Key resistance levels remain:

• $100,000 – A major psychological and technical barrier.

• $107,400 – The level BTC must exceed to invalidate the current bearish trend and spark the possibility of a short to medium term uptrend.

Failure to clear $107,400 cleanly would confirm this bounce as a lower high and the broader downtrend as intact. 

ETH/USD

ETH has also established a clear short term range:

• Range High: $3,098

• Range Low: $2,623

The cycle mid at $2,874 remains the critical support to hold.

As previously discussed, this is Ethereum’s “last call” to lead the market. It doesn’t need to go parabolic, but it must begin showing leadership by regaining trend strength and confirming bullish structure.

The next 2–3 weeks will likely determine whether ETH earns that role or concedes it.

ETH/BTC

The short term downtrend remains the primary focus.

If broken, ETH is likely to rally aggressively toward its macro downtrend, and likely challenge it.

Should ETH break the macro downtrend, which I still believe is a real possibility, it would confirm altseason has officially begun. Even a break of the short term downtrend alone could be enough to spark strong ALT/BTC outperformance.

Until then, patience is required. We wait for the signal.

Altcoin Market Outlook

I’ve referred to this as the “overtime window” for months.

I believe we are inside the final 30–60 days of that window.

The conditions that historically precede explosive altcoin rallies are setting up nicely:

• ETH regaining strength vs BTC

• BTC stabilizing (but not reclaiming ATHs)

• Altcoin USD pairs showing R/R expansion

This is the ideal environment for altcoins to outperform both BTC and USD, especially for structured positions with strong technical setups.

However, the risk curve is steep, and the timeframe is short. This is no longer a time for blind risk-on behavior, take profits when offered, avoid round-tripping gains, and do not get caught re-entering once alt season is in full swing.

🤑Airdrop Alpha

Harmonix Snapshot Taken on 1 Dec, Public Sale 24 hours left

If you have deposits on Harmonix, please note:

• Points have stopped accruing since 1 Dec

• You can withdraw HYPE from their vaults (takes 3-5 days)

• TGE is in mid Dec

• Admin on Discord hinted some more announcements regarding points after TGE

• Public sale is ongoing: https://x.com/harmonixfi/status/1995449454824919088

Hylo Alpha on recent X Space

Co-Founder & CEO of HYLO confirmed that Season 1 is coming, and season 0 is ending soon.

There will be a conversion of crowns from S0 XP system “into something useful” for S1 (maybe a multiplier of sorts?), and then the S1 crowns will become “even more useful”.

And more X (leverage) Assets coming soon, which will be announced at Break Point.

$JUP made important Tokenomics Changes

✅ Unstaking period reduced from 30 to 7 days
✅ $33M $JUP tokens in litterbox burned
✅ No more workgroups: less sell pressure of $JUP to fund workgroups

Next up:

• Reduce emissions (Jupuary)

• Litterbox utility

• New ways to integrate JUP across ecosystem

100+ Airdrop Opportunities in my Notion Airdrop Tracker: https://bit.ly/droptime

Brought to you by the cool kids over at Alphabot Premium the premier community for Web3.

📰Proof of News

GM, GA, or GN LFG.

Crypto’s been busy, headlines are hitting hard. Don't worry we got you. The market has been brewing, here's what's currently happening:

🪙Bearish or Bullish

Market Overview

After a brief cooling off period in sentiment, macro expectations are beginning to realign with what we've previously outlined. Market participants are once again pricing in a high probability (around 70%) of a 25 basis point rate cut during the December 17th FOMC meeting. While Powell’s earlier remarks seemed to downplay the odds, the recent pullback in price action and deteriorating sentiment have brought dovish expectations back into focus.

Meanwhile, the U.S. government has officially reopened. We’re seeing a return of economic data releases, including backfilled figures from previously missed CPI and labor reports. Unemployment came in hotter than expected last week, triggering an immediate market wide selloff. With volatility back in the fold, this week is all about watching whether recent lows hold and how assets respond to this early bounce attempt.

The harsh reality these past couple weeks is that Bitcoin has now confirmed both of the structural warnings I’ve flagged in past recaps:

1. Weekly closes below $100,000

2. Break and close below the 4H FibMA green band

Both of these developments are critical. From a structural standpoint, they imply high probability that the current cycle has topped, or at the very least, that BTC has entered a sustained bearish regime. My current positioning: 90% chance we’ve topped, 10% chance BTC surprises and breaks to new highs.

What would negate this bearish outlook?
It’s quite simple: Bitcoin needs to put in a new all-time high and hold $126,000 as support on any backtest. Until then, the burden of proof lies firmly on the bulls.

Short-term, I expect a decent bounce following the sharp sell-off. With price currently reclaiming ground above the 4H FibMA Green band, it’s likely we’ll see a push upward in the next few weeks. But you need to understand, $100,000 is now a major resistance zone, while the next key area to watch is $107,400. Failure to clear $107,400 cleanly would confirm this bounce as a lower high and the broader downtrend as intact. 

ETH/USD

Ethereum ran the "worst case scenario" I’ve mentioned before, reaching and briefly deviating below the cycle mid-level of $2,874. It’s now bounced and is hovering just below the $3,000 mark.

The takeaway here is twofold:

1. $2,874 must now hold as a key structural support

2. If ETH is going to show leadership in the final leg of the cycle, it needs to start now

I continue to believe this is Ethereum’s last opportunity to guide the broader altcoin market into a full fledged altseason. ETH does not need to go vertical overnight, but we need to see strength, trend reestablishment, and momentum over the coming weeks.

ETH/BTC

The primary focus here is the short term downtrend. If that breaks, ETH is likely to rally aggressively toward its macro downtrend, and potentially challenge it. A break of the macro downtrend, which I still believe is possible, would be the key confirmation signal that alt season has officially begun.

Until then, patience is required as we wait for a catalyst. Even a break of the short-term downtrend could trigger strong performance in altcoins. But if ETH breaks the macro downtrend, that’s when the real fireworks begin.

Altcoin Market Outlook

I've been calling this the "overtime window" for months. I believe we are now in the final 30–60 days of that window. If ETH asserts dominance vs BTC and Bitcoin stabilizes without reclaiming ATHs, this is the exact setup where alts historically rip faces off:

• Strong gains against Bitcoin

• Rally in USD terms as ETH pulls the sector higher

• Offer high R/R for structured, selective conviction positions

However, the risk curve is steep, and the timeframe is short. This is no longer a time for blind risk-on behavior, take profits when offered, avoid round-tripping gains, and do not get caught re-entering once alt season is in full swing.

Closing Thoughts

This cycle has been pure chaos, policy shocks, Fed pivot after Fed pivot, and a market that keeps rewriting the playbook. Yet the approach that’s kept us alive: stay data driven, respect structure, and evolve in real time.Bitcoin has likely topped. The biggest opportunity of the entire cycle may now be shifting to alts.If ETH steps up, if BTC chills, if sentiment flips, we are about to get the real altseason people have been hallucinating about since 2021.Stay sharp. Stay selective. And when it’s time, take profits.

🤑Airdrop Alpha

Airdrop Updates - Week of 23 Nov
100+ Airdrop Opportunities in my Notion Airdrop Tracker: https://bit.ly/droptime

Kinetiq TGE 27 Nov

The Kinetiq token $KNTQ will launch on 27 Nov. Only points holders who signed T&C before the deadline will be able to claim. Those who did not sign would have forfeited their allocation, with those who signed getting a large share of the pool:

Unsigned kPoints: 457,551.95 (3.81% of total) –– resulting in a pro-rata increase of ~3.96% to all kPoints recipients who *did* sign. 

Unsigned Hypurr's: 1,866 (40.56% of total) –– resulting in a pro-rata increase of 68.27% to all Hypurrs holders who *did* sign.

https://x.com/0xOmnia/status/1993035450949259459

Based App integrates Polymarket, now also available on Mobile

It’s now so easy to bet on Polymarket through Based App. You can now do one click transfer from HL Perps balance to Polymarket and place your bet, without leaving the app. 

They also recently made this available via their mobile app.

I need not remind you that both of these applications are tokenless 😀

Sign up here: https://app.based.one/r/CRUZCONTROL

HyperBeat Airdrop in Dec?

Another HyperEVM project getting ready for TGE; if you have Hearts (HyperBeat points) or a holder of Hypurr NFT, go sign their T&C before Dec 5 to become eligible for “future benefits”:
https://www.hyperbeatfoundation.org/airdrop-terms

It looks like the snapshot was taken on 12 Nov.

Introducing Pulse the next evolution of InfoFi. Built by Alphabot

📰Proof of News

GM, GA, or GN LFG.

Crypto’s been busy, headlines are hitting hard. Don't worry we got you. The market has been brewing, here's what's currently happening:

🤑Airdrop Alpha

Airdrop Updates - Week of 16 Nov

Solstice surpasses $300M in TVL
Imagine locking in institutional-grade yields on Solana while stacking points for a juicy airdrop.

Solsticefi is the ticket to DeFi done right. Learn more about the DeFi powerhouse that is backed by Deus X ($1B in AUM) here:
https://x.com/cruzcontrol660/status/1988174241565675932

Harmonix Finance TGE in Dec - Sign T&C within 14 days
If you have Harmonix points or NFT, visit: https://claim.harmonix.fi/

to sign the T&C within 14 days to confirm participation in $HAR TGE

Snapshot of Points will be taken on Dec 1

It looks like there will be a public token sale and vesting of the tokens (hopefully no vesting for the airdrop): https://x.com/harmonixfi/status/1990357783498096824

HyperBeat Airdrop in Dec?
Another HyperEVM project getting ready for TGE; if you have Hearts (HyperBeat points) or a holder of Hypurr NFT, go sign their T&C before Dec 5 to become eligible for “future benefits”:
https://www.hyperbeatfoundation.org/airdrop-terms

It looks like the snapshot was taken on 12 Nov.

100+ Airdrop Opportunities in my Notion Airdrop Tracker: https://bit.ly/droptime

AMP, a full-service Web3 creative studio crafting high-end design and motion experiences for brands that want to stand out.

📰Proof of News

GM, GA, or GN LFG.

Crypto’s been busy, headlines are hitting hard. Don't worry we got you. The market has been brewing, here's what's currently happening:

🤑Airdrop Alpha

Institutional-grade Delta Neutral Yield on Solana

Get onboard the Ethena of Solana, backed by Deus X ($1B TVL) and Galaxy Digital, Solstice has surpassed $275M TVL in record time.

A Guide here: https://x.com/cruzcontrol660/status/1988174241565675932

Meteora Copy Trading with Sol Decoder

Sol Decoder’s Valhalla Copy Trading Bot has been giving me consistent passive income for 4 months straight despite choppy market conditions (including Oct, which was brutal for many).

Learn more here: https://x.com/cruzcontrol660/status/1987776025821122702

100+ Airdrop Opportunities in my Notion Airdrop Tracker: https://bit.ly/droptime

Introducing Pulse the next evolution of InfoFi.
Built by Alphabot, powered by $BOOST.

📰Proof of News

GM, GA, or GN LFG.

Crypto’s been busy, headlines are hitting hard. Don't worry we got you. The market has been brewing, here's what's currently happening:

🪙Bearish or Bullish

Market Overview

The market got a dose of clarity this past week, and some of it was more hawkish than bulls had hoped for.

As anticipated, the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points, bringing the benchmark rate down to 4.00%. However, Chairman Jerome Powell delivered a message that pumped the brakes on speculation about further easing. In his own words:

“A rate cut in December is not a foregone conclusion, far from it.”

That single line shook the optimism around a December follow up cut and reinforced the idea that the Fed is watching the data closely before committing to more dovish action. Powell avoided further commentary on December speculation, which markets interpreted as a cautious stance.

The more significant development, however, was the Fed’s announcement that it will halt quantitative tightening (QT) by stopping the balance sheet runoff starting December 1st. While this isn’t QE, it signals a move toward liquidity normalization, and in this environment, not draining liquidity is almost as bullish as printing fresh money.

Meanwhile, the U.S. government remains shut down, and tension in Congress is rising. Discussions to remove the filibuster (which currently requires a 60 vote threshold) in favor of a simple majority vote are gaining momentum. Should that happen, expect a brief spike in volatility once the government reopens, as markets recalibrate for rapid legislative shifts.

BTC/USD

Last week, Bitcoin failed to hold $112,000, the level we clearly outlined as the must hold threshold for bullish continuation. The breakdown wasn’t dramatic at first, BTC bounced off the 4H FibMA Blue Band, closing the week at $110,524.

But the start of this week has seen more weakness, with price now revisiting the 4H FibMA Blue Band again at around $105,758.

Here’s where it gets technical, and psychological. Since late August, BTC has repeatedly tested the Blue Band, acting as both support and decision zone. And while bulls have defended it multiple times, repeated tests of a level tend to weaken its structural integrity.

As the saying goes: the more times a door is knocked on, the more likely it is to open.

In this case, that "door" could swing open to the downside, meaning we should prepare for the possibility that BTC loses the Blue Band in the short term. That doesn’t automatically spell doom, but it would likely trigger a final shakeout before a new leg higher.

The flip side? If BTC reclaims $112,000 decisively, the market could quickly shift toward momentum breakout mode, targeting the high BB levels and possibly all time highs if macro tailwinds assist.

My view: If we do get a breakdown, it would likely be the last gift of this cycle, a deep value opportunity before bullish continuation. But if BTC instead reclaims $112,000 without another flush, I’ll look for signs of impulsive strength with $117,255 in play.

BTC BB Levels

• HD: $117,255

• H4: $112,750

• BB: $110,524

• L4: $108,335

• LD: $103,823

  

ETH/USD

Ethereum’s posture mirrors Bitcoin’s, and that’s not a compliment. Like BTC, ETH failed to confidently hold above its 2024 range high of $4,090, closing the week with shaky structure.

If ETH weakness continues, we need to be mentally and technically prepared for a deeper retrace.

Key downside levels to watch:

• $3,355 — the August low and first strong support

• $2,874 — the “cycle mid” and worst-case downside target (in my view)

I’m not inherently bearish here, I still prefer to play this level to level, but loss of local structure would trigger a reset of expectations. Conversely, if strength returns, then reclaiming and holding above $4,090 is the only confirmation needed to get bullish again.

ETH/BTC

After weeks of holding at 0.036, the ETH/BTC pair finally gave way last week, breaking down with conviction.

Now trading just above 0.0326, the level last touched during the October 10th market wide flush, ETH/BTC is approaching the bottom of its multi month range. While I’m watching for localized support here, the overall structure remains weak.

The key to watch this week is whether we:

• Bounce from this current low and test the short term downtrend.

• Or break below to form a new lower low, which would further delay ETH season.

Until we reclaim the macro downtrend line, I expect ETH dominance to remain suppressed.

Altcoin Market Outlook

Despite the recent ETH/BTC breakdown, the broader altcoin market remains firmly in the "overtime accumulation window" we've talked about over the last few weeks. That thesis remains intact.

But let me emphasize: the clock is ticking.

While ETH struggles, altcoins still have a unique window to consolidate and reposition, especially after the August-October volatility. I continue to believe that accumulation is the right strategy here, but it must be done selectively. Don't chase. Don’t overexpose. Look for coins with structure and relative strength.

Once ETH/BTC breaks the macro downtrend, the altcoin window will slam shut. At that point, risk/reward compression and volatility will favor already established positions, not late entries.

🤑Airdrop Alpha

Be Early to the Next Gen Perp DEX on Solana

If you missed HyperLiquid, Lighter, Aster and others, this is an opportunity you don't want to miss.

And it's so simple, simply stake your SOL for 7-8% APY with Bulk Trade.

Here's why and how: https://x.com/cruzcontrol660/status/1985639693581709598

LoopScale Launches Vaults for Hylo's hyUSD and xSOL

Just letting hyUSD and xSOL sit idle in the wallet only earns you 5x points (and no yield) and 20x points, respectively.

But if you deposit them into the LoopScale Vaults, you get:

25x (compared to 20x) Hylo Points for xSOL

8x (compared to 5x) Hylo Points + 7% APY for hyUSD

While earning 3x LoopScale points.

Join LoopScale here https://loop.sl/i/UCMS0

Monad Early Reveal is Ongoing

You can now get an early preview into your Monad Airdrop. No changes are allowed after 3 Nov. I am personally seeing issues with the claim wallet (it is showing a random wallet that I don’t recognise) and changes periodically each time I sign in. Hopefully this is just an UI issue and will be fixed and/or will not affect the claim.

If you are experiencing similar issues, you can ask for help in their Discord.

Monad Claim Portal: https://claim.monad.xyz/

100+ Airdrop Opportunities in my Notion Airdrop Tracker: https://bit.ly/droptime

Introducing Pulse the next evolution of InfoFi.
Built by Alphabot, powered by $BOOST.

📰Proof of News

GM, GA, or GN LFG.

Crypto’s been busy, headlines are hitting hard. Don't worry we got you. The market has been brewing, here's what's currently happening:

🪙Bearish or Bullish

Market Overview

The U.S. government remains shut down, with some analysts suggesting it could become the longest closure in U.S. history. On the other side, there’s renewed speculation that with the No Kings protests concluded, Democrats may return to negotiations. If Republicans and Democrats can reach a deal, the Senate could secure the 60-vote threshold needed to reopen government operations as early as this week.

Until then, most economic data produced by agencies like the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) and Census Bureau will remain on pause. That includes CPI, initial jobless claims, and continuing claims. However, independent or semi-autonomous institutions like the Federal Reserve can still release updates. This week, market participants may have to rely on limited releases, such as existing home sales and consumer sentiment data, unless the government reopens mid-week.

BTC/USD

Last week, Bitcoin showed continued weakness, ultimately failing to hold the key $112,000 level highlighted here. This loss led to prices dropping much lower, deviating below both the LD level ($108,000) from last week’s BB levels and the blue band on the 4H FibMA.

Fortunately, BTC managed to reclaim the blue band and close the week above the LD range. This bounce helped reestablish short term support and opens the door for recovery, but price remains below the $112,000 threshold, which will be a critical level to reclaim this week.

As I’ve said before, two conditions would seriously threaten the bull market structure:

1. Breaking and closing below the green band on the 4H FibMA

2. Closing weekly/monthly candles below $100,000

Neither of these have occurred. So long as price holds above the blue band, I believe the structural bull market remains intact with everything "business as usual" buying as price interacts with the blue band.

BTC BB Levels (Bull/Bear)

• HD: $115,311

• H4: $110,763

• BB: $108,683

• L4: $106,615

• LD: $102,077

  ETH/USD

  Ethereum weathered last week’s volatility better than expected. While it did follow BTC in selling off, ETH held a higher low, showing relative strength not putting in a new local low.

  The key now is follow through: Can ETH take out last week’s high at $4,295 and confirm the start of a new short term uptrend?

  For now:

  • $4,090 (2024 range high) Price must get above and hold as support

  • If weakness persists, $3,858 is the next logical level of short term support

  • Closing above the weekly FibMA yellow band (~$4,369) remains a crucial objective for trend continuation

  We continue to monitor these levels closely as ETH attempts to reestablish bullish structure.

  

  ETH/BTC

  ETH/BTC continues to range between 0.036 and 0.04324 as discussed in recent updates. This week opens with ETH/BTC hanging out near the lower bound of that range, following a period of short term downward pressure.

  I recommend watching for:

  • A break of the local short term downtrend

  • A test of the macro descending trendline, which would signal the start of ETH regaining market leadership

  As always, keep an eye on the local low at 0.0326, and the worst case drawdown scenario at 0.03, in the event ETH/BTC weakens further.

  

  Broader Altcoin Market

  The altcoin market remains firmly in the "overtime window" we've discussed for several weeks now. I continue to believe this is a gifted opportunity, an extended period for thoughtful accumulation, especially for those who felt they missed the initial move.

  While no one can say for certain which way markets go from here, our thesis remains intact: the cycle is not over. Multiple metrics support the idea that there is still significant upside potential, particularly in the alt sector.

  That said, the risk curve is shifting. We’re no longer early cycle. I’d caution against taking on unnecessary risk, be selective with your alt positions, manage your sizing, and prepare for increased volatility.

  Above all, continue to monitor ETH/BTC’s macro trendline. I continue to believe that once ETH breaks above that trendline, this “overtime” window closes suddenly, and aggressively. By then, it will be too late to rotate into strong alt positions with favorable risk/reward.

This newsletter is sponsored by Belong.net, the first on-chain affiliate network for venues, paying only for guaranteed results like verified visits and spends, while promoters earn based on actual customer spending, not just posts. With the $LONG token launch on October 29, 2025, join the Belong Pulse Campaign on Alphabot to compete for 1% of $LONG supply before it ends in 15 days. Monetize your influence with $LONG rewards, gasless onboarding, NFT tickets, and community-owned ecosystems.

📰Proof of News

GM, GA, or GN LFG.

Crypto’s been busy, headlines are hitting hard. Don't worry we got you. The market has been brewing, here's what's currently happening:

🪙Bearish or Bullish

The U.S. government remains shut down, with no clear update on when operations may resume. This ongoing closure continues to stall the release of critical economic data, including Unemployment, jobless claims, PPI, retail sales, and more all typically produced by the Bureau of Labor Statistics and the Census Bureau.

For now, the market will need to rely on data from independent or semi autonomous institutions, such as the Fed’s Beige Book and regional manufacturing indexes. Jerome Powell’s upcoming speech may also provide important signals. But broadly, this information vacuum could create a lower liquidity, high volatility backdrop, especially if markets begin pricing in rate path expectations without clear data confirmation.

BTC/USD

Last week’s focus was on BTC’s dramatic surge from $109,000 to a fresh all-time high of $126,272, set on Monday. However, that upside momentum quickly gave way to a violent correction as Friday's price action unfolded. As soon as price lost support at the Yellow Band (on the 4H FibMA, short-term setting), a rapid cascade of liquidations followed, shaking out overleveraged altcoin and BTC longs alike.

Thankfully, the Blue Band on the 4H FibMa, once again acted as strong support. From that key support area, BTC has already bounced nearly +10%.

As of now:

• Pay attention to the weeks BB Level $115,089 whether price is above or below will be critical.

• $112,000 remains a critical local support level should we see price pull back.

• The next local key resistance pocket at $116,800–$117,960 is important to watch.

• Reclaiming this zone opens the door for another test of all time highs and potentially a move into true price discovery.

  

BTC BB Levels (Bull/Bear)

• HD: $122,150

• H4: $117,187

• BB: $115,089

• L4: $112,986

• LD: $108,068

ETH/USD

ETH followed a similar path: initially rallying toward the resistance zone between $4,600–$4,956, then suffering a deeper drawdown than BTC. Notably, ETH failed to hold the Yellow Band on the weekly FibMA (long-term), losing $4,488 support and ultimately registering a ~30% drawdown from the all time high, fully realizing the 25–30% correction window I’d flagged earlier last quarter.

Though I had previously believed the correction was behind us, last week made it clear that markets likely had one last flush of liquidity left. With that behind us, I now believe this correction phase is very likely complete.

For this week:

• $4,090 (2024 range high) must hold as support.

• ETH must regain the weekly Yellow Band ($4,430) to build momentum.

A return to the resistance zone between $4,600–$4,956 remains likely if price holds and structure continues improving.

ETH/BTC

The ETH/BTC pair mirrored ETH/USD, drawing down sharply and printing a local low at 0.0326, avoiding my previously outlined worst case scenario of 0.03. Despite the volatility, ETH/BTC closed the week back inside the previously established range: 0.036–0.04324.

This is a crucial technical save. ETH still has room to range here, but I believe we are getting close to the moment where ETH breaks the macro downtrend against BTC and begins to lead the market once again.

The Broader Alt Market

Altcoins were hit the hardest by last week’s move.

Total3/BTC and Others/BTC each printed fresh cycle lows, finally answering the question we've been asking for months: Was the cycle low in? The answer is now no — it came last week. Both metrics tagged the bottom of their long-standing macro descending channels, structures that have defined this cycle since late 2021/early 2022.

From that bottom:

• Total3/BTC has rebounded ~46%

• Others/BTC has rebounded ~60%

It was a devastating but cleansing flush, and I believe these new cycle lows will hold. Some residual drawdown is possible, but structurally, this looks like the final accumulation shakeout before the next phase.

What comes next?

• Watch for ETH to regain market leadership (likely early November).

• Expect Total3/ETH to backfill the massive wick left last week, meaning alts are likely to greatly underperform ETH for a brief period as it asserts dominance.

• Once ETH season returns in full, that’s when you want to be in strong alt positions, but not chasing.

For now, I continue to believe accumulation season is over. This recent “overtime” window was the last major chance. If you're still building positions, be highly selective, have a clear risk plan, and know that you're likely taking on more risk than those who accumulated lower.

Macro News

As long as the government shutdown continues, we will not see updates from the Bureau of Labor Statistics or the Census Bureau. That includes:

• Initial Jobless Claims

• Continuing Claims

• Retail Sales

• PPI

• Building Permits

We will still get data from:

• The Federal Reserve (e.g., Beige Book)

• Regional Feds (e.g., NY Empire State Manufacturing Index)

• Fed Chair Powell’s remarks on Tuesday

  If the government reopens midweek, expect a flood of delayed data to release within 48 hours, likely triggering sudden volatility.

🤑Airdrop Alpha

Airdrop Updates - Week of 12 Oct

Aster Season 2 Claim is Live, Monad Claims on 14 Oct
The Aster Genesis Campaign Season 2 ended on Oct 5, 2025, and S3 is now in play, with new mechanics including Spot, and multipliers for specific tokens. Sol Decoder has a trading bot to automate Aster farming. Please DM me for details.

A Guide: https://x.com/cruzcontrol660/status/1970845476942655960

HyperSwap Checker is Live

HyperSwap TGE is scheduled for 20 Oct. 

75% of the revenue will be used for buybacks.

You can now check your allocation here:
https://x.com/cruzcontrol660/status/1977600545755119763

HyperLiquid HIP-3 is Live, TradeXYZ is the first live perps market

TradeXYZ is invite only and you need to have $5M trading volume to qualify for closed beta. 

Since it is created by HyperUnit, trading on there could qualify for a $UNIT airdrop!

Fortunately Based App has integrated HIP-3 markets, you can trade $XYZ100 index here:

https://app.based.one/r/CRUZCONTROL

100+ Airdrop Opportunities in my Notion Airdrop Tracker: https://bit.ly/droptime

Brought to you by the cool kids over at Alphabot Premium the premier community for Web3.

📰Proof of News

GM, GA, or GN LFG.

Crypto’s been busy, headlines are hitting hard. Don't worry we got you. The market has been brewing, here's what's currently happening:

🪙Bearish or Bullish

Market Overview

Markets remain in a state of quiet anticipation as the U.S. government shutdown continues into its second week, delaying key labor reports. Outside of the JOLTS report and a weaker than expected ADP print, macro signals have largely gone quiet, and for now, that silence is being interpreted by markets as “no news is good news.”

Despite weak labor signals, equities and crypto are pushing into all-time high territory, reflecting the greedier and more explosive nature of this late-phase cycle. If this is truly the final phase, it could mirror prior cycles as price climbs a wall of worry and transitions into a rocket ride of price discovery. We don’t know how long the fuel will last, but this is historically when things get wild.

BTC/USD

Last week we emphasized the importance of holding $112K and breaking above the key resistance zone between $116,800–$117,960 to open the path toward all time highs and price discovery.

That exact move played out. On Friday, BTC surged to $123,300, and by Sunday, price entered uncharted territory, printing a new local high at $125,725. The weekly close came in strong, marking a 10% gain, and the momentum has carried into this week with BTC setting a fresh ATH at $126,272 (at the time of writing).

With Q4 just beginning, BTC is wasting no time. While a pullback wouldn’t be surprising, price is now comfortably above the 4H FibMa Yellow Band (~$120,764), which will act as key short term support if we retrace.

If the rally accelerates further, the Orange Band (~$134,182) will be the next area to watch for short term exhaustion or cooling.

BTC BB Levels (Bull/Bear)

• HD: $131,036

• H4: $125,628

• BB: $123,519

• L4: $121,433

• LD: $116,050

ETH/USD

ETH mirrored BTC’s strong performance last week, closing up 9%, and has re-entered the critical resistance zone between $4,600–$4,956, the area that must be cleared for new all-time highs and price discovery.

What gives added confidence here is the consolidation structure that formed just beneath this zone, typically a bullish setup when paired with a strong reclaim. If ETH can hold above the Yellow Band (~$4,488) on the weekly FibMa and begin showing sustained separation from it, the next macro target becomes the Orange Band near $7,480.

As mentioned several months ago, I believe ETH will likely find its cycle top near either the Orange Band or Red Band on the weekly FibMa, factoring in diminishing returns and historical extensions.

ETH/BTC

ETH/BTC continues to respect the medium term range between 0.036 and 0.04324, and recent price action suggests we may be approaching the inflection point.

BTC has dominated in recent weeks, but ETH has held its ground well, and I believe we are very close to a macro trend shift. Once ETH breaks its macro downtrend against BTC, I expect it to take back market leadership and reassert ETH Season more definitively.

Broader Altcoin Market

For several weeks, we’ve discussed that Alt coin accumulation is likely over, but with the idea that we were given an “overtime” phase of accumulation for altcoins, a rare opportunity to enter late with decent risk to reward. I now believe that phase is effectively over.

From here, gears need to shift toward defense: focus on breakout trades, take profits aggressively, and manage risk with clear exit plans.

There is still a case to be made for high risk entrants waiting for the ETH/BTC macro downtrend to break before declaring alt season officially on, but that’s a tight window, and trying to time it perfectly adds unnecessary exposure for most participants.

Whether you’re in or on the sidelines, having a strategy matters now more than ever. Entering blindly without structure is a recipe for getting stuck during peak cycle volatility.

Macro News

The ongoing U.S. government shutdown has delayed key labor market reports, including most of last week’s prints aside from ADP (which came in very soft). This week, we expect similar delays depending on how long the shutdown lasts.

That said, the Fed is unaffected by the shutdown, and its guidance will continue as scheduled.

Wednesday

• FOMC Minutes

Thursday

• Initial Jobless Claims

  • Expected: 223K

  • Prior: 218K

• Continuing Claims

  • Expected: 1.93M

  • Prior: 1.926M

• Fed Chair Powell: Welcoming remarks at the Community Bank Conference

  Final Thoughts

  BTC is already in price discovery. ETH is knocking at the door. And altcoins are shifting from accumulation to breakout phase.

  We’re at the part of the cycle where things accelerate quickly. Emotions run high, volatility spikes, and greed begins to overshadow fear. That’s not a red flag, it’s typical. But it’s also when clear headed execution matters most.

  Stay disciplined. Watch your levels. And remember: there’s still time left in this cycle, but we’re in the ENDGAME =]

🤑Airdrop Alpha

Airdrop Updates - Week of 5 Oct

100+ Airdrop Opportunities in my Notion Airdrop Tracker: https://bit.ly/droptime

Aster Season 3

The Aster Genesis Campaign Season 2 ended on Oct 5, 2025, and S3 is now in play, with new mechanics including Spot, and multipliers for specific tokens. Sol Decoder has a trading bot to automate Aster farming. Please DM me for details.

A Guide: https://x.com/cruzcontrol660/status/1970845476942655960

Pacifica Underfarmed?

The TL is all about Aster/Lighter vs HyperLiquid.

These are likely over-farmed🤮

If you're smart, you skate to where the puck is going to be😏

Paficia  is fast approaching the Top 5 in terms of volume 🚀

Check out my reasons on why this is a better farm than Aster and Lighter, as well as an invite link (it’s currently in private beta so invite-only) with 5% points boost:

https://x.com/cruzcontrol660/status/1972945676972814761

Get in Early on Ventuals - PREPARE NOW! 🚨🚨🚨

An airdrop opportunity to get in on the ground floor with your $HYPE 🔥

Deposits open on 16 Oct.

Unstaking cooldown is 7 days, and $kHYPE Points also end on Oct 16

Here’s Why and How: https://x.com/cruzcontrol660/status/1975522340168737193

Brought to you by Pulse the next evolution of InfoFi. Built by Alphabot, powered by $BOOST.

📰Proof of News

GM, GA, or GN LFG.

Crypto’s been busy, headlines are hitting hard. Don't worry we got you. The market has been brewing, here's what's currently happening:

🪙Bearish or Bullish

With August officially closing red for BTC, my lean has shifted toward the seasonal correction being pulled forward. This means the bulk of the correction may already be behind us, or is at least nearing its end. If this proves true, I expect September to now close green, contrary to what I had previously projected.

As of now, we are in the zone where BTC has historically begun recovering after prior cycle corrections. And while some downside potential still remains in line with average drawdowns, structural strength continues to persist, particularly at the 4hr FibMa Blue Band, which has proven reliable throughout this cycle.

BTC/USD

A few weeks ago I noted that the Blue Band on the 4hr FibMa would be a key zone to monitor. So far, that has proven accurate. Price continues to hold the Blue Band as support, making this one of the more reliable signals of accumulation during this bull cycle.

Context:

• In the 9 times BTC has tested the Blue Band this cycle, 5 instances were short-lived with swift recovery following.

• That context adds strength to the argument that this is a key area to defend, especially with current price structure aligning to historical corrective behavior.

Key Levels I’m Watching:

• Short Term Uptrend: Still intact. However, any signs of weakness could signal a short lived revisit to the lower band or even 100k, if the average drawdown fully plays out.

• $112K: This remains the critical pivot. Holding this opens the door for a reclaim of the prior trading range.

• Cycle Correction Context: Prior corrections have averaged ~20%. So far, this pullback has only reached 13.5%. If a full 20% correction plays out, BTC could retest the $100K–$103K range. That said, price would still be well within bullish structure.

At the moment, momentum remains constructive unless price fails to hold $111K–$109K and breaks the short-term uptrend.

BTC Bull/Bear Levels:

• HD: $118,377

• H4: $113,107

• BB: $111,144

• L4: $109,183

• LD: $103,953

ETH/USD

ETH remains in a strong posture, consolidating within a defined structure between $4,900 and $4,090. Local support around $4,220 is currently being defended, and so far price has maintained composure despite BTC’s corrective behavior.

While it’s still ETH Season, this month tends to favor BTC strength, which means we should expect ETH to either consolidate or lose short term ground.

That said, ETH remains structurally bullish and could easily play catch-up once BTC finishes reclaiming lost dominance. We must still acknowledge that if BTC completes a full cycle correction, ETH could experience a 25–30% pullback from its recent ATH, a possibility that should not be ignored.

Base Case: BTC likely leads for the next 2–4 weeks before ETH reclaims its leader role, resuming full-blown ETH Season.

ETH/BTC

ETH/BTC continues to consolidate and build strength under resistance. The macro downtrend was tested a couple weeks ago, and the prior high at 0.04324 remains the critical level to watch.

A break of this level would almost certainly initiate the next major expansion phase for ETH/BTC, and potentially spark broader altcoin rotation as well.

Until then, ETH/BTC will likely remain rangebound, especially if BTC continues to lead the market recovery in the short term.

Altcoin Market 

Across the board, altcoin pairs are testing local highs against BTC and showing signs of life. However, I believe BTC is preparing to reclaim some ground, meaning any strength from altcoins could be short-lived in the near term.

Key observations:

• BTC Dominance is positioned to make another run at 60%.

  • If it does, it could either confirm the cycle high is in (and this is a dead cat bounce), or it could be one final expansion leg for BTC before a broader alt rally resumes.

• If BTC consolidates its gains while ETH and alts stabilize, September could be the last real accumulation window for high conviction alt positions.

• Total3/ETH remains in a downtrend, but we are seeing signs of potential inflection. If alts are going to make a relative move, this is likely the short window for it to happen before ETH kicks into higher gear and resumes dominance.  

  Final Thought: Regardless of how this short term plays out, I continue to believe the window to finish building alt positions is closing. Once the current correction is fully resolved, it’s time to let positions ride into the final phase of the bull market.

  

  Macro & Market News to Watch

  Tuesday

  • Non-Farm Payrolls (Annual Revision): Prior -818K

  Thursday

  • Continuing Jobless Claims: Expected 1.942M (Prior 1.940M)

  • Initial Jobless Claims: Expected 240K (Prior 237K)

  • CPI YoY: Expected 2.9% (Prior 2.7%)

  • Core Inflation Rate YoY: Expected 3.1% (Prior 3.1%)

🤑Airdrop Alpha

Airdrop Updates - Week of 7 Sep

Hylo’s LST offers the easiest way to earn points
$hyloSOL

LST with staking yield of 7-10% APY (currently 6.75%, higher than jitoSOL) and earns 1x points. This is a no brainer to me

$hyloSOL+

If you are bullish Hylo Points, give up the staking yield to earn 5x points. The yield will be used to bootstrap their validator

Use my ref link for 5% XP Boost:

https://hylo.so/leverage?ref=XNDJ9K

SwitchBoard Airdrops on 9 Sep

If you made deposits in Kamino, MarginFi or any DeFi protocols on Solana that uses SwitchBoard as the oracle, you would have earned Orbs in the background and eligible for the $SWTCH airdrop, check here: https://claim.switchboard.foundation/

If you restaked $SOL with Fragmetric, you are eligible separately and should claim here:
https://app.fragmetric.xyz/rewards/staking/

Linea TGE on 10 Sep

Claims go live on 10 Sep 12 pm UTC. Looking to jeet your $LINEA airdrop instantly at claim? 

720K wallet addresses are eligible for the airdrop. The claim site might crash as everyone rushes to claim at the same time. 

How to skip the claim page altogether by claiming directly from smart contract:

1. Go to the contract page: https://lineascan.build/address/0x87baa1694381ae3ecae2660d97fe60404080eb64

2. Open the “Contract” tab.

3. Click “Write Contract.”

4. Connect your wallet.

5. Find and click the “Claim” function.

6. Click “Write.”

7. Confirm the transaction in your wallet popup.
   
   100+ Airdrop Opportunities in my Notion Airdrop Tracker: https://bit.ly/droptime

This newsletter is proudly sponsored by Boost… Fueling the future of brand-to-community engagement globally..
Are You Ready? ⚡️

📰Proof of News

GM, GA, or GN LFG.

Crypto’s been busy, headlines are hitting hard. Don't worry we got you. The market has been brewing, here's what's currently happening:

🤑Airdrop Alpha

Airdrop Updates - Week of 31 Aug

Leverage $SOL without the fuss and ongoing costs

Make outsized returns on your $SOL with RateX and Hylo, while not having to worry about liquidation risk or high funding rates, while earning points for 2 airdrops in 1 go 🔥

Here is a step by step guide:

https://x.com/cruzcontrol660/status/1960895517157941315

Get Paid to Borrow with Jupiter Lend, OnRe and LoopScale

Jupiter Lend is out of private beta, and has now grown to ~$1B in market size within just weeks.

They also launched with $2M in incentives.

Here’s a step by step guide on how to take advantage of that to get close to 10% APY on your $SOL while netting 20%+ APY on stables borrowed against the deposited $SOL, while earning multiple airdrop points:

https://x.com/cruzcontrol660/status/1963151792361156904

Linea getting ready for TGE

If you participated in the Linea campaigns and/or The Surge, check your wallets for SBEs (soul bound tokens) such as LXP-L and LAM (Linea Activity Multiplier).

Multiple platforms including HyperLiquid have launched pre-market perps on $LINEA already so TGE has to be close.

No official checker yet, but here’s my 2 cents on the SBEs:

https://x.com/cruzcontrol660/status/1961410328123814199

100+ Airdrop Opportunities in my Notion Airdrop Tracker: https://bit.ly/droptime

Introducing Pulse the next evolution of InfoFi. Built by Alphabot, powered by $BOOST.

📰Proof of News

GM, GA, or GN LFG.

Crypto’s been busy, headlines are hitting hard. Don't worry we got you. The market has been brewing, here's what's currently happening:

🪙Bearish or Bullish

BTC/USD

Bitcoin began last week on a high note, setting a fresh all-time high of $124,500 before giving back some of those gains in a moderate but notable pullback. We’re now watching closely as BTC tests the same downtrend line it broke out from on August 10th, a classic “throwback” move that deserves attention.

The key level now is the $114,700 low established during that breakout retest. If bulls want to maintain control of the broader uptrend, this level needs to hold. At the same time, we’re keeping an eye on the Yellow band (~$118,084) on the 4-hour FibMa. BTC recently lost this dynamic support, and while it shifts slightly every 4 hours, reclaiming it before the month ends would restore short-term bullish confidence heading into September.

BTC Bull/Bear Levels:

• HD: $125,234

• H4: $119,600

• BB: $117,490

• L4: $115,414

• LD: $109,766

With price hovering between the BB and L4 levels, structure remains intact for now, but it is critical that support holds this week. A failure to defend these areas could lead to a more accelerated correction, particularly if macro volatility increases.

ETH/USD

ETH continues to show its strength as Ethereum Season remains in full swing. While the broader market cooled off, ETH stayed elevated and even came within $80 of its previous all-time high last week.

Despite the pullback seen across the crypto landscape, ETH still closed the week up +5.24%, reinforcing the narrative that ETH remains the primary beneficiary of capital rotation within crypto at this stage of the cycle.

I continue to expect a new ETH all time high before the end of August. While September could bring a broader seasonal market pullback, I believe ETH will likely remain resilient, outperforming most of the market even if momentum slows briefly.

ETH/BTC

ETH also continues to outperform BTC directly. Last week, ETH/BTC came within striking distance of 0.04, a major resistance level and an important psychological milestone.

If ETH can confidently break through and close above this level, it would mark a significant shift in market structure, effectively ending the macro downtrend ETH has been in since late 2022.

My outlook remains that ETH/BTC will finish August on a strong note, but I do anticipate a potential consolidation phase in September, where the pair trades sideways before making its next move higher.

BTC Dominance & the Broader Alt Market

BTC Dominance

Bitcoin dominance continued its pullback last week, now sitting under the 60% threshold. While this suggests a growing appetite for altcoins, the story isn’t so simple. The majority of that capital rotation is mostly into ETH, not the broader altcoin market.

Total3/BTC and Others/BTC

Looking across the broader alt market, we still see unresolved structure.

• Total3/BTC remains stuck beneath the 2023 cycle low and has failed to convincingly flip it into support.

• Others/BTC is still more than 20% away from even retesting its 2023 low.

There was some minor upside last week, but nothing that convincingly signals a trend reversal. Structure remains range-bound and unconfirmed.

If we do see a seasonal pullback in September as expected, I believe these current alt/BTC cycle lows are at risk of being tested again. That’s when we can more confidently evaluate whether a true cycle low has formed for the broader alt market.

Total3/ETH

Against ETH, the broader altcoin market continues to trend down, as capital consolidates around Ethereum. While a short-term bounce in alts versus ETH is possible before the end of August, I still expect the downtrend in Total3/ETH to continue until we approach a more definitive bottom in September or October.

In short, ETH season is still warming up, and the rest of the alt market is lagging behind.

Macro & Market News to Watch

We’re heading into a crucial week for economic signals. The Jackson Hole Symposium begins, with all eyes on Fed Chair Powell’s Friday speech, which could heavily influence risk sentiment moving forward.

Key Economic Events:

• Wednesday

  • FOMC Minutes

  • Jackson Hole Symposium begins

• Thursday

  • Initial Jobless Claims: 226k expected, 224k prior

  • Continuing Jobless Claims: 1.960M expected, 1.953M prior

• Friday

  • Powell speaks at Jackson Hole

    Recent jobless data has been creeping higher. With continuing claims hitting multi-year highs, there’s growing pressure on the Fed to signal a policy shift.

    If Powell hints at potential easing, or even emergency cuts, that could be the catalyst for renewed upside heading into Q4.

    Final Thoughts

    We’re in a unique phase of the cycle where ETH is showing consistent leadership, but the broader altcoin market has not yet confirmed a sustainable reversal. This presents both opportunity and risk.

    During this stage of ETH dominance, it’s important to be selective. This is the time to begin building alt positions gradually, while still leaving room for a potential September dip.
    

    Once ETH season comes to a close and alt season truly begins, it will likely be too late to chase the best opportunities. The groundwork for the true alt season is here.

🤑Airdrop Alpha

Airdrop Updates - Week of 17 Aug
100+ Airdrop Opportunities in my Notion Airdrop Tracker: https://bit.ly/droptime

Claims for HyperLane Open on 18 Aug

If you qualified for HyperLane rewards (due to usage of related protocols and staking), and also pre-registered before the deadline, you will be able to claim them starting 18 Aug until 1 Sep. Unclaimed tokens will go back to the treasury.

The token was up big recently due to listings on Korean exchanges, so expect profit taking. Another option is to stake the tokens for future rewards.

Claim here: http://claim.hyperlane.foundation

2-in-1 Airdrop with Moby Screener

If you are trading memecoins on Solana, Moby Screener is an indispensable tool. 

They revamped their swaps last month to using Jupiter Ultra in the backend for the best rates.

You hit 2-in-1 airdrop in one go, so start using $MOBY for your research and swaps here:

https://mobyscreener.com/?ref=cruzcontrol

Huma Finance Pre-Sale Vesting Ends on 25 Aug

People who bought into the $HUMA Pre-sale are eating big time. Sold at $75M, pre-sale participants are up 500% despite recent market volatility.

The vesting for the Pre-Sale ends on 25 Aug so expect some selling pressure, which is why you might want to stake $HUMA for these benefits:

• Feather boosts for Classic & Maxi (end of S1 is around the corner)

• Vanguard badge

• Potential Kaito rewards

• Partner perks

📜Crypto Culture

Crypto Culture Weekly: Niche Fandom Tokens, DeFi Safe Harbor, Trump’s Asian Bitcoin Push & Terraform Labs Fallout

Here are the four standout stories from the past week in crypto culture:

1. Animecoin Taps Into Fandom Ecosystems

GameSquare, a Texas-based esports and tech firm, has been appointed the agency of record for Animecoin—a blockchain project tailored to anime enthusiasts. The initiative includes plans for an anime-themed platform, blockchain, and avatar system. By leveraging fandom-based communities like Millennials, Gen Z, and Gen Alpha, Animecoin aims to offer fast, low-intermediary value exchange, though experts caution about volatility tied to hype‑driven assets. 

2. Industry Pushes for Regulatory Clarity in DeFi

The DeFi Education Fund and a16z Crypto have jointly proposed a “safe harbor” for non-custodial blockchain applications to the U.S. SEC. These apps must meet strict criteria—no asset custody, no discretion, no solicitation, and immutable code—to qualify. The proposal distinguishes decentralized interfaces from traditional brokers, potentially setting a precedent for regulation that nurtures innovation while reducing risk. 

3. Trump-Backed Mining Firm Pursues Bitcoin Expansion in Asia

American Bitcoin, a crypto mining company backed by Donald Jr. and Eric Trump, is exploring acquisitions in Japan and Hong Kong to establish a strategic Bitcoin reserve. The entity plans to go public via a reverse merger in September and models its strategy on Bitcoin‑accumulating firms like Michael Saylor’s. This marks a significant international expansion for politically linked crypto ventures. 

4. Terraform Labs Founder Faces U.S. Fraud Charges

Do Kwon, founder of Terraform Labs, has been hit with fraud charges in the United States over the dramatic collapse of TerraUSD and Luna, which lost approximately $40 billion in value in 2022. Reports suggest he is expected to plead guilty—a development that underscores persistent risks around transparency, governance, and accountability in crypto projects. 

Introducing Pulse the next evolution of InfoFi. Built by Alphabot, powered by $BOOST.

📰Proof of News

GM, GA, or GN LFG.

Crypto’s been busy, headlines are hitting hard. Don't worry we got you. The market has been brewing, here's what's currently happening:

🐸Memecoin Momentum

It’s been a rough stretch in the trenches lately. Over the past two weeks, the market has felt more like a battleground than a bull run, with launchpads locked in constant PVP and very few real winners emerging. We’ve seen the same tokens recycled across multiple platforms, giving traders déjà vu rather than fresh opportunities. And while a handful of coins have managed to pump, the overall outcome has been far from favorable for most — with more frustration than gains to show for it.

In other news, things got spicy last week with rumors flying about the Bonk crew allegedly snatching up old IPs and reviving dead memecoins for quick flips. Not exactly a clean look if true. The heat really turned up when they got called out over the $Useless token — and sure enough, wallets tied to the team started slowly dumping. $Useless hit an ATH of $415M, but after a hard retrace to around $190M, it's now chilling at $217M. Nothing’s been confirmed yet, so it’s all still in rumor territory… but if the Bonk team is behind the pump-and-dump plays, it’s a major red flag for everything in their ecosystem.

So yeah, it’s been chaotic in the trenches — launchpads swinging at each other, recycled tokens flying left and right, and rumors swirling around the Bonk team like wildfire. The $Useless drama definitely shook some confidence, especially with that shady-looking dump after hitting $415M. Whether the rumors are real or not, it’s clear the vibes in the trenches aren’t what they used to be.

Still, a few random tokens managed to cut through the noise. We saw wild moves from plays like $URANUS, $SPARK, $TOKABU, and $CLIPPY — pure degen energy. And somehow, $FARTCOIN is still holding it down, with one wallet throwing down $100K in buys over 18 hours, averaging a clean $45/min. Absolute madness. Even Pump is showing signs of life again — crawling back to a 1% graduation rate after weeks in the gutter. It’s not amazing, but hey, at least we’re not flatlining anymore.

In summary, the trenches have launchpads going head-to-head, the same tokens getting dropped everywhere, and only a few random plays actually taking off. It’s been tough to catch a clean win, and let’s be real — most traders have been left holding bags instead of profits. Vibes are weird, but the grind doesn’t stop. The market might still be messy, but if you're paying attention, there’s still action to catch. Stay sharp out there.

Brought to you by the cool kids over at Boost… Fueling the future of brand-to-community engagement, globally.

📰Proof of News

GM, GA, or GN LFG.

Crypto’s been busy, headlines are hitting hard. Don't worry we got you. The market has been brewing, here's what's currently happening:

🪙Bearish or Bullish

BTC/USD

Last week, BTC found support at the Yellow Band on the 4hr FibMa. Starting this week, price is showing some weakness above $115K, but as long as BTC holds the weekly open at $114,245, a recovery from last week’s sell off remains likely.

BTC BB Levels

• HD: $121,837

• H4: $116,269

• BB: $114,245

• L4: $112,200

• LD: $106,646

Key Watch: Maintaining the weekly open and holding above L4 is critical. A break below could lead to testing deeper support near the LD.

ETH/USD

ETH continues to show relative strength. As long as last week’s low holds, I believe price will soon test the 2024 range highs.

ETH/BTC

Starting the week back above the 2024 low (0.0319), I want to see ETH move higher to confidently reclaim the 2024 range, which would solidify momentum for ETH season.

Alt Market Outlook

The broader alt market is at a critical inflection point:

• Either it begins forming a higher low against BTC,

• Or the downtrend continues, retesting and potentially breaking cycle lows.

Key Ratios to Monitor:

• Total3/BTC - Watching for a higher low or a breakdown continuation

• Others/BTC - Still lagging, vulnerable to further downside

• Total3/ETH - ETH season is here; broader alts continue to underperform against ETH

BTC Dominance - Holding the lower bound of the cycle’s ascending channel.
ETH Dominance - Likely to continue rising toward 14.5% over the next couple months as ETH season strengthens.

Macro and Market News

Labor market data remains front and center:

• Continuing Jobless Claims recently broke into multi-year highs, raising concerns about post layoff re-employment rates.

• Persistent elevation here could increase calls for emergency Fed rate cuts.

This Week’s Key Data:

• Thursday:

  • Continuing Jobless Claims - Expected 1.947M (Prior 1.946M)

  • Initial Jobless Claims - Expected 220K (Prior 218K)

Final Thoughts

We are in the early stages of ETH season, while the broader alt market continues to lag.

This phase requires patience and precision:

Focus on high-conviction alt positions during ETH strength

Leave room for potential downside or shakeouts before Alt Season truly arrives

In my view, by the time ETH season winds down and Alt Season begins in full force (potentially Sept/Oct), it will be too late to chase the alt market. This is the period to accumulate selectively, not FOMO.

🤑Airdrop Alpha

Airdrop Updates - Week of 3rd August

Pre-Claims for HyperLane Q2 Rewards Open

Pre-Claims for Expansion Rewards Q2 are now open for the next 2 weeks:

July 28th: Pre-claims open for 2 weeks.

August 18th: Claims open for 2 weeks.

Staking + validator claims also begin August 18th.

Unclaimed allocations will be rolled into future reward distributions.

Register here: http://claim.hyperlane.foundation

Liminal Money Epoch 1 Begins

TVL of Liminal has seen steady and massive growth, now sitting at $70M+

There has been major changes that drove this growth:

• A full referral program that has revenue sharing. You can support me here: https://liminal.money/join/CRUZCONTROL

• Introduces up to 2x leverage on BTC, ETH and HYPE so you can earn an even higher APY. You can now activate this with a click of a button

If you use Unit Assets (BTC, ETH, SOL, PUMP or FARTCOIN), you are generating volume for both HyperCore and HyperUnit which could qualify you both the HyperUnit and HyperLiquid airdrops

Kinetiq now has $750M TVL

The growth of Kinetiq, the premier liquid staking protocol on HyperEVM, has been ridiculous. Within 24 hours of launch, Kinetiq amassed over $400 million in TVL, making it the second-largest DeFi project on HyperEVM. It then surpassed $500M TVL just 4 days later on July 20, and currently sitting at $750M TVL, likely to surpass $1B TVL very soon.

A good way to lego this would be:

1. Stake HYPE for kHYPE at: https://kinetiq.xyz/khype

2. Borrow stables against kHYPE at Felix Protocol (or other lending protocol of your choice that has liquidity): https://usefelix.xyz/?ref=6D1FC14C

3. Deposit stables into Liminal: https://liminal.money/join/CRUZCONTROL

4. Adjust your positions weekly by monitoring funding rates to generate volume on both HyperLiquid and HyperUnit assets.

100+ Airdrop Opportunities in my Notion Airdrop Tracker: https://bit.ly/droptime

📜Crypto Culture

Crypto Culture Weekly: Institutional Adoption, AI Meme Coins, and National Crypto Strategy

This week, crypto culture took center stage as institutions deepened their engagement with digital assets. Michael Saylor’s approach has spurred a wave of public companies issuing bonds or equity specifically to acquire cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum. These moves aim to differentiate firms in crowded markets—but critics warn they carry the risk of crypto-driven volatility translating into corporate financial distress  .

Simultaneously, altcoin season is gaining momentum, with Ethereum surging over 25% and outperforming Bitcoin. Institutional demand—evidenced by spot ETH ETFs drawing $602 million in inflows in a single day—has bolstered gains for Solana (up ~9%) and XRP (up ~27%), underscoring shifting investor appetite toward higher-beta crypto assets  .

In the meme coin space, AI-powered tokens are rewriting the rules. Projects like Pepeto, which raised over $5.7 million during presale, represent a new breed of memecoins built on innovative mechanics rather than pure hype. Investors are increasingly attracted to tokens that offer utility, analytics, and community governance instead of internet jokes alone .

Globally, national crypto strategies are evolving. Pakistan launched its first government-backed Strategic Bitcoin Reserve and formed a Crypto Council led by Bilal Bin Saqib with advice from Binance co-founder Changpeng Zhao. These initiatives position Pakistan as a forthcoming regulatory and innovation hub in South Asia, with around 40 million crypto users and a $300 billion annual trading volume .

Brought to you by the cool kids over at Alphabot Premium the premier community for Web3.

📰Proof of News

GM, GA, or GN LFG.

Crypto’s been busy, headlines are hitting hard. Don't worry we got you. The market has been brewing, here's what's currently happening:

🪙Bearish or Bullish

BTC/USD

Bitcoin continues to consolidate between the Yellow and Orange bands on the 4-hour FibMa, with price currently positioned mid-range. This type of compression often precedes a volatility spike, so the focus this week is on targeted local levels for support and resistance, as we anticipate either band being tested soon.

In the short term, we’re tracking a local descending trend. A break above it could mark a shift toward bullish continuation, while further weakness would put emphasis on watching for support around the L4 and LD BB levels.

BTC BB Levels (Bull/Bear)

• HD: $125,183

• H4: $119,583

• BB: $117,220

• L4: $115,110

• LD: $109,494

  If weakness persists this week, watch the L4 & LD zone closely for signs of buyer defense. A move above $119.5k and the descending channel would open the door for another attempt at higher levels.

  

  ETH/USD

  Ethereum continues to perform strongly after reclaiming the weekly FibMa Blue band, a level we’ve long viewed as a key signal for the end of accumulation this cycle. Since that breakout, ETH has sustained momentum and is now approaching the 2024 range high ($4,090), a structurally significant level that may act as a temporary pause or resistance zone.

  We’re entering a phase where pullbacks into support could offer higher probability long setups, but upside may briefly stall near resistance until more confirmation builds.

  

  ETH/BTC

  ETH/BTC posted an explosive 28.33% rally last week, launching price directly into a key resistance level at 0.03191. This level now becomes the next major battleground. A clean breakout here would solidify ETH leadership in this cycle phase.

  While short-term cooling is possible at resistance, I still expect ETH to outperform BTC over the coming months. ETH Season is likely in full swing, even if we see brief pauses along the way.

  BTC Dominance + Broader Alt Market (Total3/BTC, Others/BTC, Total3/ETH)

  Last week, BTC Dominance saw a sharp drop, bringing it to the lower bound of its long-term ascending channel. This move appears to be largely driven by ETH’s rising dominance, which has begun pushing higher from its multi-month range lows.

  At the same time, the broader alt market (Total3/BTC, Others/BTC) experienced strong rallies against BTC. But when measured against ETH (Total3/ETH), the picture changes: ETH is currently dominating the altcoin landscape.

  This divergence signals the early phases of ETH Season. Many alts may continue to rally against BTC, but outperformance vs ETH remains unlikely during this phase. True Alt Season, where alts outperform both BTC and ETH, is likely a few months away, potentially aligning with a September/October monetary policy shift.

  For now, expect rotational opportunities, but broad outperformance across alts likely requires looser monetary policy.

  

  Market News Events to Watch

  Wednesday

  • Existing Home Sales MoM: Expected -0.7% | Prior 0.8%

  Thursday

  • Initial Jobless Claims: Expected 228k | Prior 221k

  • New Home Sales MoM: Expected 10% | Prior -13.7%

  Friday

  • Durable Goods Orders ex-Defense MoM: Expected -6% | Prior 15.5%

  If data aligns with expectations and avoids negative surprises, expect risk-on continuation. But if numbers miss, markets may take a defensive stance as we head into August.

  Final Thoughts

  Markets are clearly transitioning into a new phase of the cycle. BTC remains consolidative, ETH is asserting strength, and ETH dominance is starting to shift the broader structure. While altcoins are bouncing, the smart rotation appears to be into ETH, not the broader alt market… YET.

🐸Memecoin Momentum

AHHHHH THE EUPHORIA!! IS IT REAL? IS IT HERE TO STAY? My answers are simple….. who cares enjoy the moment!!

Trenches haven’t looked this good in months. As previously stated, mid to long term convictions in bags was the play all along. Did you believe anon? Or did you sell the bottom?

It feels like tokens are coming back from the dead, but they’ve always been around. Community tokens are all but a real thing, and the communities that survived the brutal months are now thriving.

$PYTHIA, is one great example. The token is melting faces as it rips past 100m MC. All the non believers, are now in disbelief that a token based for real science and tech is thriving.

$UFD is another community token that made an amazing comeback. Currently sitting around 40-43M MC, it shows signs of new life. Ron is the first creator based token that took CT by storm, and he hasn’t stopped regardless of the bear market. It’s good to see him winning in this market.

Other community tokens like, $MOG, $PEPE, $FARTCOIN are also in the race, giving their holders major returns after significant increases in their MC.

In other trench news, Mobyscreener.com, a replacement for dexscreener, is gaining more and more active users. FINALLY SOMETHING IS HERE TO REPLACE DEX!! As an avid trencher, I couldn’t be happier. Asset Dash has hinted rewards for using this platform. So looks like MobyScreener could be the next big thing. If you haven’t heard of asset dash, and their tools…. Are you really trenching?

$PUMP token did exactly what every TGE does. So not going to talk too much about it. It got launched, it tanked, and now we move on… will there be an airdrop? No clue… hopefully people still invested get a win out of this one.

🤑Airdrop Alpha

Meteora Announces Snapshot
The long-awaited Meteora airdrop is finally on the way, as the team made major announcements regarding snapshot and future seasons.

Let's dive into the details and my thoughts around the imminent TGE:
https://x.com/cruzcontrol660/status/1946222858839130556

$PUMP Airdrop Soon?

Wild circulation of rumors around CT that $PUMP might airdrop on 24 July, after co-founder a1lon9 posted an image of 31 pills, which many took as a cryptic hint towards a 24 Jul airdrop date.

This is just a rumor, but it seems markets are reacting to this, as the FDV of $PUMP is trading below the ICO FDV of $4B, as their market share continue to slide against Bonk Fun.

Personally, I have been highly skeptical of the $PUMP ICO and launch, which you can read more here:
https://x.com/cruzcontrol660/status/1946472821963784377

$BONK Spot coming soon to HyperLiquid?

The ticker $uBONK was purchased by HyperUnit for 858 $HYPE (~$38K) via HyperLiquid ticker auctions. Is $BONK coming to HyperLiquid Spot soon?

If so, it will be a good opportunity to farm HyperUnit by depositing $BONK on HyperLiquid or better yet, farm Liminal Money as a 2-in-1 and earn real yield from funding rates when $BONK is added.

100+ Airdrop Opportunities in my Notion Airdrop Tracker: https://bit.ly/droptime

Brought to you by Boost…Fueling the future of brand-to-community engagement, globally.

📰Proof of News

GM, GA, or GN LFG.

Crypto’s been busy, headlines are hitting hard. Don't worry we got you. The market has been brewing, here's what's currently happening:

🪙Bearish or Bullish

BTC/USD

Bitcoin kicked off the week by extending into price discovery, briefly tapping the Orange band (~$123,700) on the 4H FibMa before facing resistance. This kind of reaction, testing prior breakout levels, is to be expected after major expansions, and backtests are often constructive.

As the week continues, the key pivot will be the weekly open and BB level (~$119,140). If BTC can hold this region as support, it may fuel another leg higher. However, if price dips below, watch for a reclaim and hold to serve as renewed confirmation for bullish continuation.

Remember: as price climbs through higher bands, risk increases. These bands help contextualize volatility and where we are in the current cycle.

BTC Bull/Bear Levels

• HD: $127,135

• H4: $121,437

• BB (Weekly Open): $119,140

• L4: $116,849

• LD: $111,160

  

  ETH/USD

  After months of range bound movement and hovering below key structural resistance, ETH has officially closed above the Blue band on the weekly FibMa, a level we’ve long viewed as the trigger for ending the accumulation phase of this cycle.

  From here, a backtest of the Blue band in the coming weeks/months would not be surprising. If that test holds, it may present one final major buying opportunity, a “cycle gift” for those who missed the lows. Structurally and historically, this sets the stage for ETH to enter a leadership role in the next phase of the market.

  

  ETH/BTC

  The last component needed for ETH Season to truly begin is a breakout in ETH/BTC. For now, ETH continues to consolidate in the 0.026–0.02245 range, managing to keep pace with BTC as it continues its price discovery.

  A breakout above this range, particularly above 0.026, would mark the start of ETH's outperformance relative to BTC. Until then, ETH is strong and stable, but not yet leading.

  BTC Dominance + Broader Alt Market

  Despite BTC printing new ATHs this past week, BTC Dominance saw a modest pullback, as capital rotated into select altcoins. This isn’t unexpected and may represent a local lower high for alts—or conversely, a higher low for BTC Dominance.

  My base case remains: BTC Dominance will likely continue trending higher until either or both:

  1. A clear ETH/BTC breakout occurs

  2. The Fed signals the end of QT (most likely in or after September)

  Total3/BTC + Others/BTC

  • The broader altcoin market remains near cycle lows against BTC.

  • While recent gains are encouraging, two key conditions are still unmet before a true alt season can begin:

    1. Monetary policy must pivot (i.e. QT ends, rate cuts begin)

    2. ETH must begin outperforming BTC consistently

  Until then, alts are still likely to underperform, particularly as both BTC and ETH move into more dominant roles.

  

  Macro + Market News to Watch

  Tuesday – Major Inflation Print

  • CPI (YoY, June): Expected 2.6% | Prior 2.4%

  • Core CPI (YoY): Expected 3.0% | Prior 2.8%

  Wednesday

  • PPI (MoM, June): Expected 0.2% | Prior 0.1%

  Thursday

  • Initial Jobless Claims: Expected 234K | Prior 227K

  Friday

  • Retail Sales (MoM, June): Expected 0.1% | Prior -0.9%

🤑Airdrop Alpha

Liminal Money Adds $PUMP
The $PUMP launch was all over the timeline in the past week. Shortly following the $PUMP TGE, Liminal Money announced that they’ve added support for $PUMP:
https://x.com/cruzcontrol660/status/1944830340180402659

This is a welcome addition as the funding rates of $PUMP on Hyperliquid has been insane at 200-300% APY as the bulls are paying very high fees to the shorts to speculate on the price of the token. The CAP was set at $5M and this was filled within 15 mins, but they seem to have plans to increase the cap:
https://x.com/InternLiminal/status/1944831719296696369

If you want in, be sure to pay attention to the announcements or the Liminal dashboard!

WalletConnect $WCT Airdrop Claimable

WalletConnect’s token $WCT launches on Solana, and is now claimable via:
https://solana.walletconnect.network/

If you are a $JUP staker and have voted on all proposals, then you are eligible. There are other ways to be eligible such as Solana Seeker buyers, Phantom users, and Backpack traders. Full list of eligibility is available here: https://x.com/WalletConnect/status/1942592359608508544

Get Ready for kHYPE

Kinetiq is the institutional-grade liquid staking protocol on HyperLiquid that is set to launch on HyperEVM Mainnet on 15 July.

Many $HYPE whales are unstaking their natively staked $HYPE on HyperCore to jump onto their liquid staking solution when it launches.

Many popular protocols such as Felix, HyperLend and HyperSwap have announced they will be supporting Kinetiq’s LST, $kHYPE, on Day 1.

This could be a good protocol to farm points by making use of its LST $kHYPE to lego farm, such as: Lend $kHYPE, borrow stables, and deposit onto Liminal Money to earn funding fees.

Official announcement here:
https://x.com/kinetiq_xyz/status/1942228150278086842

100+ Airdrop Opportunities in my Notion Airdrop Tracker: https://bit.ly/droptime

Brought to you by the cool kids over at Alphabot Premium the premier community for Web3.

📰Proof of News

GM, GA, or GN LFG.

Crypto’s been busy, headlines are hitting hard. Don't worry we got you. The market has been brewing, here's what's currently happening:

🪙Bearish or Bullish

BTC/USD

Bitcoin continues to trade below the Yellow band on the 4H FibMA for the 18th consecutive day. This band, along with the $110,500 level, remains the key resistance to clear in order to make another attempt at the all time high (ATH).

Should bullish momentum fail and we see a deeper pullback, the Blue band would likely present a compelling buying opportunity. Until then, I’m watching how price interacts with the downtrend and key support zones, especially around the L4 level ($107,156). Gaining acceptance below that level could signal near-term weakness.

BTC BB Levels (Bull/Bear)

• HD: $116,575

• H4: $111,330

• BB: $109,231

• L4: $107,156

• LD: $101,959

  

  ETH/USD

  Short Term:
  ETH remains trapped within the same familiar range between $2,325–$2,740. We're still waiting for a clean breakout on either side to provide short-term directional clarity.

  

  Long Term:
  Price continues to trade below the Blue band on the weekly FibMA. Historically, this zone has marked some of the strongest risk/reward accumulation opportunities for ETH. I continue to believe that ETH season is likely to begin once this band is reclaimed on a weekly close.

  ETH/BTC

  No major changes yet. ETH/BTC continues to consolidate between 0.0225–0.026. If this range holds, ETH is likely positioning for outperforming BTC in the next phase of the cycle. However, should 0.0225 break, expect a retest of the cycle lows before a larger structural shift.

  BTC Dominance & the Broader Alt Market

  My view remains unchanged here. The BTC Dominance uptrend is still intact, and I expect it to persist until a significant monetary policy shift, likely September, unless we see a meaningful breakdown in the trend beforehand.

  Both Total3/BTC and Others/BTC remain near their cycle lows, highlighting continued risk aversion and underperformance in altcoins. As long as policy remains restrictive, capitulation or deeper retests are possible for the broader alt market.

  

  Market News to Watch

  This week’s macro calendar is lighter in volume but potentially high in impact, especially midweek:

  • Wednesday

    • FOMC Minutes 

    • End of 90-Day Tariff Pause: Watch for potential tariff announcements.

  • Thursday

    • Initial Jobless Claims: Expected 235K | Prior 233K

  Final Thoughts

  While BTC and ETH remain in familiar zones, the broader market continues to trade cautiously amid a constrained policy environment. Accumulation remains the name of the game in my view, but only for high-conviction plays. The next several weeks may still test patience, but they’re also likely to offer some of the final opportunities for positioning ahead of a new phase in this cycle.

🐸Memecoin Momentum

Did you play the conviction game anon? The coins we went over last week had their time to shine.

$HOSICO and $USELESS both saw a significant increases in MC over the last week.

$HOSICO is the definite winner of the bunch. It went from 17-19M, to hitting ATH of 75M, 2 days ago. Currently sitting at 52M MC, with consistent buys coming in. The future definitely looks bright for this one.

$USELESS hit ATH of 311m MC, yesterday. A proper leg up, from 190m MC last week. Currently sitting at $249m, the coin has 13m volume in the past 24 hours. I Dropped the ball on this one!! Didn’t think it would keep running, but turns out my information was useless when it came to it! Reaching new ATH for this token, has been fun to watch.

NEW COIN ALERT!!

Over the weekend rumors of Eric Trump and WLFI buying a memecoin called “Official Dege Coin” started spreading. WLFI being the #1 holder intrigued many to buy into the rumors… With the tagline “The People’s Coin,” it felt like a no brainer. The rumors are still yet to be confirmed, however the volume continues to flow in. Hitting ATH of 83M just 9 hours ago, the coin is currently sitting at 36m. I think people are hoping from another $TRUMP coin moment, with WLFI involved, but time will tell. IMO I doubt it, but looking forward to being proven wrong. CT needs a win!!

As a trench warrior, it’s nice to see the trenches slowly healing!! Simply Follow the money, and you’ll be just fine.

🤑Airdrop Alpha

Liminal Money Raises Cap
The #FARTCOIN cap raise from Liminal Money was filled within hours, but as people rebalance, space could open up for short periods so check it regularly, you might get lucky.

You should rebalance perhaps weekly, especially for Unit Assets such as $BTC, $SOL, and #FARTCOIN, as this will increase your chances of qualifying for the Hyper Unit airdrop:

https://x.com/cruzcontrol660/status/1941811086770184404

Juicy Points Boost to RateX

Juicy Points Boost to RateX while lego-ing LoopScale Points:

Fixed APY of 14% for PST-2507 PT and loop it for up to 42.77% on Loopscale while earning double RateX points on every loop + 2x LoopsScale Points:

https://x.com/cruzcontrol660/status/1941144962290368620

Speaking of LoopScale … 

What's next after $FRAG? Some LoopscaleLabs major updates🔥

With the airdrop from $FRAG (and subsequent abysmal token performance), I am not farming its future seasons

So I am looking elsewhere for opportunities.Some major LoopScale updates that caught my attention: https://x.com/cruzcontrol660/status/1940608385453617223

100+ Airdrop Opportunities in my Notion Airdrop Tracker: https://bit.ly/droptime